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Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hotlist - September 25

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (4) Palmetto Fury seeks a third straight win and looks best in this field. (1) Lil Gin N Class shapes up as the one to catch from the rail. (2) Little Sister Sue was second in her  last two tries and cannot be ignored. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-4.

3rd race – (1) Princess Is Olivia ships in from California and finds a field she can handle. (3) Miss Tappy Tone should respond to the drop back into a claimer. (6) She’s Jersey Tuff should be a factor in the final yards. (7) Weather Map fits in with this bunch. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-6-7.

5th race – (6) Landing Craft makes his debut for Cox and can win at first asking. (8) Hoff was second in his initial try and is the one to fear while moving to dirt. (3) Bermuda Blitz should be a threat in this field. (1) Moral will be helped by a rail trip. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place.  Exacta box: 1-3-6-8.

7th race – (6) Frosted Departure exits stakes company and should thrive in this field. (5) Trademark has been freshened and can return to top form. (4) Mr. Wireless has enough back class to be a serious threat. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 4-5-6.

 9th race – (7) Curlin’s Gesture won his last and can repeat that trick for new connections. (10) Flat On was second in his last two tries and looms the main threat. (6) The Thunderer will benefit from a shorter distance. (8) Copper Echo cannot be overlooked. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 6-7-8-10.