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Churchill Downs Tip Sheet - June 26
June 25, 2021| CHURCHILL DOWNS TIPS - SATURDAY, JUNE 26, 2021 | ||||
| Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 66% of the time at this track. | ||||
| RACE #1 $100,000 MAIDEN 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:45 PM ET |
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| PICK ORDER | M/L | P# | HORSE NAME | JOCKEY |
| WIN | 5-1 | 8 | Atoka | JK Court |
| PLACE | 6-1 | 10 | Robo Man | M Murrill |
| SHOW | 5-1 | 4 | Cool Quest | D Van Kyke |
| WILD CARD | 5-1 | 1 | Partners Hope | R Albarado |
| ALTERNATE 1 | 7/2 | 9 | Racarino | JR Velazquez |
| ALTERNATE 2 | 20-1 | 2 | Sullys Bro | BJ Hernandez Jr |
| * EXACTA: 8-10 BOX, 10-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX | ||||
| * TRIFECTA: 4/8/10 BOX, 1/4/10 BOX | ||||
| RACE #2 $100,000 MAIDEN 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:14 PM ET |
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| BEST BET: #1 GUNITE | ||||
| PICK ORDER | M/L | P# | HORSE NAME | JOCKEY |
| WIN | 5/2 | 1 | Gunite | R Santana Jr |
| PLACE | 6-1 | 15 | Buckingham Prince | J Talamo |
| SHOW | 5-1 | 11 | Hilarious Affair | A Beschizza |
| WILD CARD | 10-1 | 8 | Call Me Midnight | M Murrill |
| ALTERNATE 1 | 6-1 | 14 | Iconic Legacy | F Geroux |
| ALTERNATE 2 | 30-1 | 7 | Eli | R Bejarano |
| * EXACTA: 1-15 BOX, 15-11 BOX, 11-8 BOX | ||||
| * TRIFECTA: 1/11/15 BOX, 8/11/15 BOX | ||||
| RACE #3 $50,000 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:43 PM ET |
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| BEST BET: #12 MOUNT TRAVERS | ||||
| PICK ORDER | M/L | P# | HORSE NAME | JOCKEY |
| WIN | 6-1 | 12 | Mount Travers | JR Velazquez |
| PLACE | 5-1 | 11 | Rocking the Boat | F Geroux |
| SHOW | 8-1 | 5 | Senor Jobim | R Santana Jr |
| WILD CARD | 8-1 | 2 | Charge the Line | J Castellano |
| ALTERNATE 1 | 9/2 | 7 | Nifty | J Graham |
| ALTERNATE 2 | 15-1 | 4 | Lamartine | A Beschizza |
| * EXACTA: 12-11 BOX, 11-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX | ||||
| * TRIFECTA: 5/11/12 BOX, 2/5/11 BOX | ||||
| RACE #4 $104,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 1/8 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:13 PM ET |
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| PICK ORDER | M/L | P# | HORSE NAME | JOCKEY |
| WIN | 8-1 | 2 | Trident Hit | J Castellano |
| PLACE | 5-1 | 4 | Thirstforlife | M Murrill |
| SHOW | 7/2 | 9 | Ocean Atlantique | T Gaffalione |
| WILD CARD | 8-1 | 7 | Moliere | JL Ortiz |
| ALTERNATE 1 | 8-1 | 8 | Pit Boss | J Rocco Jr |
| ALTERNATE 2 | 6-1 | 1 | Beaver Hat | A Beschizza |
| * EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-9 BOX, 9-7 BOX | ||||
| * TRIFECTA: 2/4/9 BOX, 4/7/9 BOX | ||||
| RACE #5 $300,000 STAKES 1 1/8 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:45 PM ET |
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| ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $300K FLEUR DE LIS STAKES GR. II | ||||
| PICK ORDER | M/L | P# | HORSE NAME | JOCKEY |
| WIN | 4/5 | 6 | Letruska | JL Ortiz |
| PLACE | 6-1 | 1 | Point of Honor | J Castellano |
| SHOW | 2-1 | 4 | Envoutante | BJ Hernandez Jr |
| WILD CARD | 8-1 | 5 | Spice Is Nice | JR Velazquez |
| ALTERNATE 1 | 10-1 | 3 | Vault | T Gaffalione |
| ALTERNATE 2 | 20-1 | 2 | Antoinette | F Geroux |
| * EXACTA: 1,4,6 Box | ||||
| * TRIFECTA: 1,4,6/1,4,5,6/1,4,5,6 | ||||
| COMMENTS: LETRUSKA looks to be one of the top mares in the country right now. POINT OF HONOR has hit the board in four of five at the distance and nine of 11 on a fast track. ENVOUTANTE won her last by 4 1/4 lengths. A big race is usually followed by another. SPICE IS NICE is undefeated in 2021, including one at todays distance. | ||||
