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Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hotlist - September 20

September 18, 2020

Today’s Churchill Downs Hot List races to watch
Sunday, Sept. 20, 2020

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:     

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

4th race – (6) Decade (A) missed by a nose in a stellar debut and should make amends for that loss here. (4) Flag of Honor is working nicely toward her debut. (3) Color of Dawn could also make her presence felt in her first start. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-4-6.

6th race - (11) Storming Lion will need a scratch in order to run as he comes off a troubled third in his debut and can work out a winning trip here. (6) S Man is working sharply toward his debut and is worth a look here. (8) Ethical Judgement also seems ready for a strong effort in his debut. (2) Johny’s Fireball showed improved speed last time and will be a factor here. Betting strategy: 11 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-6-8-11. Doubles: 2-6-8-11 with 1-3-7-8.

7th race – (8) Continuum drops significantly after a good third-place effort and should handle this group. (1) Ugo should appreciate a dry track. (3) Golden Tiger missed by a nose at Louisiana Downs and will be formidable against these. (7) K W Captain Flint figures to be closing quickly at the end. Betting strategy: 8 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-7-8.

9th race – (9) Attorney Tim has plenty of late speed and may finally work out a winning trip. (5) Oak Hill bolted last time but may rebound with a better effort here. (3) Oro de Tejano was claimed out of a winning effort and fits well here. (6) Botswana Taps seems better than the effort he turned in last time. Betting strategy: 9 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-5-6-9. Doubles: 3-5-6-9 with 2-4-6-7.

10th race – (4) Orencia drops into a claimer for the first time and figures to prove best here. (2) Creative Legacy returns to the main track and should thrive in a claimer. (6) Treaty of Paris also exits a MSW test and might be a factor against these. (7) Shesalittle Edgy could perk up in a claimer. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-4-6-7.

No.

 

Letter/Last race

Today’s race

Comment

 

 

 

 

 

(6)

Decade

A, 8/15

         4 CD

Was an improved second last time