Keeneland Select
Aqueduct Tip Sheet - December 4
December 3, 2021
AQUEDUCT TIPS - SATURDAY, DECEMBER 04, 2021
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Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 63% of the time at this track.
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RACE #1 $80,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 11:50 AM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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5-2
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2
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Fenwick
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J Lezcano
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PLACE
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5-1
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3
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Opportunity Set
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J Rosario
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SHOW
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2-1
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7
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Long Term
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I Ortiz Jr.
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WILD CARD
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12-1
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8
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Union Lights
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M Franco
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ALTERNATE 1
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20-1
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5
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Rhumjar
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D Davis
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ALTERNATE 2
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9-2
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1
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Script
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J L Ortiz
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* EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX, 7-8 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 2/3/7 BOX, 3/7/8 BOX
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RACE #2 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 12:20 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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4-1
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4
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Autumn Glory
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D Davis
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PLACE
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9-5
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14
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Wicked Lady
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K Carmouche
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SHOW
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15-1
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6
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Shes a Natural
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J R Velazquez
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WILD CARD
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2-1
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3
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Robyn and Eli
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M Franco
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ALTERNATE 1
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6-1
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15
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Starship Laoban
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A Adorno
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ALTERNATE 2
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30-1
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10
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Dream Central
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E Cancel
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* EXACTA: 4-14 BOX, 14-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 4/6/14 BOX, 3/6/14 BOX
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RACE #3 $84,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 12:49 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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3-1
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8
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Artemus Citylimits
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L Saez
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PLACE
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9-5
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12
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Wudda U Think Now
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J Rosario
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SHOW
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10-1
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11
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Mr Phil
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Rider TBA
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WILD CARD
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4-1
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5
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Scuttlebuzz
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J Castellano
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ALTERNATE 1
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6-1
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13
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Foolish Ghost
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Rider TBA
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ALTERNATE 2
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6-1
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1
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Guildsman
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I Ortiz Jr.
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* EXACTA: 8-12 BOX, 12-11 BOX, 11-5 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 8/11/12 BOX, 5/11/12 BOX
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RACE #4 $16,000 CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:18 PM ET |
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BEST BET: #6 SUPREME AURA |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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6-1
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6
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Supreme Aura
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E Cancel
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PLACE
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5-2
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9
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Regal Quality
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K Carmouche
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SHOW
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5-1
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2
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Direct Order
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M Franco
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WILD CARD
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7-2
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1
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Runningforhome
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I Ortiz Jr.
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ALTERNATE 1
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12-1
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7
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O Shea Can U See
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M J Luzzi
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ALTERNATE 2
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30-1
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8
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American Lincoln
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B Hernandez
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* EXACTA: 6-9 BOX, 9-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 2/6/9 BOX, 1/2/9 BOX
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RACE #5 $80,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:45 PM ET |
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BEST BET: #6 ROSEBUG |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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3-1
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6
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Rosebug
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L Saez
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PLACE
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7-2
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5
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Hard Place
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J R Velazquez
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SHOW
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30-1
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10
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Belleshazza
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B Hernandez
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WILD CARD
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6-1
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1
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Willakia
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J L Ortiz
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ALTERNATE 1
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8-1
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7
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Ever Summer
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J Rosario
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ALTERNATE 2
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50-1
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9
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Miss Invincible
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C Ramos
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* EXACTA: 6-5 BOX, 5-10 BOX, 10-1 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 5/6/10 BOX, 1/5/10 BOX
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RACE #6 $80,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:14 PM ET |
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BEST BET: #6 URBAN FOREST |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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5-2
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6
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Urban Forest
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J Rosario
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PLACE
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8-1
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4
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Pipito
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M Franco
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SHOW
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12-1
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9
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King of Hollywood
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J Castellano
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WILD CARD
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10-1
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11
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Blame B B
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K Carmouche
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ALTERNATE 1
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12-1
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12
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Muttley
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K Carmouche
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ALTERNATE 2
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20-1
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1
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R Doc
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M J Luzzi
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* EXACTA: 6-4 BOX, 4-9 BOX, 9-11 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 4/6/9 BOX, 4/9/11 BOX
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RACE #7 $250,000 STAKES 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:43 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $250,000 GO FOR WAND HANDICAP G3 |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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8-5
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2
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Lady Rocket
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I Ortiz Jr.
