Keeneland Select
Churchill Downs Hotlist - April 30
April 29, 2022 Today’s Churchill Downs Hot List races to watch
Saturday, April 30, 2022
By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
Hot List Key:
A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
1st race – (2) Terawatt (B) staged a strong 5-wide rally to finish second. Should atone for that setback here. (3) Haney Boys drops a notch and should be a key contender. (5) Speed Boat could be tough to catch here. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-5. Doubles: 2-3-5 with 1-2-7-8.
2nd race – (1) Deano was victorious and should be formidable here off the Diodoro claim. (7) Soul Streit takes a big drop off the Amoss claim and should be a factor. (8) Honey Won’t might respond to a turf to dirt move. (2) My Man Flintstone could have a yabba-dabba-doo time in this field. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-7-8.
4th race – (6) Ginsburned (D) dropped from 8-1 to 5-1 then rallied mildly with a wide move. May get a winning trip here. (5) Bryce Canyon was a game second last time and should be a main rival. (4) Evan Sing look good in a debut win and merits respect. The (1) entry of Bakwena and Gingrich form a dangerous entry. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 5-7. Exactas: 1-4-5-6.
6th race – (4) Five Prizes seems to have the pedigree to handle this 10-furlong distance. (5) Inviting should appreciate the added ground. (2) Runaway Wife might prefer this to sprinting. (6) Miss Yearwood should be a factor in the final furlong. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 4-5. Exactas: 4-5 over 2-6 and 2-6 over 4-5.
8th race – (2) Mamba Wamba (B) was third last time despite a wide trip and should save some ground here. Gets a narrow nod. (12) Riche’s Great Girl looks like the one to fear. (9) Spicy Marg can rebound in this spot. (10) Bay Storm was second in her last two tries and should be in the picture once again. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-8-9-11.
No. |
Letter/Last race |
Today’s race |
Comment |
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(2) |
Terawatt |
B, 4/8 |
1 CD |
Was hurt by a wide trip last time |
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(6) |
Ginsburned |
D, 4/8 |
4 CD |
Can rebound with a better try here |
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(2) |
Mamba Wamba |
B, 4/8 |
8 CD |
Will be a factor in the stretch |
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