Keeneland Select
Churchill Downs Tip Sheet - November 19
November 19, 2022
CHURCHILL DOWNS TIPS - SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 19, 2022
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Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 69% of the time at this track.
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RACE #1 $15,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:00 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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4-1
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4
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Southern Sense
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J Talamo
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PLACE
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6-1
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1
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Scotch No Rocks
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V Lebron
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SHOW
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9-2
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7
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Loot the Moon
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C Miller
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WILD CARD
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5-1
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3
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The Big Mozz
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R Miranda
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ALTERNATE 1
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5-1
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6
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Supe
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J Rocco Jr.
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ALTERNATE 2
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12-1
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12
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Myuddermamasapaint
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J Elliott
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* EXACTA: 4-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 1/4/7 BOX, 1/3/7 BOX
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RACE #2 $20,000 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:30 PM ET |
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BEST BET: #3 STEELY DANZA |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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2-1
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3
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Steely Danza
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L Saez
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PLACE
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10-1
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6
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Lansdowne
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M Murrill
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SHOW
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7-2
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4
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Romancer
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T Gaffalione
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WILD CARD
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3-1
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1
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Midaswellrun
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E Morales
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ALTERNATE 1
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7-2
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2
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Holiday House
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G Corrales
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ALTERNATE 2
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5-1
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5
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Mischievous Rogue
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L Machado
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* EXACTA: 3-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX
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RACE #3 $30,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:00 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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4-1
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8
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Duplantis
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E Morales
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PLACE
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4-1
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7
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Led Tasso
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T Gaffalione
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SHOW
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7-2
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9
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Yacht Rock
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J Talamo
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WILD CARD
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3-1
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2
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Suitable
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L Saez
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ALTERNATE 1
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10-1
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5
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Collectorate
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R Bejarano
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ALTERNATE 2
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12-1
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10
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Lets Go Random
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L Machado
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* EXACTA: 8-7 BOX, 7-9 BOX, 9-2 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 7/8/9 BOX, 2/7/9 BOX
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RACE #4 $72,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:30 PM ET |
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BEST BET: #6 GIRL AFRAID |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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7-2
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6
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Girl Afraid
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B J Hernandez Jr.
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PLACE
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5-1
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4
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Condensation
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L Machado
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SHOW
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3-1
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1
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Saenz
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F Geroux
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WILD CARD
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5-2
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2
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Frigid Lady
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L Saez
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ALTERNATE 1
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6-1
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3
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Moon Magic Chrissy
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R Miranda
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* EXACTA: 6-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 1/4/6 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX
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LATE SCRATCH: Horse #5 - Cupids Payday
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RACE #5 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:01 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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5-2
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9
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Woodline
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T Gaffalione
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PLACE
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2-1
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5
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Cape Trafalgar
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L Saez
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SHOW
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4-1
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8
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Cloud Without Rein
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J K Court
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WILD CARD
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20-1
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7
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Yolo Santiago
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E Morales
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ALTERNATE 1
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10-1
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6
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F Five
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J R Leparoux
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ALTERNATE 2
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8-1
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1
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Town Branch
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M Murrill
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* EXACTA: 9-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 5/8/9 BOX, 5/7/8 BOX
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RACE #6 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:31 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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2-1
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1
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Easy Action
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R Santana Jr.
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PLACE
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3-1
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3
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Reagan
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B J Hernandez Jr.
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SHOW
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12-1
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5
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Chicagos Gray
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F Geroux
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WILD CARD
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8-1
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11
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Larks Mischief
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T Gaffalione
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ALTERNATE 1
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10-1
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7
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Bromley
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G Corrales
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* EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-11 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 1/3/5 BOX, 3/5/11 BOX
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LATE SCRATCH: Horse #6 - Mo Hope
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RACE #7 $20,000 CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:01 PM ET |
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BEST BET: #11 BLUE KENTUCKY |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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5-2
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11
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Blue Kentucky
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R Santana Jr.
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PLACE
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12-1
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8
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Mulberry Street
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D Cannon
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SHOW
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12-1
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6
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Arthurian
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L Machado
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WILD CARD
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7-2
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3
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Explosive
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T Gaffalione
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ALTERNATE 1
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8-1
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1
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Bonus Appreciation
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M Garcia
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ALTERNATE 2
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15-1
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5
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Little Alex
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I Ayala
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* EXACTA: 11-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 6/8/11 BOX, 3/6/8 BOX
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RACE #8 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:33 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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5-2
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7
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Communication Memo
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T Gaffalione
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PLACE
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3-1
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5
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Carcano
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R Bejarano
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SHOW
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9-2
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2
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Corona Bolt
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F Geroux
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WILD CARD
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10-1
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3
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Event Detail
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L Saez
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ALTERNATE 1
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15-1
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10
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Pinfire
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J Rocco Jr.
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ALTERNATE 2
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20-1
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6
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Commander Rex
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B J Hernandez Jr.
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* EXACTA: 7-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 2/5/7 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX
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RACE #9 $134,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:05 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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4-1
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8
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Barista
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B J Hernandez Jr.
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PLACE
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3-1
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10
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Fairchild
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T Gaffalione
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SHOW
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12-1
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1
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New Roo
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E Morales
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WILD CARD
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5-1
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4
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Justify My Love
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V Cheminaud
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* EXACTA: 8-10 BOX, 10-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 1/8/10 BOX, 1/4/10 BOX
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LATE SCRATCH: Horse #16 - Illiogami
LATE SCRATCH: Horse #5 - Misty Veil |
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* REPLACE WITH: Horse #4 - Justify My Love
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RACE #10 $300,000 STAKES 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:35 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $300,000 CHILUKKI STAKES GRADE III |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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9-5
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1
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Coach
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R Santana Jr.
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PLACE
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3-1
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2
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Mariahs Princess
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M Garcia
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SHOW
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5-2
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6
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She Cant Sing
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B J Hernandez Jr.
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WILD CARD
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8-1
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7
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Liberty M D
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J R Leparoux
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ALTERNATE 1
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10-1
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4
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Ice Orchid
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T Gaffalione
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* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 2/6/7 BOX
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LATE SCRATCH: Horse #3 - Center Aisle
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COMMENTS: COACH has a win and a second in two at the distance. She also ran the highest last race speed figure. MARIAHS PRINCESS posted better pace numbers through the first half mile of her last race and will look to improve on that effort today. SHE CANT SING has some nice workouts getting ready for her first start since mid September. LIBERTY MD is a horse for the course with four wins and a second in five at Churchill. |
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RACE #11 $127,000 ALLOWANCE 1 1/4 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:05 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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5-2
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8
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War Campaign
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C J Lanerie
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PLACE
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4-1
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9
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Gate Runner
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F Geroux
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SHOW
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3-1
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3
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Strong Quality
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R Santana Jr.
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WILD CARD
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5-1
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5
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Ten Gauge
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B J Hernandez Jr.
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ALTERNATE 1
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5-1
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6
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Complete Agenda
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L Saez
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* EXACTA: 8-9 BOX, 9-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 3/8/9 BOX, 3/5/9 BOX
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LATE SCRATCH: Horse #1 - Doctor Nash
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