Kim Nelson's picture
Expert Picks

Kim Nelson

Kim Nelson has worked with horses all her life. She rode hunter jumpers as a child and teenager. She then moved on to work for North Ridge Farm learning the basics with mares, foals and yearlings. She has worked through the years for Carl Nafzger, Adena Springs, The Daily Racing Form and Marylou Whitney Stables. Keeneland has always been the home track for Kim and this will be her 13 year anniversary handicapping the spring and fall meets.

Wednesday, October 21, 2020

Best Best 

Race 4

$10 to win

#1 Bump

1st Race

#4 Not a Needy Gal should be fit and ready to run off her previous 4 starts. She's been the distance and has some early speed to stay close up. #1 Tale of Mona drops for half from her last start. She keeps Morales in the irons.  #5 Paddy Kaye's Wild has found a 2nd place finish in her last 2 starts. She should find another board finish here. Top Picks #4, #1 and #5

2nd Race

#7 Two Worlds is an improving sort that broke his maiden last time out. Race should set up for his stalking style. #3 Tkotchke broke his maiden last out for $50K in his 2nd career start. He is placed here in a realistic spot and like his chances. #2b Algebraic broke his maiden in fine fashion over this Keeneland course this meet. He can boast the best last Beyer Speed figure. Top Picks #7, #3 and #2b 

3rd Race

#2 Tiz Splendid News just missed breaking her maiden last out in a strong debut effort. The Ward barn brings this 2 year old filly over. #11 Madame Ready has turned in several really nice works over the Keeneland course and looks like she could be tough first time out. #5 Menzel has a couple of races under her belt and could land a share at a decent price. Top Picks #2, #11 and #5

4th Race

#1 Bump is a 2 year old firster from the Cox barn. Barn is hot this meet winning at 38%. #2 Giant's Gateway is making a significant drop in class and adds blinkers for his 2nd start. #4 Snowblind is another on the drop. Top connections bring him over. Top Picks #1, #2 and #4

5th Race

#2 Intrepid Heart has a win over the Keeneland track and is 2 for 2 at this distance. He is dropping to his lowest level and look for him to turn the hat trick here. #4 Two Thirty Five is making his 3rd off the layoff and brings the Beyer numbers to be competitive. #5 Mi Tres Por Ciento lost his rider in his last start and drops in price this time around. He had a shot in that one and should be a player here. Top Picks #2, #4 and #5

6th Race

#2 Pass the Plate is getting some class relief off past performances. She shows up fresh here with a bullet work and Leparoux in the irons. #7 Carpe Vinum  is another dropping out of stakes company. She is a winner at this distance and like her for part here. #5 Golden Curl should bring the early foot and hold on for part. Top Picks #2, #7 and #5

7th Race

#4 Aurelia Garland finished 4th behind Blame Debbie here on opening day. She has been competitive with some tough company and like her for the win. #1 Impeccable Style is making her first start for the Walsh barn. She seldom misses a check and can boast finishing 3rd in the Indiana Oaks behind Shedaresthedevel in her last race. She shortens up here and should be tough with the class relief.  #2 O Seraphina broke her maiden impressively in her last start. She has been on the bench awhile but barn is fairly good off the layoff and like her early speed to hold on for part. Top Picks #4, #1 and #2

8th Race

#3 Leah Chase just missed in her last going long on the grass. Third off the layoff here and like her chances. #2 Margaret's Joy has finished 3rd in her last 2 tries. She is bred for this distance on the grass. #7 Fortuna is making her 2nd off the short layoff and should be on target to make a strong finish. Top Picks #3, #2 and #7