Churchill Downs Hotlist - November 25

Today’s Churchill Downs Hot List races to watch

Thursday, Nov. 25, 2021

Happy Thanksgiving

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:     

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

4th race – (3) Front Street (C) was bet down from 7-5 to even money and finished a game second. Should make amends today. (6) Bitter Vixen comes off a sharp maiden win and should be a threat. (4) Music App could be tough to catch in this spot. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-4-6. Doubles: 3-4-6 with 1-3-5-7.

5th race – (3) Afleet Diva has never finished worse than second and gets the nod off the Amoss claim. (7) Assertive Style returns to a claimer and should be the main competition. (5) Sapphire Royalty has enough speed to be a key factor here. (1) Airborne Gal will benefit from a ground-saving trip in this field. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-5-7.

8th race – (10) Nic and Noe should be able to control the pace from the outside and prevail in a competitive race. (9) Treaty of Paris fizzled out last time but can rebound here. (2) Sariah Sariah should be more of a factor at this level. (1) Breonna should rebound with a better effort here. Betting strategy: 10 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-9-10. Doubles: 1-2-9-10 with 4-5-6-11.

9th race – (6) All in Sync was a game second in his debut for Asmussen and will graduate here. (5) Always Hopeful seems to have some potential and is worth a look. (11) Art Heist is another firster who could steal a victory. (4) Gilded Ruler will be a threat in his debut for Cox. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 4-5-6-11.

11th race – (6) Bonny South has been running in Grade 1 stakes and will appreciate some class relief here. (1) Crystal Ball should bounce back with a big effort after a fourth in the Grade 1 Spinster. (5) Army Wife is highly consistent and belongs in the exotics. (4) Envoutante usually brings home a check and will be a main factor. Betting strategy: 6  to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-5-6.