Belmont Park Tip Sheet - November 6

 

 RACE #1    $90,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:00 PM ET

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WIN

8-5

4

Triple Elvis

K Carmouche

PLACE

6-1

5

Dr. Levy

J A Vargas Jr.

SHOW

7-2

6

Provocateur

M Franco

WILD CARD

9-2

3

Gun Maestro

D Davis

 

ALTERNATE 1

4-1

2

Graphic Detail

E Cancel

ALTERNATE 2

6-1

1

Ballot Box

P Lopez

 

 

 

 

* EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX

* TRIFECTA: 4/5/6 BOX, 3/5/6 BOX

 

 

 

 

 

 
 RACE #2    $30,000 CLAIMING
 6 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 12:33 PM ET

 
BEST BET:  #13 FIFTH RISK

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WIN

5-1

13

Fifth Risk

P Lopez

PLACE

4-1

4

Lookin to Fly

D Davis

SHOW

9-2

9

Khali Magic

E Cancel

WILD CARD

6-1

10

Stella Mars

J L Samuel

 

ALTERNATE 1

10-1

1

Appreciate

J A Vargas Jr.

ALTERNATE 2

30-1

11

Cookie Cove

R Mena

 

 

 

 

* EXACTA: 13-4 BOX, 4-9 BOX, 9-10 BOX

* TRIFECTA: 4/9/13 BOX, 4/9/10 BOX

 

 

 

 

 

 
 RACE #3    $150,000 STAKES
 1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:03 PM ET

 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $150,000 TURNBACK THE ALARM HANDICAP G3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WIN

1-1

2

Miss Marissa

K Carmouche

PLACE

5-1

3

So Darn Hot

M Franco

SHOW

2-1

5

Gibberish

D Davis

WILD CARD

7-2

1

Jilted Bride

R Silvera

 

ALTERNATE 1

15-1

4

Firing Carol

E Cancel

 

 

 

 

* EXACTA: 2/3,5

* TRIFECTA: 2/3,5/1,3,5

 

 
COMMENTS: MISS MARISSA ran the top, last race speed figure and could take it up in her third start after a layoff. SO DARN HOT has two wins in three Belmont starts, none anywhere else. GIBBERISH should be a part of the early pace but struggles to hold on late. JILTED BRIDE looks a little better than FIRING CAROL.

 

 

 

 

 
 RACE #4    $200,000 STAKES
 1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:33 PM ET

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WIN

3-1

3

Cross Border

P Lopez

PLACE

8-5

4

Somelikeithotbrown

J A Vargas Jr.

SHOW

12-1

6

Sanctuary City

R Silvera

WILD CARD

4-1

5

Rinaldi

K Carmouche

 

ALTERNATE 1

6-1

2

Therapist

D Davis

ALTERNATE 2

20-1

1

Klickitat

H R Diaz Jr.

 

 

 

 

* EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX

* TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX

 

 

 

 

 

 
 RACE #5    $80,000 ALLOWANCE
 6 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:02 PM ET

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WIN

4-1

1

Blame It On Mary

D Davis

PLACE

6-1

8

Shes the One

M Franco

SHOW

3-1

11

Chasing Cara

P Lopez

WILD CARD

7-2

3

Uncles Gem

E Cancel

 

ALTERNATE 1

5-1

2

Theodora Grace

F Pennington

ALTERNATE 2

30-1

7

Jens Battle

B Hernandez

 

 

 

 

* EXACTA: 1-8 BOX, 8-11 BOX, 11-3 BOX

* TRIFECTA: 1/8/11 BOX, 3/8/11 BOX

 

 

 

 

 

 
 RACE #6    $12,500 CLAIMING
 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:33 PM ET

 
BEST BET:  #1 I LOVE JAXSON

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WIN

2-1

1

I Love Jaxson

D Davis

PLACE

7-2

6

Big Mountain

B Hernandez

SHOW

12-1

7

Postinos Vow

L A Rodriguez Castro

WILD CARD

5-2

4

Kumar

M Franco

 

ALTERNATE 1

2-1

1A

Nutzforboltz

R Mena

ALTERNATE 2

20-1

3

Skylers Scramjet

J L Samuel

 

 

 

 

* EXACTA: 1-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX

* TRIFECTA: 1/6/7 BOX, 4/6/7 BOX

 

 

 

 

 

 
 RACE #7    $100,000 STAKES
 1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:15 PM ET

 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $100,000 CHELSEY FLOWER STAKES

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WIN

6-1

5

Caironi

K Carmouche

PLACE

5-2

1

Shad Nation

P Lopez

SHOW

4-1

9

Misthaven

F Pennington

WILD CARD

6-1

3

Ouraika

M Franco

 

ALTERNATE 1

5-1

7

Philly Eagles

D Davis

ALTERNATE 2

5-1

4

Mischievous Kiss

E Cancel

 

 

 

 

* EXACTA: 1,3,5,9 Box

* TRIFECTA: 1,5,9/1,3,5,9/1,3,5,7,9

 

 
COMMENTS: CAIRONI and SHAD NATION ran very similar races in their last outings. Why not take the horse with higher odds? MISTHAVEN is dropping in class and needs to run back to her debuts late race form. OURAIKA has been running on soft surfaces in France. If she likes the Belmont footing, could surprise here.

 

 

 

 

 
 RACE #8    $85,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:52 PM ET

 
BEST BET:  #5 MORE GRAYTFUL

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WIN

5-1

5

More Graytful

R Silvera

PLACE

7-2

3

Money in the Bank

D Davis

SHOW

6-5

6

Gold Panda

M Franco

WILD CARD

6-1

1

Durkins Call

K Carmouche

 

ALTERNATE 1

8-1

7

Saratoga Pal

E Cancel

ALTERNATE 2

12-1

2

Market Alert

J A Vargas Jr.

 

 

 

 

* EXACTA: 5-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX

* TRIFECTA: 3/5/6 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX

 

 

 

 

 

 
 RACE #9    $100,000 STAKES
 6 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:31 PM ET

 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $100,000 STEWART MANOR STAKES

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WIN

9-5

3

Mystic Eyes

M Franco

PLACE

15-1

2

Charlee O

R Silvera

SHOW

8-1

1

Hot Fudge

E Cancel

WILD CARD

10-1

10

Benbang

P Lopez

 

ALTERNATE 1

3-1

7

Gal in a Rush

D Davis

ALTERNATE 2

6-1

6

The Club

K Carmouche

 

 

 

 

* EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-10 BOX

* TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 1/2/10 BOX

 

 
COMMENTS: MYSTIC EYES should be on/near the lead from start to finish. CHARLEE O could benefit from cutting back from 1 1/16 miles to 6 furlongs. HOT FUDGE drops in class and just needs to run back one race. BENBANGs smashing debut on slop suggests she might like the grass.

 

 

 

 

 
 RACE #10    $50,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:11 PM ET

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WIN

3-1

11

Wicked Fast

E Cancel

PLACE

7-2

16

Wick Loves a Fight

R Mena

SHOW

6-1

5

Spettro

K Carmouche

WILD CARD

8-1

6

Hooky Player

J Pimentel

 

ALTERNATE 1

9-2

3

Necromancer

R Silvera

ALTERNATE 2

20-1

9

Irie Spice

M J Luzzi

 

 

 

 

* EXACTA: 11-16 BOX, 16-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX

* TRIFECTA: 5/11/16 BOX, 5/6/16 BOX