Keeneland Select
Churchill Downs Tip Sheet - November 6
November 5, 2021
CHURCHILL DOWNS TIPS - SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 06, 2021
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Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 67% of the time at this track.
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RACE #1 $30,000 CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:45 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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3-1
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3
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Nostalgia
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R Gutierrez
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PLACE
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3-1
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4
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Joy of Treasure
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D L Parker
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SHOW
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15-1
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1
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You Can Be Magic
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J Graham
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WILD CARD
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5-2
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5
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Taptime
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B J Hernandez Jr.
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ALTERNATE 1
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2-1
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6
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Good Penny
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C J Hernandez
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ALTERNATE 2
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15-1
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2
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Hashtag Winner
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A Beschizza
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* EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 1/4/5 BOX
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RACE #2 $20,000 CLAIMING 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:14 PM ET |
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BEST BET: #6 FROLIC MORE |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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5-1
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6
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Frolic More
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M Murrill
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PLACE
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5-2
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3
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The Queens Jules
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J McKee
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SHOW
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3-1
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5
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Alexs Strike
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M Pedroza Jr.
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WILD CARD
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2-1
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1
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Belle Tapisserie
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A Beschizza
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ALTERNATE 1
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6-1
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4
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Holding Fast
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A Martinez
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ALTERNATE 2
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15-1
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2
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Fire Marshall Bill
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R Mojica Jr.
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* EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 3/5/6 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX
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RACE #3 $40,000 CLAIMING 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:45 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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3-1
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4
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Palatial Times
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F Arrieta
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PLACE
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7-2
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3
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Lookin for Loki
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M Murrill
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SHOW
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5-2
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1
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Big Nick
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C J Lanerie
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WILD CARD
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9-2
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5
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Critical Threat
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M Garcia
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ALTERNATE 1
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4-1
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6
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Tango Charlie
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R Bejarano
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ALTERNATE 2
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6-1
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2
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Mo Betta
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B J Hernandez Jr.
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* EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX
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RACE #4 $30,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:26 PM ET |
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BEST BET: #12 CARBONITE |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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3-1
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12
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Carbonite
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C Landeros
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PLACE
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5-1
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6
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Money Lender
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F Arrieta
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SHOW
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4-1
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4
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Jolly Tommy
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C J Lanerie
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WILD CARD
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12-1
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3
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Ashwins Orb
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J Rocco Jr.
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ALTERNATE 1
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9-2
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2
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Stealth Fighter
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M Garcia
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ALTERNATE 2
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20-1
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9
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Flagstone
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J Graham
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* EXACTA: 12-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 4/6/12 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX
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RACE #5 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:05 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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4-1
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1
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Group Hug
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A Beschizza
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PLACE
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9-5
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3
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Tartufo
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R Bejarano
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SHOW
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5-1
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2
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Deep State
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M Murrill
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WILD CARD
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2-1
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4
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Surveillance
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C J Hernandez
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ALTERNATE 1
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10-1
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5
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Sticky Issue
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J Graham
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ALTERNATE 2
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20-1
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6
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League of Legends
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J K Court
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* EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX
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RACE #6 $40,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:44 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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7-2
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3
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Aidanike
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F Arrieta
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PLACE
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3-1
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4
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Bitter Vixen
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B J Hernandez Jr.
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SHOW
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4-1
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1
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Eden
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E Esquivel
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WILD CARD
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7-2
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6
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Peytons College
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C Miller
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ALTERNATE 1
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5-1
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5
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Judys Design
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M Murrill
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ALTERNATE 2
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20-1
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8
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Queens Table
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J K Court
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* EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX
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RACE #7 $72,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:23 PM ET |
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BEST BET: #5 SOMES SOUND |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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3-1
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5
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Somes Sound
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M Murrill
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PLACE
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7-5
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4
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One Fast Cat
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B J Hernandez Jr.
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SHOW
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15-1
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3
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War Savvy
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A Beschizza
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WILD CARD
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9-2
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1
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Outlier
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D L Parker
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ALTERNATE 1
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8-1
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6
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Pirate Rick
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J McKee
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ALTERNATE 2
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12-1
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7
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Devils Tower
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C J Hernandez
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* EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX
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RACE #8 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:05 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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6-1
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7
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Eclipsed
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J Graham
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PLACE
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9-2
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6
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Cancel This
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R Gutierrez
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SHOW
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4-1
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4
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Hidden Wonder
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B J Hernandez Jr.
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WILD CARD
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5-1
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11
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Our Souper Love
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D Carroll
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ALTERNATE 1
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6-1
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2
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Bombdiggity
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F Arrieta
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ALTERNATE 2
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20-1
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5
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Laser Locked
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C Landeros
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* EXACTA: 7-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-11 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 4/6/7 BOX, 4/6/11 BOX
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RACE #9 $134,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 1/4 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:42 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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3-1
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2
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Last Samurai
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J K Court
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PLACE
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6-1
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4
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Claytnthelionheart
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R Bejarano
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SHOW
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12-1
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3
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Intrepid Heart
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A Beschizza
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WILD CARD
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4-1
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8
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Dynadrive
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C J Lanerie
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ALTERNATE 1
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5-2
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1
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Allege
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B J Hernandez Jr.
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ALTERNATE 2
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20-1
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6
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Huge Bigly
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R Gutierrez
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* EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX, 3-8 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 3/4/8 BOX
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RACE #10 $300,000 STAKES 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:20 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $300,000 BET ON SUNSHINE STAKES |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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3-1
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4
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Bango
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M Pedroza Jr.
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PLACE
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8-1
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5
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Rough Entry
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B J Hernandez Jr.
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SHOW
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3-1
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1
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Necker Island
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M Murrill
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WILD CARD
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5-2
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8
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Mucho
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R Gutierrez
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ALTERNATE 1
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5-1
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7
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Sir Alfred James
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J McKee
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ALTERNATE 2
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15-1
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2
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Long Weekend
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J Graham
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* EXACTA: 1,4,5,8 Box
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* TRIFECTA: 1,4,5/1,4,5,8/1,4,5,7,8
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COMMENTS: BANGO has won six of 10 at Churchill and five of eight at the distance. ROUGH ENTRY ran the top last race speed figure and should be on/near the lead from post to wire. NECKER ISLAND is the most likely closer if the pace is fast. MUCHO is working very well at Churchill and looks ready. |
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RACE #11 $127,000 ALLOWANCE 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:58 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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6-1
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14
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Defeater
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J Graham
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PLACE
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5-1
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13
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Malibu Star
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C J Lanerie
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SHOW
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10-1
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15
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Myopic
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D Cohen
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WILD CARD
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8-5
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6
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Codys Wish
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M Garcia
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ALTERNATE 1
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6-1
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8
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Anneau dOr
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C J Hernandez
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ALTERNATE 2
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30-1
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11
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Island Boy
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C Landeros
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* EXACTA: 14-13 BOX, 13-15 BOX, 15-6 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 13/14/15 BOX, 6/13/15 BOX
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