Belmont Park Tip Sheet - October 30

 

 RACE #1    $75,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 12:35 PM ET

 
BEST BET:  #9 CUPERE

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WIN

6-1

9

Cupere

D Davis

PLACE

7-2

3

Pave My Way

E Cancel

SHOW

3-1

8

Shigeko

J Lezcano

WILD CARD

4-1

7

Sarahs Splendor

M Franco

 

ALTERNATE 1

5-1

2

My Cara Mia Mine

J L Samuel

ALTERNATE 2

10-1

1

Sals Dream Girl

L Saez

 

 

 

 

* EXACTA: 9-3 BOX, 3-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX

* TRIFECTA: 3/8/9 BOX, 3/7/8 BOX

 

 

 

 

 

 
 RACE #2    $40,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
 1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:09 PM ET

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WIN

4-1

11

Ghostmon

J L Samuel

PLACE

6-1

9

Wicked Karma

K Carmouche

SHOW

10-1

3

Out of the Breech

L Saez

WILD CARD

8-5

1

Noble Journey

J A Vargas Jr.

 

ALTERNATE 1

5-2

7

Arrowheart

D Davis

ALTERNATE 2

30-1

10

Freudian Analyst

C Ramos

 

 

 

 

* EXACTA: 11-9 BOX, 9-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX

* TRIFECTA: 3/9/11 BOX, 1/3/9 BOX

 

 

 

 

 

 
 RACE #3    $250,000 STAKES
 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:41 PM ET

 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $250,000 SLEEPY HOLLOW STAKES

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WIN

6-5

2

Overstep

I Ortiz Jr.

PLACE

7-5

4

Shipsational

L Saez

SHOW

9-2

3

Who Hoo Thats Me

D Davis

WILD CARD

10-1

5

Excursionniste

J Lezcano

 

ALTERNATE 1

12-1

6

Sterling Hill

E Cancel

ALTERNATE 2

15-1

1

Sundaeswithsandy

M Franco

 

 

 

 

* EXACTA: 2,3,4 Box

* TRIFECTA: 2,4/2,3,5/2,3,4,5

 

 
COMMENTS: OVERSTEP won his debut as the unchallenged $0.75 favorite. SHIPSATIONAL ran the top, last race speed figure. WHO HOO THATS ME won his last start, breaking his maiden in the third try and put in a bullet workout since. EXCURSIONNISTE missed as the chalk in his last, trainer Mark Henning rebounds at 30% with beaten favorites.

 

 

 

 

 
 RACE #4    $75,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
 6 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:13 PM ET

 
BEST BET:  #10 PALACE GOSSIP

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WIN

1-1

10

Palace Gossip

E Cancel

PLACE

9-2

4

U Should B Dancing

L Saez

SHOW

5-2

13

Live in Five

I Ortiz Jr.

WILD CARD

7-2

12

Sabreen

J L Ortiz

 

ALTERNATE 1

5-1

5

Julianas Rose

J Lezcano

ALTERNATE 2

20-1

6

Steppin Hawk

H K Harkie

 

 

 

 

* EXACTA: 10-4 BOX, 4-13 BOX, 13-12 BOX

* TRIFECTA: 4/10/13 BOX, 4/12/13 BOX

 

 

 

 

 

 
 RACE #5    $150,000 STAKES
 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:43 PM ET

 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $150,000 HUDSON HANDICAP

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WIN

3-1

7

Our Last Buck

M Franco

PLACE

10-1

4

Amundson

J L Ortiz

SHOW

6-1

5

Jemography

D Davis

WILD CARD

2-1

8

Ny Traffic

I Ortiz Jr.

 

ALTERNATE 1

6-1

3

Foolish Ghost

J L Samuel

ALTERNATE 2

5-1

1

Judge N Jury

L Saez

 

 

 

 

* EXACTA: 4,5,7,8 Box

* TRIFECTA: 4,5,7,8/4,5,7/3,4,5,7,8

 

 
COMMENTS: OUR LAST BUCK has two wins and a second in four at Belmont Park. AMUNDSON has been training well for this spot. JEMOGRAPHY has four seconds in five Belmont appearances, likes hang late. NY TRAFFIC should be a part of the early pace, but with only three wins in 15 races, is likely to be over bet.

