Churchill Downs Hotlist - November 12

Today’s Churchill Downs Hot List races to watch
Friday, Nov. 12, 2021

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:     

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

2nd race – (6) Seven Kingdoms maker her debut off the claim by Amoss and can win first time out for him. (2) Jazzy Lady might wake up going from turf to dirt. (1) Celestial Spin should be a threat at this level. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-6. Doubles: 1-2-6 with 2-3-4.

3rd race – (2) Cousteau dives into the claiming ranks for the first time and should emerge victorious. (4) Centurion looks like the one to fear off a class drop. (3) River Redemption is worth a look returning to dirt. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-4.

5th race – (5) Moonchild  takes on claimers for the first time and should prove best. (6) November Rose is a firster who should not be ignored. (8) Megan’s Clara could work out a winning trip from the outside post. (2) Z’s Lucky Girl usually takes home a check and cannot be dismissed in this field. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-5-6-8.

7th race – (6) Sarah Harper (C) was bet down from 8-5 to 6-5 and was a decisive maiden winner. Makes it two in a row here. (10) Flash Magic was second in her last two starts and will be a main factor. (4) Code Name Kate might appreciate a fast track. (5) Before You looks like the one to catch.  Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 4-5-6-10. Doubles: 4-5-6-10 with 2-3-5-7.

8th race – (2) Semble Juste was a game third last time and should prevail today. (3) Wistful Woman will be hard to handle off her best effort. (7) Moon Swag will welcome a switch from facing stakes competition. (5) Town Avenger flopped in a Grade 1 stakes but fits better here. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-5-7.