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Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hotlist - November 12

November 11, 2022

Today’s Churchill Downs Hot List races to watch
Saturday, Nov. 12, 2022

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

2nd race – (6) Strobe (C) was bet down from 3-5 to 3-10 and romped in his first race since May. Can make it three in a row here. (2) Steinbeck has early speed and can be a factor in this bunch. (4) Knocker Down will welcome a return to dirt. (5) Higher Standard should be a threat. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-4-5-6. Doubles: 2-4-5-6 with 4-8-9-10. Pick 3: 2-4-5-6 with 4-8-9-10 with 2-4-9-10.

3rd race – (8) Aisha R N is a firster from Asmussen who seems ready to win at first asking. (10) Inside Girl is a first-time starter from Cox who could be the main competition. (4) Ghostly Girl disappointed last time but can bounce back here. (9) Madly Dancing could be a contender with some racing luck. Betting strategy: 8 to win, place. Exacta box: 4-8-9-10. Doubles: 4-8-9-10 with 2-4-9-10.

4th race – (2) Bad Beat Brian tackled Golden Pal last time. This spot is easier. (10) Chasing Artie should be giving chase to the top pick and could wind up on top. (9) Seven Scents will be threat in the stretch. (4) Creative Credit could be tough to catch here. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-4-9-10.

7th race – (4) Sunny One (B) staged a strong rally to win last time and seems ready for another good showing. (7) Starship Mallomar can be competitive in this field. (12) Wicked Groove can be a contender if he overcomes the outside post. (11) Midnight Bella also has talent and the handicap of a bad post. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 4-7-11-12.

10th race – (10) Ournationonparade turned in a big win in his first try for Ness and looks best here. (5) Intrepid Heart has a habit of finishing second and belongs in the exacta. (2) Frosted Grace should have an impact in his debut for Diodoro. (1) Benevengo could be tough to reel in from the rail. Betting strategy: 10 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-5-10.

No.

 

Letter/Last race

Today’s race

 

Comment

 

 

 

 

 

(6)

Strobe

C, 10/14

2 CD

Won easily last time

 

 

 

 

 

(4)

Sunny One

B, 10/21

7 CD

Used a strong rally to win