 

 

 

 

 
 RACE #6    $150,000 STAKES
 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:15 PM ET

 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $150,000 IROQUOIS STAKES

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WIN

7-5

2

The Important One

J Lezcano

PLACE

9-5

1

Miss Jimmy

D Davis

SHOW

3-1

6

Espresso Shot

J L Ortiz

WILD CARD

6-1

4

Letmetakethiscall

K Carmouche

 

ALTERNATE 1

20-1

5

Fight On Lucy

B Hernandez

ALTERNATE 2

15-1

3

Hannah Dances

L E Perez

 

 

 

 

* EXACTA: 1,2,4,6 Box

* TRIFECTA: 1,2,4,6 Box

 

 
COMMENTS: THE IMPORTANT ONE just ran her best race and could be betting the second start after a layoff. MISS JIMMY has nine high quality starts in her last 10 races and rides the 48% winning rail. ESPRESSO SHOT should be at/near peak form in her third start off the bench and a bullet work in her last. LETMETAKETHISCALL loves the distance with five wins in five tries.

 

 

 

 

 
 RACE #7    $250,000 STAKES
 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:47 PM ET

 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $250,000 MAID OF THE MIST STAKES

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WIN

3-1

1

Venti Valentine

I Ortiz Jr.

PLACE

7-2

5

Sandys Garden

M Franco

SHOW

12-1

8

Captainsdaughter

K Carmouche

WILD CARD

8-1

9

Dufresne

J Lezcano

 

ALTERNATE 1

4-1

7

Velvet Sister

J L Ortiz

ALTERNATE 2

30-1

10

Luz

J L Samuel

 

 

 

 

* EXACTA: 1,5/1,5,8,9

* TRIFECTA: 1,5/1,5,8,9/1,5,7,8,9

 

 
COMMENTS: VENTI VALENTINE won her debut with a huge rally. SANDYS GARDEN beat a field of seven by 20 lengths in her debut and put in a bullet workout since. CAPTAINSDAUGHTER got fast dirt for the first time in her last and won at Belmont. DUFRESNE is flipping from turf to dirt, a strong angle for trainer Michael Trombetta.

 

 

 

 

 
 RACE #8    $250,000 STAKES
 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:21 PM ET

 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $250,000 EMPIRE DISTAFF STAKES

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WIN

6-1

7

Bank Sting

J Rosario

PLACE

7-2

10

Trinni Luck

M Franco

SHOW

9-2

4

Make Mischief

I Ortiz Jr.

WILD CARD

6-1

8

Maiden Beauty

K Carmouche

 

ALTERNATE 1

12-1

9

Byhubbyhellomoney

E Cancel

ALTERNATE 2

4-1

1

Ice Princess

L Saez

 

 

 

 

* EXACTA: 4,7,8,10 Box

* TRIFECTA: 4,7,10/4,7,8,10/4,7,8,9,10

 

 
COMMENTS: BANK STING has won four in a row, including her last at Belmont. TRINNI LUCK has won four of six lifetime, including two at Belmont. MAKE MISCHIEF returns to work after a short rest, winning her last off the bench. MAIDEN BEAUTY ran the top, last race speed figure and her resume says she could be better in her third start after a layoff.

 

 

 

 

 
 RACE #9    $300,000 STAKES
 1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:52 PM ET

 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $300,000 EMPIRE CLASSIC HANDICAP

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WIN

7-5

5

Americanrevolution

L Saez

PLACE

8-1

1

Captain Bombastic

J Lezcano

SHOW

6-1

8

Tiergan

I Ortiz Jr.

WILD CARD

6-1

2

Three Jokers

J L Ortiz

 

ALTERNATE 1

9-2

3

Mr. Buff

J Alvarado

ALTERNATE 2

10-1

6

Danny California

M Franco

 

 

 

 

* EXACTA: 1,2,5,8 Box

* TRIFECTA: 1,5,8/1,2,5,8/1,2,3,5,8

 

 
COMMENTS: AMERICANREVOLUTION has the highest, last race speed number and is dropping in class. CAPTAIN BOMBASTIC has three wins in six races at Belmont, just two in eight elsewhere. TIERGAN has two wins and a second in three at the distance. THREE JOKERS is a head away from winning three of his last four.

 

 

 

 

 
 RACE #10    $80,000 ALLOWANCE
 7 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:23 PM ET

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WIN

5-1

6

Neuro

L Saez

PLACE

12-1

7

Chrome Dixie

J Alvarado

SHOW

5-1

3

City Mischief

J L Ortiz

WILD CARD

3-1

12

War Terminator

M Franco

 

ALTERNATE 1

15-1

2

Coragescontender

M J Luzzi

ALTERNATE 2

50-1

14

Constant Knight

W A Garcia

 

 

 

 

* EXACTA: 6-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX, 3-12 BOX

* TRIFECTA: 3/6/7 BOX, 3/7/12 BOX