Churchill Downs Tip Sheet - September 17

 

 RACE #1    $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:45 PM ET

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WIN

5-1

3

Southern Sense

M Garcia

PLACE

4-1

2

Edge of Glory

D Cannon

SHOW

12-1

10

Loco

A Beschizza

WILD CARD

9-2

9

Pistol Or Shotgun

R Santana Jr.

 

ALTERNATE 1

6-1

5

Big Woo

D Cohen

ALTERNATE 2

9-2

7

Alpha Whiskey

J K Court

 

 

 

 

* EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-10 BOX, 10-9 BOX

* TRIFECTA: 2/3/10 BOX, 2/9/10 BOX

 

 

 

 

 

 
 RACE #2    $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:14 PM ET

 
BEST BET:  #1A MIDVALE

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WIN

5-2

1A

Midvale

V Cheminaud

PLACE

8-1

11

Always Laughing

R Santana Jr.

SHOW

4-1

5

Tiny Temper

T Gaffalione

WILD CARD

12-1

8

Malawnia

J Rocco Jr.

 

ALTERNATE 1

5-2

1

Comparative

F Geroux

ALTERNATE 2

15-1

6

Adiva

F Arrieta

 

 

 

 

* EXACTA: 1-11 BOX, 11-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX

* TRIFECTA: 1/5/11 BOX, 5/8/11 BOX

 

 

 

 

 

 
 RACE #3    $72,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:43 PM ET

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WIN

4-1

8

Miacomet

T Gaffalione

PLACE

3-1

1

Nepotism

C J Hernandez

SHOW

9-2

5

Pledgeofallegiance

B J Hernandez Jr.

WILD CARD

5-1

9

Endless Sunset

R Diaz

 

ALTERNATE 1

10-1

10

Quick to Blame

F Arrieta

ALTERNATE 2

8-1

6

Stellar Tap

M Murrill

 

 

 

 

* EXACTA: 8-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX, 5-9 BOX

* TRIFECTA: 1/5/8 BOX, 1/5/9 BOX

 

 

 

 

 

 
 RACE #4    $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:13 PM ET

 
BEST BET:  #13 SUNNY RIVER

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WIN

9-5

13

Sunny River

F Geroux

PLACE

7-2

9

Luv Dragon

C J Hernandez

SHOW

9-2

4

Please Be Kind

E Morales

WILD CARD

3-1

10

Sinfiltre

T Gaffalione

 

ALTERNATE 1

4-1

1

Sweet Lady Ivanka

B J Hernandez Jr.

ALTERNATE 2

15-1

5

Jag Warrior

M Garcia

 

 

 

 

* EXACTA: 13-9 BOX, 9-4 BOX, 4-10 BOX

* TRIFECTA: 4/9/13 BOX, 4/9/10 BOX

 

 

 

 

 

 
 RACE #5    $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:45 PM ET

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WIN

7-2

4

Release McCraken

G Saez

PLACE

3-1

5

Loggins

F Geroux

SHOW

6-1

15

King dOro

J Rosario

WILD CARD

6-1

12

Create Trouble

T Gaffalione

 

ALTERNATE 1

12-1

9

Daryls Bolt

F Arrieta

ALTERNATE 2

12-1

7

Raise Cain

G Corrales

 

 

 

 

* EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-15 BOX, 15-12 BOX

* TRIFECTA: 4/5/15 BOX, 5/12/15 BOX

 

 

 

 

 

 
 RACE #6    $127,000 ALLOWANCE
 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:18 PM ET

 
BEST BET:  #9 PRO OXIDANT

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WIN

5-1

9

Pro Oxidant

R Bejarano

PLACE

6-1

12

Gulfstream Way

F Arrieta

SHOW

10-1

10

Drive for Fun

J Graham

WILD CARD

3-1

6

Brigadier General

R Gutierrez

 

