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Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hotlist - September 21

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

2nd race – (3) Best Seller has a nice turn of speed and can lead throughout here. (6) Klimt’s Muse could be a factor in the final furlong with Saez. (2) Rosie’s Halo should respond to a switch to the main track. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-6.

4th race – (3) Mighty Madison was second twice at Saratoga and is overdue for a win. (8) Pistol can fire in this spot. (1) American Starlet could be a threat on dirt. (4) Aunt Becca might contend on a dry track. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-4-8.

6th race – (6) Justifreak was a good second last time and looks best here. (7) Triple Trea seems primed for a good effort in his first start for Walsh. (9) Alder will appreciate a dry surface. (2) Pay Zone could be a factor on his best try. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place.  Exacta box: 2-6-7-9. Doubles: 2-6-7-9 with 1-3-5.

7th race – (3) Batten Down has been competing against the best 3-year-olds and is a standout here. (5) Real Macho may like the added distance. (1) Next Level could be helped by a rail trip. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-5.

9th race – (6) Illuminare is undefeated in two starts and can make three straight here. (7) Dilger will be helped by the added distance. (3) Henro can bounce back to top form here. (1) Jefferson Street cannot be overlooked after a rare poor effort. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-6-7.