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Keeneland Select

Kentucky Downs Hotlist - September 11

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

2nd race – (4) Growth Rate should appreciate the cutback to a sprint. (2) Material Witness has some speed and could be hard to catch. (12) Ripassare is an interesting first-time starter. (7) Bloody Colors Wave may like turf. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-4-7-12.

4th race – (3) Lush Lips ships in from Europe and finds a field she can handle. (6) Fixin to Bee will be helped by more ground. (8) Ramsey Pond can get in the swim of things here. (10) Mambo Queen seems set for a nice effort in her debut. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-6-8-10.

6th race – (6) Fleming was a good third in his debut and should graduate here. (7) Lucky Mischief should be closing late. (8) High Limit may benefit from his turf debut. (9) Reverse Merger had an eventful trip in his debut and deserves a second chance. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 6-7-8-9.

8th race – (1) The Grey Wizard  seeks a third straight win and looks best here. (5) McLovin is well-suited for this extended distance. (2) Six Minus should love the marathon distance. (3) Cyber Ninja may find the distance to his liking.  Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-3-5.

10th race – (2) Isle of Capri can win at first asking. (1) Pure Breeze has race experience which is in short supply here. (9) Evelyn Louise could stage a late rally in this field. (10) Close Up is a firster who seems to have some potential. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-9-10.