Belmont at the Big A Hotlist - October 27

Today’s New York Hot List races to watch – Thursday, October 27, 2022
By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt

Hot List Key:
 A: A preferred horse to watch                         B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1^st race [Md Sp Wt, 6F] – (6) Quarrel (B) ran second in her debut last month finishing well ahead of the rest of the field. She was sent off at 7-2 for a low profile trainer. (8) Positive Message was heavily bet in both of her starts for Graham Motion, set the pace each time, and now cuts back to sprinting for the first time. (4) Tribal Queen was also heavily bet in her two starts both of which were on the dirt. Trainer Tony Dutrow has good numbers moving horses from dirt to turf. (3) Lady Caraggio was sent off at 7-1 in her debut at Saratoga for Bill Mott where she set the pace.

2^nd race [Clm 10000, 7F] – (1) Scilly Cat makes a big drop down to this low claiming level with good recent form against much tougher competition. (4) First Deputy is in excellent form for a barn that woke back up at the current Belmont/Aqueduct meeting. He was claimed for $10,000 at Keeneland in the Spring. (2) Prayer Book broke his maiden at Aqueduct last year on the main track and has been running on turf and dirt. (5) Even Thunder has past success at Aqueduct even though his recent races were around the Mid-Atlantic region in claimers and starter allowances.

6^th race [NY, Md Sp Wt, 6F] – (10) D’ont Lose Cruz (B) set the pace in his debut for Rick Schosberg, lost a head bob, and was much better than the rest of the field. (4) Inspector was sent off in his debut at 7-2 for the Asmussen barn, My Racehorse, and Bloom Racing and finished fourth. (1) Lifetime of Chance will make his first start for DJ Stable and comes from a dam who produced a Grade 3 winner as 2-year-old. (5) Leftembehind is by Accelerate and will make his second start for Barclay Tagg and Sackatoga Stable after getting bumped around in his initial start last month at 8-1.

8^th race [Alw 50000s, 7F] – (1) Know It All Audrey was claimed for $16,000 from a win two races back and then was second in a NY-bred allowance three weeks ago. (3) Chaysenbryn is an Aqueduct regular with an excellent record of 6: 2-2-1. Her start was a second in one of these starter allowances at Saratoga. (9) Sister Supream has four top three finishes at this level in her recent races including earlier in the month at BAQ. (4) I’m Nervous Now won a maiden claimer in her debut at the Spa and was claimed for $40,000 by Charlie Baker and came back to run fourth.

Best bets:  ). Best value:  B).