Keeneland Select
Belmont Park Tip Sheet - May 14
May 13, 2022
BELMONT PARK TIPS - SATURDAY, MAY 14, 2022
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Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 64% of the time at this track.
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RACE #1 $75,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:00 PM ET |
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BEST BET: #6 DEVIL BOY |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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5-2
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6
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Devil Boy
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J L Ortiz
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PLACE
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9-2
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1
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Conquist
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T McCarthy
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SHOW
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8-1
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2
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Safalows Mission
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J Lezcano
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WILD CARD
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7-2
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3
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Eminency
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J A Gomez
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ALTERNATE 1
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4-1
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9
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Fortunes Nephew
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I Ortiz Jr.
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ALTERNATE 2
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8-1
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5
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N Y Anthem
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K Carmouche
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* EXACTA: 6-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX
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RACE #2 $35,000 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:34 PM ET |
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BEST BET: #2 RING OF FIRE |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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2-1
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2
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Ring of Fire
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D Davis
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PLACE
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7-2
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7
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Standup
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F Prat
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SHOW
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5-2
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1
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Stanhope
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J A Gomez
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WILD CARD
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20-1
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10
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Dee Bo
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L A Rodriguez Castro
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ALTERNATE 1
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4-5
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4
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Secret Rules
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J Lezcano
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ALTERNATE 2
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12-1
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6
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Loaded Joe
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R Silvera
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* EXACTA: 2-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX, 1-10 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 1/2/7 BOX, 1/7/10 BOX
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RACE #3 $150,000 STAKES 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:05 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $150,000 VAGRANCY HANDICAP GRADE III |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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4-5
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5
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Bella Sofia
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L Saez
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PLACE
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3-1
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2
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Franks Rockette
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F Prat
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SHOW
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3-1
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4
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Miss Brazil
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E Cancel
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WILD CARD
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5-1
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3
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Kept Waiting
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K Carmouche
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ALTERNATE 1
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20-1
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1
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Assertive Style
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J Castellano
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* EXACTA: 5/2,4
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* TRIFECTA: 5/2,4/2,3,4
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COMMENTS: BELLA SOFIA has three wins and a second in four at Belmont. FRANKS ROCKETTE ran some of her fastest fractions in her last and could be better in the second off the bench. MISS BRAZIL ran the top last race speed figure and is another that could benefit in round two after a layoff. KEPT WAITING looks much better on paper than ASSERTIVE STYLE. |
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RACE #4 $60,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE 6 FURLONGS ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 2:34 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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9-2
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12
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Freedomofthepress
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L Saez
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PLACE
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3-1
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8
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Miss Delicious
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I Ortiz Jr.
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SHOW
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6-1
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10
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Stella Mars
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D Davis
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WILD CARD
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4-1
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2
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Missing Link
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J Castellano
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ALTERNATE 1
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3-1
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9
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Holiday Jazz
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K Carmouche
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ALTERNATE 2
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9-2
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7
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Happy Hill Lil
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J Rosario
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* EXACTA: 12-8 BOX, 8-10 BOX, 10-2 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 8/10/12 BOX, 2/8/10 BOX
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RACE #5 $150,000 STAKES 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:06 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $150,000 RUNHAPPY STAKES GRADE III |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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3-1
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3
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Repo Rocks
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R Silvera
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PLACE
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6-1
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6
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Mr Phil
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A Adorno
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SHOW
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5-2
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1
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Chateau
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K Carmouche
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WILD CARD
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4-1
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5
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Officiating
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M Franco
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ALTERNATE 1
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6-1
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4
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Answer In
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F Prat
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ALTERNATE 2
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3-1
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2
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Drafted
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J L Ortiz
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* EXACTA: 1,3,5,6 Box
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* TRIFECTA: 1,3,6/1,3,5,6/1,3,4,5,6
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COMMENTS: REPO ROCKS won his last by almost 6 lengths and big races are usually followed by another. MR PHIL ran better fractions in his last. CHATEAU rides the high win rate rail and hit the board in 17 of 21 at the distance. OFFICIATING is another to run faster times in his last and upped his late pace. |
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RACE #6 $92,000 ALLOWANCE 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:39 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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5-1
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10
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Caironi
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J Lezcano
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PLACE
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3-1
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1A
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Baby Blythe
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J Rosario
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SHOW
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9-2
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3
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Lay the Groundwork
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F Prat
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WILD CARD
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6-1
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9
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Angelinka
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I Ortiz Jr.
