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Keeneland Select

Belmont Park Tip Sheet - May 14

May 13, 2022

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BELMONT PARK TIPS - SATURDAY, MAY 14, 2022
Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 64% of the time at this track.
 
 RACE #1    $75,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:00 PM ET
 
BEST BET:  #6 DEVIL BOY
 
 
 
 
 
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
 
 
 
 
 
WIN
5-2
6
Devil Boy
J L Ortiz
PLACE
9-2
1
Conquist
T McCarthy
SHOW
8-1
2
Safalows Mission
J Lezcano
WILD CARD
7-2
3
Eminency
J A Gomez
 
ALTERNATE 1
4-1
9
Fortunes Nephew
I Ortiz Jr.
ALTERNATE 2
8-1
5
N Y Anthem
K Carmouche
 
 
 
 
* EXACTA: 6-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX
 
 
 
 
 
 
 RACE #2    $35,000 CLAIMING
 6 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:34 PM ET
 
BEST BET:  #2 RING OF FIRE
 
 
 
 
 
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
 
 
 
 
 
WIN
2-1
2
Ring of Fire
D Davis
PLACE
7-2
7
Standup
F Prat
SHOW
5-2
1
Stanhope
J A Gomez
WILD CARD
20-1
10
Dee Bo
L A Rodriguez Castro
 
ALTERNATE 1
4-5
4
Secret Rules
J Lezcano
ALTERNATE 2
12-1
6
Loaded Joe
R Silvera
 
 
 
 
* EXACTA: 2-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX, 1-10 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/7 BOX, 1/7/10 BOX
 
 
 
 
 
 
 RACE #3    $150,000 STAKES
 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:05 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $150,000 VAGRANCY HANDICAP GRADE III
 
 
 
 
 
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
 
 
 
 
 
WIN
4-5
5
Bella Sofia
L Saez
PLACE
3-1
2
Franks Rockette
F Prat
SHOW
3-1
4
Miss Brazil
E Cancel
WILD CARD
5-1
3
Kept Waiting
K Carmouche
 
ALTERNATE 1
20-1
1
Assertive Style
J Castellano
 
 
 
 
* EXACTA: 5/2,4
* TRIFECTA: 5/2,4/2,3,4
 
 
COMMENTS: BELLA SOFIA has three wins and a second in four at Belmont. FRANKS ROCKETTE ran some of her fastest fractions in her last and could be better in the second off the bench. MISS BRAZIL ran the top last race speed figure and is another that could benefit in round two after a layoff. KEPT WAITING looks much better on paper than ASSERTIVE STYLE.
 
 
 
 
 
 RACE #4    $60,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
 6 FURLONGS ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 2:34 PM ET
 
 
 
 
 
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
 
 
 
 
 
WIN
9-2
12
Freedomofthepress
L Saez
PLACE
3-1
8
Miss Delicious
I Ortiz Jr.
SHOW
6-1
10
Stella Mars
D Davis
WILD CARD
4-1
2
Missing Link
J Castellano
 
ALTERNATE 1
3-1
9
Holiday Jazz
K Carmouche
ALTERNATE 2
9-2
7
Happy Hill Lil
J Rosario
 
 
 
 
* EXACTA: 12-8 BOX, 8-10 BOX, 10-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 8/10/12 BOX, 2/8/10 BOX
 
 
 
 
 
 
 RACE #5    $150,000 STAKES
 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:06 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $150,000 RUNHAPPY STAKES GRADE III
 
 
 
 
 
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
 
 
 
 
 
WIN
3-1
3
Repo Rocks
R Silvera
PLACE
6-1
6
Mr Phil
A Adorno
SHOW
5-2
1
Chateau
K Carmouche
WILD CARD
4-1
5
Officiating
M Franco
 
ALTERNATE 1
6-1
4
Answer In
F Prat
ALTERNATE 2
3-1
2
Drafted
J L Ortiz
 
 
 
 
* EXACTA: 1,3,5,6 Box
* TRIFECTA: 1,3,6/1,3,5,6/1,3,4,5,6
 
 
COMMENTS: REPO ROCKS won his last by almost 6 lengths and big races are usually followed by another. MR PHIL ran better fractions in his last. CHATEAU rides the high win rate rail and hit the board in 17 of 21 at the distance. OFFICIATING is another to run faster times in his last and upped his late pace.
 
 
 
 
 
 RACE #6    $92,000 ALLOWANCE
 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:39 PM ET
 
 
 
 
 
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
 
 
 
 
 
WIN
5-1
10
Caironi
J Lezcano
PLACE
3-1
1A
Baby Blythe
J Rosario
SHOW
9-2
3
Lay the Groundwork
F Prat
WILD CARD
6-1
9
Angelinka
I Ortiz Jr.
 
