Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hotlist - November 29

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (8) Orizzonte has been away since making his debut in March but has been working smartly for his comeback. (5) Wistucky makes his first start since February but should be the main threat. (4) Ahandfulofcandy could benefit from a surface change. (6) Vegas Black Jack is a firster who could contend here. Betting strategy: 8 to win, place. Exacta box: 4-5-6-8.

3rd race – (6) Asian Matriarch was second last time and will be dangerous off the Asmussen claim. (2) Just Like You was claimed by Sharp off a win and figures to be the main rival. (7) Mo Sense makes sense in this field. (8) Motown Mika has early speed and could hang around until the finish. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-6-7-8.

6th race – (6) Idratherbeblessed (B) missed by nose and can make amends here. (8) Johny’s Fireball returns to turf and will be formidable in this group. (4) Better Bet should be closing quickly in the stretch. (10) Native Shaman looked good taking his first turf start. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 4-6-8-10.

10th race – (3) Kehoe Beach comes off two impressive front-running wins and may not look back here. (7) Minoushka won her U.S. debut and should be the main rival. (10) Simply in Front drew a tough post but fits with these. (2) Buchu is due for a better effort after racing in Grade 1 stakes. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-7-10. Doubles: 2-3-7-10 with 3-6-7-9

11th race - (9) Cooke Creek has keen early speed and can lead throughout in the Grade 2 Clark Stakes. (6) Hit Show seeks a fourth stakes straight win and is the one to fear. (7) Rattle N Roll should benefit from his comeback race and be more of a factor in this stakes. (3) Crupi could be closing quickly in the stretch. Betting strategy: 9 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-6-7-9.

No.Letter/Last raceToday’s race  Comment     
  (6)IdratherbeblessedB, 11/16 CDMissed by a nose