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Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hotlist - November 10

November 9, 2022

Today’s Churchill Downs Hot List races to watch
Thursday, Nov. 10, 2022

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more. +

1st race – (3) Red Knobs has been racing in stakes and will welcome some class relief here in a claimer. (5) Mugsy Malone won easily at Laurel and should do just fine in a tougher field. (2) Totalizer missed by a neck, though the distance is a question mark. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-5.

3rd race – (8) Partyline rallied for second last time and can work out a winning trip here. (6) Sweet Lady Ivanka could perk up on turf. (4) Quick Romance has some speed and could be troublesome on the front end. (2) Sunroof was no factor in a graded stakes but fits better here. Betting strategy: 8 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-4-6-8. Doubles: 2-4-6-8 with 4-6-8-10.

4th race – (10) Bourbon On Fire (C) dropped from 3-1 to 2-1 and finished a distant second. Could improve off the Asmussen claim. (6) C J All the Way returns to a claim and should be the main rival. (8) Scratchoff adds blinkers and could be more competitive. (4) My Favorite Uncle may benefit from the turnback in distance. Betting strategy: 10 to win, place. Exacta box: 4-6-8-10.

6th race – (8) Unifying was second in her debut and should graduate in this spot. (9) Savage Darling is a firster from McPeek who deserves attention. (4) Sirius Light is worth a look moving over to the main track. (3) Titled Lady is a firster who could be a factor. Betting strategy: 8 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-4-8-9.

8th race – (4) Ari Oakley posted a game neck victory last time and can make it two in a row here. (3) Altered Shot was no worse than second in her last five starts and should be the main rival. (12) Perfect Happiness can put her early speed to good use here. (2) Minute Walk cannot be ignored here. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-4-12.

No.

 

Letter/Last race

Today’s race

 

Comment

 

 

 

 

 

(10)

Bourbon On Fire

C, 10/28

4 CD

Can improve off the Asmussen claim