Keeneland Select
Churchill Downs Tip Sheet - July 2
July 1, 2022
CHURCHILL DOWNS TIPS - SATURDAY, JULY 02, 2022
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Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 69% of the time at this track.
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RACE #1 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:45 PM ET |
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BEST BET: #5 BOXSTER |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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7-2
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5
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Boxster
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R Bejarano
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PLACE
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4-1
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9
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Cigarette Boat
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J Talamo
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SHOW
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10-1
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8
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Mos Treasure
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L Saez
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WILD CARD
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4-1
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2
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Hallow Point
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T Gaffalione
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ALTERNATE 1
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8-1
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1
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Hill of Tara
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R Gutierrez
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ALTERNATE 2
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15-1
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6
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Rarified Flair
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B J Hernandez Jr.
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* EXACTA: 5-9 BOX, 9-8 BOX, 8-2 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 5/8/9 BOX, 2/8/9 BOX
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RACE #2 $148,000 ALLOWANCE 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:16 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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7-5
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4
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Special Reserve
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T Gaffalione
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PLACE
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15-1
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3
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Robo Man
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F Geroux
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SHOW
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4-1
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1
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Necker Island
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M Murrill
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WILD CARD
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8-1
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2
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Jalen Journey
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B J Hernandez Jr.
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ALTERNATE 1
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10-1
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5
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Long Weekend
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E Morales
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ALTERNATE 2
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5-1
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6
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Long Range Toddy
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L Saez
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* EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX
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RACE #3 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:47 PM ET |
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BEST BET: #2 EASY BIG BOY |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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5-1
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2
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Easy Big Boy
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T Gaffalione
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PLACE
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5-1
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4
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Mabuhay
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S Leon
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SHOW
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5-1
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11
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Macho Villa
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L Saez
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WILD CARD
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12-1
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8
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Overly dOro
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J Rocco Jr.
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ALTERNATE 1
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4-1
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12
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Frosted Departure
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J R Leparoux
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ALTERNATE 2
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12-1
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10
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Nak Nak Bolt
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M Murrill
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* EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-11 BOX, 11-8 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 2/4/11 BOX, 4/8/11 BOX
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RACE #4 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:19 PM ET |
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BEST BET: #4 GUNNING |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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4-1
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4
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Gunning
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C J Lanerie
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PLACE
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5-1
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5
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Please Be Kind
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R Bejarano
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SHOW
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8-1
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12
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Savo Island
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F Geroux
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WILD CARD
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12-1
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9
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American Pyramid
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J Rosario
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ALTERNATE 1
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5-1
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11
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Romance Novel
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L Saez
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ALTERNATE 2
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15-1
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8
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Tubman
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J Graham
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* EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-12 BOX, 12-9 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 4/5/12 BOX, 5/9/12 BOX
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RACE #5 $127,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:51 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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7-2
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6
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Spankster
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R Bejarano
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PLACE
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3-1
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9
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Sacred Samurai
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T Gaffalione
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SHOW
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20-1
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4
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Let My People Go
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G Corrales
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WILD CARD
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5-1
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2
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Hippodrome
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J K Court
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ALTERNATE 1
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15-1
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1
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Unified Report
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B J Hernandez Jr.
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ALTERNATE 2
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50-1
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10
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Atta Boy Anthony
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T Canuto
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* EXACTA: 6-9 BOX, 9-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 4/6/9 BOX, 2/4/9 BOX
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RACE #6 $200,000 STAKES 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:23 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $200,000 TEPIN STAKES |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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3-1
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2
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Patna
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F Geroux
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PLACE
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9-5
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4
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Wicked Halo
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T Gaffalione
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SHOW
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7-2
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1
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Heartyconstitution
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L Saez
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WILD CARD
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6-1
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6
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Runaway Wife
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J R Leparoux
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ALTERNATE 1
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8-1
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7
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Sandstone
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B J Hernandez Jr.
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ALTERNATE 2
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10-1
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5
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Zawish
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E Morales
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* EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX
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COMMENTS: PATNA won two in a row making it look easy. WICKED HALO got a win at this level in her last but the fractions were a touch slower. HEARTYCONSTITUTION should be better in her second start off the sidelines. RUNAWAY WIFE won her maiden in her last with a big effort and has a bullet work since. |
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RACE #7 $200,000 STAKES 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:55 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $200,000 AMERICAN DERBY |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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5-1
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8
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Kuchar
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F Geroux
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PLACE
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15-1
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10
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War Campaign
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C J Hernandez
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SHOW
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3-1
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9
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Rattle N Roll
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B J Hernandez Jr.
