Belmont Park Hotlist - October 29

Today’s New York Hot List races to watch – Friday, October 29, 2021 at Belmont Park
                By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt

Hot List Key:
 A: A preferred horse to watch                         B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

2^nd race [Clm 50000, 1 1/16 mi] – (6) Vintage Hollywood (D) was bet down from 9-1 to 5-1 in a second-level allowance race and now returns from a three-month layoff to drop back to the claiming ranks where he was last a winner. (1) Croatian won a second-level allowance at Monmouth Park in his last start following a try in the Iselin (G2). (5) Chris and Dave will drop back to the $50,000 level where he won a few races back and was claimed. His last start in the long-distance stake was a throw-out. (4) Control Group is a veteran with 17 career wins that got claimed for $45,000 out of a NY-bred OC allowance.

4^th race [OC80k/N2X, 1 1/16 mi] – (2) First Constitution (A) was checked and then impeded at the half-mile pole and finished beaten by less than a length in his second start since coming to America from Chile. (6) Speaker’s Corner had a poor showing in the PA Derby (G1) after his dazzling allowance score in his 2021 debut. Blinkers go on for Bill Mott. (1) Backsideofthemoon had the lead at the stretch call but lost by a head and finished in front of the Hot List horse in that race. (3) Limonite has a chance to be part of the trifecta in this field of six.

7^th race [NY, OC45k/N2X, 6F TURF] – (1) Violent Point (B) stumbled to her knees at the start, got far back, and rallied to finish second in a race where she was claimed for $40,000. (3) Social Whirl is the winner of her last three starts for Tom Morley moving from a maiden claimer to a N2L against open company to the first-level NY-bred allowance. (6) Summer Brew won two allowances at Belmont Park and then was second in a state-bred stake. She returns from a four-month rest and drops in for a tag for the first time. (7) Kept Waiting was last seen in April winning a first level allowance for NY-breds at Belmont for Rob Falcone.

9^th race [Oyster Bay, 7F TURF] – (7) Buy Land and See (B) came back from a year off to run in the Belmont Turf Sprint (G3) where he was keen early, fought restraint, and got stuck in traffic. (11) Value Proposition leads a trio of Chad Brown runners in this race and Brown has been winning almost every stake that he enters as of late. This guy won the Red Bank at Monmouth last month. (6) Flavius is also a Brown trainee and he won the Lure at Saratoga with a triple digit Beyer. (4) Emaraaty is the third from Chad and he returned from a five-month layoff to win a second-level allowance to the Spa.

Best bets:  First Constitution (4^th); Violent Point (7^th). Best value: Vintage Hollywood (2^nd); Buy Land and See (9^th).