| RACE #6 $102,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:18 PM ET |
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| BEST BET: #6 KINETIC SKY | ||||
| PICK ORDER | M/L | P# | HORSE NAME | JOCKEY |
| WIN | 7/2 | 6 | Kinetic Sky | F Geroux |
| PLACE | 3-1 | 1 | Ready to Pounce | A Beschizza |
| SHOW | 12-1 | 5 | Cajun Moon | M Murrill |
| WILD CARD | 10-1 | 8 | Tycoon | T Gaffalione |
| ALTERNATE 1 | 12-1 | 9 | Camp Hope | Bj Hernandez Jr |
| ALTERNATE 2 | 10-1 | 11 | Franz Josef | J Rocco Jr |
| * EXACTA: 6-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX | ||||
| * TRIFECTA: 1/5/6 BOX, 1/5/8 BOX | ||||
| RACE #7 $150,000 STAKES 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:50 PM ET |
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| ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $150K WAR CHANT STAKES | ||||
| PICK ORDER | M/L | P# | HORSE NAME | JOCKEY |
| WIN | 7/2 | 7 | Helium | T Gaffalione |
| PLACE | 3-1 | 5 | Royal Prince | F Geroux |
| SHOW | 5-1 | 8 | Next | JR Velazquez |
| WILD CARD | 7/2 | 1 | Accredit | S Doyle |
| ALTERNATE 1 | 8-1 | 6 | El Kabong | J Graham |
| ALTERNATE 2 | 8-1 | 4 | Dyn O Mite | BJ Hernandez Jr |
| * EXACTA: 5,7,8/1,5,7,8 | ||||
| * TRIFECTA: 5,7,8/1,5,7,8/1,5,6,7,8 | ||||
| COMMENTS: HELIUM ran the best, last race speed figure and could add more in his third start after a layoff. ROYAL PRINCE is probably the most consistent runner in this group. NEXTs trainer and jockey combo of John Velazquez and Wesley Ward have won six of their last 10 together. ACCREDIT won his last with an improved final time at 1 1/16 miles on grass, usually a good sign. | ||||
| RACE #8 $150,000 STAKES 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:22 PM ET |
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| ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $150K DEBUTANTE STAKES | ||||
| PICK ORDER | M/L | P# | HORSE NAME | JOCKEY |
| WIN | 5/2 | 8 | Ontheonesandtwos | F Geroux |
| PLACE | 4-1 | 3 | Tizplenty | R Santana Jr |
| SHOW | 9/2 | 7 | Behave Virginia | BJ Hernandez Jr |
| WILD CARD | 4-1 | 1 | Wicked Halo | JL Ortiz |
| ALTERNATE 1 | 8-1 | 6 | Mollie Kate | J Graham |
| ALTERNATE 2 | 6-1 | 2 | Cartel Queen | CJ Hernandez |
| * EXACTA: 1,3,7,8 Box | ||||
| * TRIFECTA: 3,7,8/1,3,7,8/1,3,6,7,8 | ||||
| COMMENTS: Anything can happen with two-year-olds. ONTHEONESANDTWOS ran the fastest race at Churchill of the bunch, same effort here should result in win number two. TIZPLENTY improved in race number two, a similar move forward would make her tough to beat. BEHAVE VIRGINIA probably had the most, visually impressive debut of the group. WICKED HALO ships in from Lone Star, trainer Steve Asmussen hits at 20% with invaders. | ||||
| RACE #9 $150,000 STAKES 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:55 PM ET |
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| ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $150K BASHFORD MANOR STAKES GR. II | ||||
| PICK ORDER | M/L | P# | HORSE NAME | JOCKEY |
| WIN | 3-1 | 4 | Glacial | J Talamo |
| PLACE | 7/2 | 9 | Red Run | R Santana Jr |
| SHOW | 6-1 | 1 | Vodka N Water | JL Ortiz |
| WILD CARD | 7/2 | 2 | Lansdowne | JK Court |
| ALTERNATE 1 | 4-1 | 8 | Double Thunder | JR Velazquez |
| ALTERNATE 2 | 12-1 | 3 | Tapped Off | D Van Dyke |
| * EXACTA: 4,9/1,2,4,9 | ||||
| * TRIFECTA: 4,9/1,2,4,9/1,2,4,8,9 | ||||