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ALTERNATE 1
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3-1
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1
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Join the Dots
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Rider TBA
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ALTERNATE 2
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4-1
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5
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Belacqua
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J Castellano
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* EXACTA: 10-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-9 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 1/3/10 BOX, 1/3/9 BOX
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RACE #7 $85,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:12 PM ET |
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BEST BET: #1A SAINT SELBY |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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4-1
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1A
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Saint Selby
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K Carmouche
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PLACE
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10-1
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2
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Prince of Pharoahs
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J Lezcano
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SHOW
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6-1
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7
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Bronx Bomber
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J L Ortiz
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WILD CARD
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3-1
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6
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Masked Marauder
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J A Gomez
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ALTERNATE 1
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4-1
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1
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Jemography
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I Ortiz Jr.
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ALTERNATE 2
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5-2
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9
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Seven Lilies
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D Davis
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* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 1/2/7 BOX, 2/6/7 BOX
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RACE #8 $700,000 STAKES 1 3/8 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 4:46 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $700,000 MAN O WAR STAKES GRADE I |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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7-5
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2
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Gufo
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J Rosario
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PLACE
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1-1
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3
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Yibir
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W T Buick
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SHOW
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9-2
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4
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Abaan
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L Saez
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WILD CARD
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30-1
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6
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So High
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L A Rodriguez Castro
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ALTERNATE 1
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20-1
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5
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Highland Chief
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T McCarthy
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ALTERNATE 2
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10-1
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1
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Easter
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F Prat
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* EXACTA: 2,3/2,3,4,6
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* TRIFECTA: 2,3/2,3,4/2,3,4,6
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COMMENTS: GUFO six triple digit speed numbers in his last seven starts. The rest of the field has three combined. YIBIR is undefeated in two US races. He must be careful not to get caught in traffic as a deep closer. ABAAN popped major increases in his pace numbers last out. The concern is that he could bounce but you cannot ignore the improvement. SO HIGH is a flier on the backend for exotics. |
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RACE #9 $200,000 STAKES 1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:19 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $200,000 PETER PAN STAKES GRADE III |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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7-2
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2
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Electability
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I Ortiz Jr.
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PLACE
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3-1
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4
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We the People
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F Prat
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SHOW
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7-2
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1
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Set Sail
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J Rosario
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WILD CARD
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4-1
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5
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Golden Glider
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D Davis
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ALTERNATE 1
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6-1
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6
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Western River
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L Saez
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ALTERNATE 2
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15-1
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7
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Cooke Creek
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M Franco
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* EXACTA: 1,2,4/1,2,4,5
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* TRIFECTA: 1,2,4/1,2,4/1,2,4,5,6
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COMMENTS: ELECTABILITY won his last two and now switches to jockey Irad Ortiz. WE THE PEOPLE was one of the favorites in the Arkansas Derby but failed to fire. He will try and rebound to the form that won his first pair of races with ease. SET SAIL broke his maiden in his second try with similar fractions at 1 mile as at 7 furlongs. GOLDEN GLIDER has been facing tough company along the derby trail. |
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RACE #10 $150,000 STAKES 1 1/16 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 5:50 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $150,000 BEAUGAY STAKES GRADE III |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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5-2
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2
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Lemista
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I Ortiz Jr.
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PLACE
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6-1
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4
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Plum Ali
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M Franco
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SHOW
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15-1
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5
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Runaway Rumour
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J Lezcano
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WILD CARD
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1-1
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1
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Rougir
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F Prat
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ALTERNATE 1
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8-1
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3
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Stolen Holiday
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J Castellano
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ALTERNATE 2
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15-1
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7
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Our Flash Drive
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D Davis
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* EXACTA: 1,2,4,5 Box
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* TRIFECTA: 1,2,4,5 Box
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COMMENTS: LEMISTA has been off since last August but 29 furlongs of good works since April 1st say he is ready. PLUM ALI won two in a row and is undefeated in three at the distance. RUNAWAY RUMOUR is a horse for the course with three wins a second and third in five at Belmont. She has one second in four races elsewhere. ROUGIR could be the favorite but his few runs on a firm turf surface resulted in some of her worst performances. |
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RACE #11 $80,000 ALLOWANCE 7 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:21 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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6-1
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3
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Masterof the Tunes
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J L Ortiz
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PLACE
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6-1
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2
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Act of Congress
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J Castellano
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SHOW
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8-1
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10
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Theodora Grace
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J A Gomez
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WILD CARD
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8-1
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4
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Rigby
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I Ortiz Jr.
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ALTERNATE 1
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3-1
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15
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Gallina
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T McCarthy
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ALTERNATE 2
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6-1
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11
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Autumn Glory
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D Davis
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* EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-10 BOX, 10-4 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 2/3/10 BOX, 2/4/10 BOX
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