Belmont at the Big A Hotlist - September 30

Today’s New York Hot List races to watch – Friday, September 30, 2022
By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt

Hot List Key:
 A: A preferred horse to watch                         B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1^st race [Md 40000, 1 mi] – (3) Super Quality was claimed two races back, tried a maiden special weight, and now goes from turf to dirt as a new gelding. He is projected to be on the lead. (5) North Pole was also claimed two starts ago but he came back to just miss the win after having the lead in the stretch. (4) Fazaro moves from turf to dirt where he has a pair of seconds and gets blinkers on. (6) Order of Magnitude drops into a maiden claimer for the first time in his second start of the year.

3^rd race [NY, Md Sp Wt, 1 mi TURF] – (5) Latest Edition (B) had the lead last time but lost to a Hot List horse and finished second well ahead of the rest of the field. (6) Succulent won his last start but was disqualified and placed third after floating out in the stretch. She was second in her prior turf race at Saratoga. (4) Tara Dancer went from a third in her debut to a NY-bred stakes races and now drops back down. (2) Lem Me Drink set the pace last time, faded to fourth, and cuts back a furlong now.

4^th race [Md 40000, 6F] – (4) Actualize is projected to be the pacesetter as he drops in a maiden claimer for the first time and comes back after just two weeks. (6) Upper Level moves from turf to dirt with a good debut on the main track in June at Belmont Park. He also has early speed. (5) Grand Again has changed barns after running second at Keeneland in his first start in October. He is now a gelding. (2) Necromancer hit the board twice at Aqueduct during the winter.

9^th race [Alw 105000 N1X, 1 1/16 mi TURF] – (1) Diamond Hands (C) lost head bob to a Hot List winner at Saratoga after setting the pace when heavily bet from 13-1 to 7-1. (4) Salimah (B) returned from a seven month layoff at the Spa and was rank under restraint while racing wide the entire race. (3) Parnac was second in her second start of the year for Christophe Clement. (5) Marketsegmentation was a winner in her debut for Chad Brown in December at the Big A beating a horse that came back to win her next start.

Best bets:  Actualize (4^th); Diamond Hands (9^th). Best value:  Super Quality (1^st); Latest Edition (3^rd).