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Churchill Downs Tip Sheet - November 26
November 25, 2022|
CHURCHILL DOWNS TIPS - SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 26, 2022
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Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 69% of the time at this track.
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RACE #1 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:00 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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3-1
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8
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Determinedly
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L Saez
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PLACE
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7-2
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7
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Prairie Dunes
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M Garcia
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SHOW
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4-1
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4
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Desert Wolf
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T Gaffalione
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WILD CARD
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12-1
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9
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Dreamwithinadream
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M Murrill
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ALTERNATE 1
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6-1
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5
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Shoppers Revenge
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R Santana Jr.
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ALTERNATE 2
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12-1
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10
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Noises Off
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G Corrales
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* EXACTA: 8-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX, 4-9 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 4/7/8 BOX, 4/7/9 BOX
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RACE #2 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:30 PM ET |
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BEST BET: #5 TOWHEAD |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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7-2
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5
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Towhead
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G Corrales
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PLACE
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9-2
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7
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Comparative
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F Geroux
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SHOW
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6-1
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3
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Roses and Rozay
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B J Hernandez Jr.
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WILD CARD
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8-1
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1
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Wits and Wagers
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R Bejarano
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ALTERNATE 1
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5-1
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9
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Stay Lost
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J Talamo
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ALTERNATE 2
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5-1
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12
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Theroanrunner
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T Gaffalione
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* EXACTA: 5-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 3/5/7 BOX, 1/3/7 BOX
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RACE #3 $127,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:59 PM ET |
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BEST BET: #4 TWO EAGLES RIVER |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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4-1
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4
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Two Eagles River
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M Murrill
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PLACE
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2-1
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5
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Joking Way
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T Gaffalione
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SHOW
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9-5
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2
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Victory Formation
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L Saez
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WILD CARD
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5-1
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6
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Lugan Knight
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F Geroux
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ALTERNATE 1
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20-1
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8
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Gold Luck
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M Garcia
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ALTERNATE 2
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15-1
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3
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Lord Grantham
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C Landeros
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* EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX
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RACE #4 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:28 PM ET |
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BEST BET: #10 BRU NA BOINNE |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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5-1
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10
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Bru Na Boinne
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G Corrales
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PLACE
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3-1
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15
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Klassy Bridgette
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M Murrill
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SHOW
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12-1
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7
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Patty Van Twinkle
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J Rocco Jr.
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WILD CARD
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7-2
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11
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Vahva
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L Saez
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ALTERNATE 1
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4-1
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12
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Poblano
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T Gaffalione
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ALTERNATE 2
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6-1
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5
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Market Profile
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R Santana Jr.
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* EXACTA: 10-15 BOX, 15-7 BOX, 7-11 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 7/10/15 BOX, 7/11/15 BOX
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RACE #5 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:58 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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7-2
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9
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Spielman
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M Murrill
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PLACE
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5-1
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2
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Escapologist
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B J Hernandez Jr.
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SHOW
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6-1
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14
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Parkway
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T Gaffalione
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WILD CARD
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9-2
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10
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Endpoint
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G Corrales
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ALTERNATE 1
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8-1
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4
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Hard to Come By
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T Gaffalione
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ALTERNATE 2
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5-1
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7
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Point Proven
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L Saez
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* EXACTA: 9-2 BOX, 2-14 BOX, 14-10 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 2/9/14 BOX, 2/10/14 BOX
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RACE #6 $127,000 ALLOWANCE 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:27 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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3-1
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12
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Aristocracy
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F Geroux
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PLACE
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5-2
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10
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Deer District
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M Garcia
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SHOW
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3-1
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5
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Worthington
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L Saez
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WILD CARD
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5-1
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3
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Mendels Secret
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G Corrales
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ALTERNATE 1
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15-1
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7
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B Minor
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B J Hernandez Jr.
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ALTERNATE 2
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20-1
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6
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Suitable
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F Geroux
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* EXACTA: 12-10 BOX, 10-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 5/10/12 BOX, 3/5/10 BOX
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RACE #7 $200,000 STAKES 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:57 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $200,000 FERN CREEK STAKES |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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1-1
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3
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Key of Life
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F Geroux
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PLACE
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7-2
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6
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Red Carpet Ready
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B J Hernandez Jr.
