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Keeneland Select

Belmont at the Big A Hotlist - October 15

October 14, 2022

Today’s NY Hot List races to watch – Saturday, October 15, 2022
By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt

Hot List Key:
 A:
A preferred horse to watch                                 B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worst
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

3rd race [NY, Alw 85000 N1X, 7F] – (1) Blitz to Win made a huge improvement in his second start of the year earning a career high speed figure while running second. (2) G Munning ran fourth and then second in a pair of starts at this level at Saratoga. (3) Dangerous Edge was fourth at Saratoga twice in these NY-bred allowances for Rob Atras. (5) Salute to America returns from an April layoff as a new gelding and is from the My Racehorse microshare partnerships.

4th race [Md Sp Wt, 1 1/16 mi TURF] – (3) Western Lane (B) returned from a long layoff for a new trainer and broke last, had to alter course, and then rallied up the rail for fourth. She will stretch back out. (1) Sareeha made two starts in America for Graham Motion with the first being on the Tapeta at Woodbine and then a good second on the turf in a Belmont at the Big A race. (6) Kinchen made her 2022 debut last month and lost all chance in the early going when she had to check and was forced to six-wide. (7) Mozay has seven top three finishes for Bill Mott as she still looks for the maiden win.

5th race [Clm 16000 N2L, 6F] – (9) Got the Gold ran third after pressing the pace and was claimed for $16,000 by Jose Camejo who wins with 29% of his newly claimed runners. (7) Last Minute Mario broke his maiden at Parx for $25,000 and then tried a pair of starter allowances. He was on the lead in all of his starts. (1A) Shardial broke his maiden for $20,000 at Los Alamitos last month and was purchased by David Jacobson as part of his return to racing. (4) Holey Matrimony ran twice in 2019 when he won his debut at Aqueduct and then was second in an allowance, both against NY-breds. Now, he returns as a gelding for Rob Atras and the original owner/breeder after more than three years away for racing.

9th race [Sands Point (G2), 1 1/8 mi TURF] – (6) Hail To (A) won an allowance from the 11 post-position after a poor trip earning a career best speed figure as she returns to stakes racing. (3) Eminent Victor runs for Chad Brown who has dominated this race recently. Last time she had trouble in the Lake Placid (G2) after having finished second by a nose in the Lake George (G3) at Saratoga. (9) Pizza Bianca will make her first start since running at Royal Ascot in June. In her first five starts she never ran worse than second with two stakes wins including the 2021 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf. (2) Vergara is in fine form right now with a win in the Dueling Ground Oaks at Kentucky Downs and a second in the Ontario Cotillion (G3) at Woodbine for Graham Motion.

 

Best bets: Blitz to Win (3rd); Got the Gold (5th). Best value: Western Lane (4th); Hail To (9th).

Saturday Pick 3 Special --
The Saturday Special $1 Pick 3 covers races 3-5 à 1, 2 with 1, 3, 6 with 1A, 4, 7, 9 = $24.

No.

Name

Letter
last race

Today's Race

Comments

(3)

Western Lane

B on 9/16

4

He broke last, had to alter course, and rallied up the rail.

(11)

Happy Bob

B on 8/13

6

Entered for Main Track Only.

(6)

Hail To

A on 9/2

9

Won from the far outside post with a bad trip.