ALTERNATE 1
3-1
1
Join the Dots
Rider TBA
ALTERNATE 2
4-1
5
Belacqua
J Castellano
 
 
 
 
* EXACTA: 10-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/10 BOX, 1/3/9 BOX
 
 
 
 
 
 
 RACE #7    $85,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:12 PM ET
 
BEST BET:  #1A SAINT SELBY
 
 
 
 
 
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
 
 
 
 
 
WIN
4-1
1A
Saint Selby
K Carmouche
PLACE
10-1
2
Prince of Pharoahs
J Lezcano
SHOW
6-1
7
Bronx Bomber
J L Ortiz
WILD CARD
3-1
6
Masked Marauder
J A Gomez
 
ALTERNATE 1
4-1
1
Jemography
I Ortiz Jr.
ALTERNATE 2
5-2
9
Seven Lilies
D Davis
 
 
 
 
* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/7 BOX, 2/6/7 BOX
 
 
 
 
 
 
 RACE #8    $700,000 STAKES
 1 3/8 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 4:46 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $700,000 MAN O WAR STAKES GRADE I
 
 
 
 
 
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
 
 
 
 
 
WIN
7-5
2
Gufo
J Rosario
PLACE
1-1
3
Yibir
W T Buick
SHOW
9-2
4
Abaan
L Saez
WILD CARD
30-1
6
So High
L A Rodriguez Castro
 
ALTERNATE 1
20-1
5
Highland Chief
T McCarthy
ALTERNATE 2
10-1
1
Easter
F Prat
 
 
 
 
* EXACTA: 2,3/2,3,4,6
* TRIFECTA: 2,3/2,3,4/2,3,4,6
 
 
COMMENTS: GUFO six triple digit speed numbers in his last seven starts. The rest of the field has three combined. YIBIR is undefeated in two US races. He must be careful not to get caught in traffic as a deep closer. ABAAN popped major increases in his pace numbers last out. The concern is that he could bounce but you cannot ignore the improvement. SO HIGH is a flier on the backend for exotics.
 
 
 
 
 
 RACE #9    $200,000 STAKES
 1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:19 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $200,000 PETER PAN STAKES GRADE III
 
 
 
 
 
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
 
 
 
 
 
WIN
7-2
2
Electability
I Ortiz Jr.
PLACE
3-1
4
We the People
F Prat
SHOW
7-2
1
Set Sail
J Rosario
WILD CARD
4-1
5
Golden Glider
D Davis
 
ALTERNATE 1
6-1
6
Western River
L Saez
ALTERNATE 2
15-1
7
Cooke Creek
M Franco
 
 
 
 
* EXACTA: 1,2,4/1,2,4,5
* TRIFECTA: 1,2,4/1,2,4/1,2,4,5,6
 
 
COMMENTS: ELECTABILITY won his last two and now switches to jockey Irad Ortiz. WE THE PEOPLE was one of the favorites in the Arkansas Derby but failed to fire. He will try and rebound to the form that won his first pair of races with ease. SET SAIL broke his maiden in his second try with similar fractions at 1 mile as at 7 furlongs. GOLDEN GLIDER has been facing tough company along the derby trail.
 
 
 
 
 
 RACE #10    $150,000 STAKES
 1 1/16 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 5:50 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $150,000 BEAUGAY STAKES GRADE III
 
 
 
 
 
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
 
 
 
 
 
WIN
5-2
2
Lemista
I Ortiz Jr.
PLACE
6-1
4
Plum Ali
M Franco
SHOW
15-1
5
Runaway Rumour
J Lezcano
WILD CARD
1-1
1
Rougir
F Prat
 
ALTERNATE 1
8-1
3
Stolen Holiday
J Castellano
ALTERNATE 2
15-1
7
Our Flash Drive
D Davis
 
 
 
 
* EXACTA: 1,2,4,5 Box
* TRIFECTA: 1,2,4,5 Box
 
 
COMMENTS: LEMISTA has been off since last August but 29 furlongs of good works since April 1st say he is ready. PLUM ALI won two in a row and is undefeated in three at the distance. RUNAWAY RUMOUR is a horse for the course with three wins a second and third in five at Belmont. She has one second in four races elsewhere. ROUGIR could be the favorite but his few runs on a firm turf surface resulted in some of her worst performances.
 
 
 
 
 
 RACE #11    $80,000 ALLOWANCE
 7 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:21 PM ET
 
 
 
 
 
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
 
 
 
 
 
WIN
6-1
3
Masterof the Tunes
J L Ortiz
PLACE
6-1
2
Act of Congress
J Castellano
SHOW
8-1
10
Theodora Grace
J A Gomez
WILD CARD
8-1
4
Rigby
I Ortiz Jr.
 
ALTERNATE 1
3-1
15
Gallina
T McCarthy
ALTERNATE 2
6-1
11
Autumn Glory
D Davis
 
 
 
 
* EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-10 BOX, 10-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/10 BOX, 2/4/10 BOX

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