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PLACE
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5-1
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6
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Truth Hurts
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T Gaffalione
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SHOW
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7-2
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7
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Sharp Starr
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J L Ortiz
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WILD CARD
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5-1
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3
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Bella Vita
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J Rosario
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ALTERNATE 1
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20-1
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5
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Honor Way
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E Cancel
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ALTERNATE 2
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4-1
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1
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Miss Marissa
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J Lezcano
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* EXACTA: 2,3,6,7 Box
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* TRIFECTA: 2,6,7/2,3,6,7/2,3,5,6,7
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COMMENTS: LADY ROCKET finished in the money in nine of 10 races, including the top, last race speed figure. TRUTH HURTS has a pair of wins in three races at Aqueduct and the same record at the distance. SHARP STARR has three wins and a third in four at the distance and never ran off the board in six at Aqueduct. BELLA VITA should be in/near top form in her third start after a layoff. |
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RACE #8 $250,000 STAKES 1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:14 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $250,000 REMSEN STAKES G2 |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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5-2
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7
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Zandon
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J Rosario
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PLACE
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8-5
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1
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Mo Donegal
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I Ortiz Jr.
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SHOW
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6-1
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2
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Who Hoo Thats Me
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T McCarthy
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WILD CARD
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5-1
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3
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Judge Davis
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J L Ortiz
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ALTERNATE 1
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12-1
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6
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Eloquist
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D Davis
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ALTERNATE 2
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6-1
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4
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Fromanothamutha
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M Franco
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* EXACTA: 1,2,3,7 Box
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* TRIFECTA: 1,2,7/1,2,3,7/1,2,3,6,7
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COMMENTS: ZANDON won his debut with ease. Trainer Chad Brown follows the maiden win with another at 30%. MO DONEGAL improved a lot from his first start to the second, expecting another step forward. WHO HOO THATS ME ran the highest, last race speed figure and improved his number in three straight. JUDGE DAVIS was well bet in the Grade III Nashua Stakes and should do better in his second route. |
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RACE #9 $250,000 STAKES 1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:43 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $250,000 DEMOISELLE STAKES G2 |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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2-1
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5
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Nest
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I Ortiz Jr.
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PLACE
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3-1
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6
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Tap the Faith
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J Rosario
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SHOW
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5-1
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3
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Venti Valentine
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J R Velazquez
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WILD CARD
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7-2
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7
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Magic Circle
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M Franco
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ALTERNATE 1
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10-1
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1
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Miss Interpret
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L Saez
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ALTERNATE 2
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30-1
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8
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Full Count Felicia
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T Gaffalione
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* EXACTA: 3,5,6,7 Box
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* TRIFECTA: 3,5,6/3,5,6,7/1,3,5,6,7
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COMMENTS: NEST just missed in her last as she tied for the top, last race speed figure, gets Irad Ortiz, Jr. who won on debut with Nest. TAP THE FAITH won her debut with a strong late run and should be better in round two. VENTI VALENTINE is undefeated in two starts and improved from race to race. MAGIC CIRCLE is the other to tie for the highest, last race speed number. |
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RACE #10 $750,000 STAKES 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:13 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $750,000 CIGAR MILE HANDICAP G1 |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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5-2
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3
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Americanrevolution
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L Saez
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PLACE
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7-2
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5
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Independence Hall
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J Castellano
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SHOW
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12-1
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2
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Plainsman
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M Franco
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WILD CARD
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7-2
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6
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Ginobili
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D Van Dyke
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ALTERNATE 1
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5-1
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1
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Following Sea
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J R Velazquez
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ALTERNATE 2
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6-1
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4
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Code of Honor
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T Gaffalione
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* EXACTA: 2,3,5,6 Box
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* TRIFECTA: 2,3,5/2,3,5,6/1,2,3,5,6
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COMMENTS: AMERICANREVOLUTION won four of his last five starts and three of them were blowouts. INDEPENDENCE HALL is two for two at Aqueduct and won his last by 7 1/4 lengths. PLAINSMAN is two for two at AQ and missed as the chalk in his last, trainer Brad Cox rebounds at 34% with beaten favorites. GINOBILI finished second behind a dominant LIFE IS GOOD in the Breeders Cup Dirt Mile, no such star here. |
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