| COMMENTS: GLACIAL probably has the most room for improvement on career start number two, provided he gets off to a better start today. If not, RED RUN should sit right behind the leaders and pick them off at the wire. VODKA N WATER has faced much tough, just hasnt figured out how to win. LANSDOWNE is the number 1 upset candidate. He ran out to a big lead only to give up a lot of ground at the end. He will need more stamina today with another furlong to hold on. | ||||
| RACE #10 $300,000 STAKES 1 1/16 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:26 PM ET |
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| ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $300K WISE DAN STAKES GR. II | ||||
| PICK ORDER | M/L | P# | HORSE NAME | JOCKEY |
| WIN | 8/5 | 1 | Set Piece | F Geroux |
| PLACE | 2-1 | 3 | Somelikeithotbrown | JL Ortiz |
| SHOW | 5-1 | 7 | Ride a Comet | T Gaffalione |
| WILD CARD | 5-1 | 8 | Field Pass | R Santana Jr |
| ALTERNATE 1 | 20-1 | 4 | Super Sol | G Saez |
| ALTERNATE 2 | 15-1 | 9 | Spooky Channel | JR Velazquez |
| * EXACTA: 1,3,7,8 Box | ||||
| * TRIFECTA: 1,3,7/1,3,7,8/1,3,3,7,8 | ||||
| COMMENTS: SET PIECE and SOMELIKEITHOTBROWN should get ideal setups for their racing styles, near the front but at a reasonable pace. Both like to win but we give SET PIECE the edge due to his Churchill record. RIDE A COMET returns to work after a short rest. He has won two of his last three off the bench. FIELD PASS jockey Ricardo Santana, Jr. has been on fire with five wins, a second and seven third in his last 20 mounts. | ||||
| RACE #11 $600,000 STAKES 1 1/8 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:59 PM ET |
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| ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $600K STEPHEN FOSTER STAKES GR. II | ||||
| PICK ORDER | M/L | P# | HORSE NAME | JOCKEY |
| WIN | 4/5 | 8 | Maxfield | JL Ortiz |
| PLACE | 15-1 | 3 | Necker Island | M Murrill |
| SHOW | 10-1 | 4 | Sprawl | BJ Hernandez Jr |
| WILD CARD | 6-1 | 5 | Silver Dust | A Beschizza |
| ALTERNATE 1 | 6-1 | 9 | Visitant | J Graham |
| ALTERNATE 2 | 6-1 | 6 | Warriors Charge | F Geroux |
| * EXACTA: 8/3,4,5,9 | ||||
| * TRIFECTA: 8/3,4,5/3,4,5,6,8,9 | ||||
| COMMENTS: Its MAXFIELD's race to win with every other competing for second place money if he has a clean trip. NECKER ISLAND showed major improvement in his last and will probably ride mirror MAXFIELD and hope to outrun him to the wire. SPRAWL has performed very well at Churchill in 2021 and his recent workout suggest he will do it again today. SILVER DUST is the horse for the course pick, finishing in the money in 80% of his Churchill starts. | ||||
| RACE #12 $150,000 STAKES 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:27 PM ET |
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| ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $150K TEPIN STAKES | ||||
| PICK ORDER | M/L | P# | HORSE NAME | JOCKEY |
| WIN | 6-1 | 4 | Town Avenger | D Van Dyke |
| PLACE | 4-1 | 8 | Tobys Heart | J Castellano |
| SHOW | 9/2 | 1 | Invincible Gal | JL Ortiz |
| WILD CARD | 12-1 | 5 | Navratilova | BJ Hernandez Jr |
| ALTERNATE 1 | 5-1 | 7 | Adventuring | JR Velazquez |
| ALTERNATE 2 | 10-1 | 10 | New Boss | A Beschizza |
| * EXACTA: 1,4,5,8 | ||||
| * TRIFECTA: 1,4,8/1,4,5,8/1,4,5,7,8 | ||||
| COMMENTS: This is a race where you can make a case for at least half the field. TOWN AVENGER probably has the most upside in her second career start. The first was good enough. TOBYS HEART could have won four of her first five starts with a little better luck. INVINCIBLE GIRL is the one that could make it look easy with the right trip. NAVRATILOVA or ADVENTURING, take your pick | ||||
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