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SHOW
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3-1
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4
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Twirled
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T Gaffalione
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WILD CARD
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20-1
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5
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Tell Me When
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G Corrales
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ALTERNATE 1
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4-1
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2
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The Great Maybe
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L Saez
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ALTERNATE 2
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20-1
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1
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Baytown Lovely
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J Gilligan
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* EXACTA: 3-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX
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COMMENTS: KEY OF LIFE won her last three and none of them were close. RED CARPET READY won her debut by 10 lengths with strong in race numbers. TWIRLED is a nose from winning her first two starts. TELL ME WHEN has a win and a second in two at Churchill. |
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RACE #8 $127,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:27 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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10-1
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2
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Highway Robber
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V Cheminaud
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PLACE
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10-1
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4
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Must Be the Money
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E Morales
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SHOW
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7-2
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7
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Rocket Can
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L Saez
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WILD CARD
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3-1
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5
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Hit Show
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F Geroux
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ALTERNATE 1
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5-1
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3
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Tres Soles
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T Gaffalione
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ALTERNATE 2
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6-1
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1
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Raise Cain
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G Corrales
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* EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 2/4/7 BOX, 4/5/7 BOX
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RACE #9 $200,000 STAKES 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:57 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $200,000 ED BROWN STAKES |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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7-2
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6
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Top Recruit
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G Corrales
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PLACE
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3-1
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4
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Frosted Departure
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B J Hernandez Jr.
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SHOW
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5-1
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3
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Mr Bob
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L Saez
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WILD CARD
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6-1
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7
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Mounsieur Coco
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F Geroux
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ALTERNATE 1
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5-2
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5
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Powerful
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T Gaffalione
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ALTERNATE 2
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5-1
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2
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Bourbon Bash
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M Murrill
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* EXACTA: 6-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 3/4/7 BOX
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COMMENTS: TOP RECRUIT cuts back in distance and could improve in his third race after a layoff. FROSTED DEPARTURE bombed in his last but some good works since hint that he is back on track. MR BOB won his last with the top last race speed figure and has a bullet work since. MONSIEUR COCO is trying Churchill for the first time but his workouts suggest he will like the track. |
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RACE #10 $400,000 STAKES 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:27 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $400,000 GOLDEN ROD STAKES GRADE II |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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1-1
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4
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Hoosier Philly
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E Morales
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PLACE
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5-2
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1
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Pretty Mischievous
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T Gaffalione
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SHOW
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12-1
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7
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T Max
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J Gilligan
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WILD CARD
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15-1
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10
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Defining Purpose
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B J Hernandez Jr.
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ALTERNATE 1
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20-1
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5
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Black Forest
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G Corrales
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ALTERNATE 2
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12-1
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6
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Knockyoursocksoff
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J R Leparoux
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* EXACTA: 4-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX, 7-10 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 1/4/7 BOX, 1/7/10 BOX
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COMMENTS: HOOSIER PHILLY is unbeaten in two races and neither was close. PRETTY MISCHEVOUS in another that won both of her starts with ease. T MAX ran a well beaten second to the top choice last out and has some back speed. DEFINING PURPOSE got the maiden score in her second try in a blowout win as the favorite. |
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RACE #11 $400,000 STAKES 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:56 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $400,000 KY JOCKEY CLUB STAKES GRADE II |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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3-1
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1
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Curly Jack
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E Morales
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PLACE
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12-1
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3
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Denington
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B J Hernandez Jr.
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SHOW
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5-2
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8
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Instant Coffee
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L Saez
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WILD CARD
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7-2
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5
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Red Route One
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T Gaffalione
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ALTERNATE 1
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6-1
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6
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Freedom Trail
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F Geroux
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ALTERNATE 2
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8-1
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9
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Cyclone Mischief
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J Talamo
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* EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 1/3/8 BOX, 3/5/8 BOX
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COMMENTS: CURLY JACK is undefeated in two at Churchill. DENINGTON had some amazing late run in his last. INSTANT COFFEE can get off to a slow start and rally hard. If he breaks closer to the front it will be hard to hold him off. RED ROUTE ONE should rally hard in the stretch and needs to get a clean trip. |
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RACE #12 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:24 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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10-1
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5
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Midnight Pranks
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B J Hernandez Jr.
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PLACE
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8-1
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4
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Backside Buzz
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C J Lanerie
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SHOW
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3-1
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3
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Talladega
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T Gaffalione
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WILD CARD
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5-1
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11
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Mobster
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E Morales
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ALTERNATE 1
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4-1
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6
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Itzos
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G Corrales
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ALTERNATE 2
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15-1
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1
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Global Pride
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R Bejarano
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* EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX, 3-11 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 3/4/11 BOX
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