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WILD CARD
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4-1
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5
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McLaren Vale
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L Saez
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ALTERNATE 1
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5-1
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7
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Red Run
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T Gaffalione
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ALTERNATE 2
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10-1
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11
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O P Firecracker
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R Santana Jr.
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* EXACTA: 8-10 BOX, 10-9 BOX, 9-5 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 8/9/10 BOX, 5/9/10 BOX
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COMMENTS: KUCHAR should be close to the pace and has plenty of late run. WAR CAMPAIGN got the maiden score in her second try with strong late pace growth. RATTLE N ROLL drops in class and never missed the board in four Churchill efforts. MCLAREN VALE gets upgraded if the track is wet. |
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RACE #8 $350,000 STAKES 1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:35 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $350,000 FLEUR DE LIS GRADE II |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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9-5
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5
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Shedaresthedevil
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F Geroux
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PLACE
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2-1
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1
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Super Quick
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J Talamo
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SHOW
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5-2
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4
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Paulines Pearl
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J Rosario
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WILD CARD
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5-1
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2
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Shes All Wolfe
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F Arrieta
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ALTERNATE 1
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6-1
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3
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Avas Grace
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D Cohen
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* EXACTA: 5-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX
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COMMENTS: SHEDARESTHEDEVIL has five wins and a second in six at Churchill. SUPER QUICK won her last by 14 lengths will superior early pace performance. PAULINES PEARL topped the first choice two back but may have peaked in that start. SHES ALL WOLF or AVAS GRACE take your pick. |
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RACE #9 $160,000 STAKES 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:16 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $160,000 KELLYS LANDING OVERNIGHT STAKES |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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2-1
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4
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Aloha West
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J Rosario
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PLACE
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5-2
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5
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Bango
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T Gaffalione
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SHOW
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8-1
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3
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Kneedeepinsnow
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R Santana Jr.
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WILD CARD
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8-1
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1
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Awesome Gerry
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G Corrales
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ALTERNATE 1
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15-1
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2
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Heart Rhythm
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G Franco
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ALTERNATE 2
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6-1
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9
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Miles Ahead
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J Talamo
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* EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX
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COMMENTS: ALOHA WEST drops in class and should be better in his third start off the break. BANGO won seven of 13 at Churchill but just two of 10 elsewhere. KNEEDEEPINSNOWs trainer hits at 29 percent second race off the claim. AWESOME GERRY won his last with much improved early pace numbers. |
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RACE #10 $750,000 STAKES 1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:47 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $750,000 STEPHEN FOSTER STAKES GRADE II |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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5-2
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3
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Olympiad
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J Alvarado
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PLACE
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2-1
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6
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Mandaloun
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F Geroux
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SHOW
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10-1
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1
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Caddo River
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R Santana Jr.
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WILD CARD
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7-2
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2
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Americanrevolution
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L Saez
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ALTERNATE 1
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9-2
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5
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Proxy
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J Rosario
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ALTERNATE 2
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8-1
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7
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Last Samurai
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J K Court
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* EXACTA: 3-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 1/3/6 BOX, 1/2/6 BOX
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COMMENTS: OLYMPIAD won five of his last six races and most were not close. MANDALOUN just missed winning last years Kentucky Derby at Churchill. CADDO RIVER has been on a roll smashing the competition three in a row. AMERICANREVOLUTION should be running on the fourth but should improve in his second after a layoff today. |
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RACE #11 $134,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:17 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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4-1
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8
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Altered Shot
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F Geroux
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PLACE
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3-1
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11
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Millefeuille
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J Rosario
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SHOW
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9-2
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4
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Regal Retort
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T Gaffalione
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WILD CARD
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10-1
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1
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Be Like Water
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R Bejarano
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ALTERNATE 1
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8-1
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7
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Sterling Miss
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B J Hernandez Jr.
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ALTERNATE 2
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9-2
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6
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Honorifique
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L Saez
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* EXACTA: 8-11 BOX, 11-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 4/8/11 BOX, 1/4/11 BOX
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RACE #12 $127,000 ALLOWANCE 1 3/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:45 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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3-1
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10
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Alejandro
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B J Hernandez Jr.
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PLACE
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7-2
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2
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Greatheart
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J Alvarado
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SHOW
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10-1
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11
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Tiz Rye Time
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F Arrieta
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WILD CARD
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8-1
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4
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Curbstone
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T Gaffalione
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ALTERNATE 1
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6-1
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5
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Southern Passage
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L Saez
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ALTERNATE 2
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20-1
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12
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Full Charge
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R Bejarano
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* EXACTA: 10-2 BOX, 2-11 BOX, 11-4 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 2/10/11 BOX, 2/4/11 BOX
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