ALTERNATE 1

12-1

2

Tiz Rye Time

J R Leparoux

ALTERNATE 2

4-1

1

Film Star

F Geroux

 

 

 

 

* EXACTA: 9-12 BOX, 12-10 BOX, 10-6 BOX

* TRIFECTA: 9/10/12 BOX, 6/10/12 BOX

 

 

 

 

 

 
 RACE #7    $300,000 STAKES
 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:50 PM ET

 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $300,000 OPEN MIND STAKES

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WIN

8-5

1

Sconsin

T Gaffalione

PLACE

6-5

4

Bells the One

C J Lanerie

SHOW

7-2

2

Joyful Cadence

R Gutierrez

WILD CARD

5-1

5

Club Car

B J Hernandez Jr.

 

ALTERNATE 1

15-1

3

Cheetara

V Cheminaud

 

 

 

 

* EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX

* TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX

 

 
COMMENTS: SCONSIN is a horse for the course with five wins in 10 tries. She has just one win in eight elsewhere. BELLS THE ONE improved from the start to finish of her last race and has a pair of bullet works since. JOYFUL CADENCE ran improved fractions in her last and finished in the money 10 of 10 at the distance. CLUB CAR should be close to peak form in her third start after a layoff.

 

 

 

 

 
 RACE #8    $400,000 STAKES
 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:22 PM ET

 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $400,000 LOCUST GROVE STAKES GRADE III

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WIN

2-1

5

Played Hard

J Rosario

PLACE

5-2

2

Envoutante

B J Hernandez Jr.

SHOW

8-1

4

Lil Tootsie

E Morales

WILD CARD

9-5

3

Crazy Beautiful

J R Leparoux

 

ALTERNATE 1

6-1

1

Gold Spirit

T Gaffalione

ALTERNATE 2

20-1

6

Princess of Cairo

G Franco

 

 

 

 

* EXACTA: 5-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX

* TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX

 

 
COMMENTS: PLAYED HARD had much better internal numbers in her last start with the top last race speed figure. ENVOUTANTE has four wins with a second and two third in seven at Churchill. LIL TOOTSIE really exploded in her last race. The same race equals the third win in a row but some regression is likely. CRAZY BEAUTIFUL has five wins in nine at the distance and just two at any other length.

 

 

 

 

 
 RACE #9    $300,000 STAKES
 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:55 PM ET

 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $300,000 IROQUOIS STAKES GRADE III

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WIN

5-2

3

Damons Mound

G Saez

PLACE

2-1

9

Echo Again

J Rosario

SHOW

5-1

5

Curly Jack

E Morales

WILD CARD

7-2

6

Jaces Road

F Geroux

 

ALTERNATE 1

12-1

8

Confidence Game

J Graham

ALTERNATE 2

15-1

4

Jin Tong

R Bejarano

 

 

 

 

* EXACTA: 3-9 BOX, 9-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX

* TRIFECTA: 3/5/9 BOX, 5/6/9 BOX

 

 
COMMENTS: It is the first race on the Road to the 2023 Kentucky Derby. DAMONS MOUND is undefeated in a pair of easy wins including a Grade II at Saratoga. ECHO AGAIN win his debut with the top last race speed figure almost hitting triple digits. CURLY JACK ran faster times at 7 furlongs in his last race compared to 6 furlongs in the previous start. JACES ROAD one his debut running away from a pack of 11. He stretches out today.

 

 

 

 

 
 RACE #10    $275,000 STAKES
 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:26 PM ET

 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $275,000 SOCIETY STAKES

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WIN

7-5

6

Isolate

J Rosario

PLACE

5-2

4

Necker Island

F Arrieta

SHOW

6-1

5

Miles Ahead

M Garcia

WILD CARD

5-1

7

Top Gunner

R Gutierrez

 

ALTERNATE 1

15-1

3

Robo Man

F Geroux

ALTERNATE 2

8-1

2

A C Expressway

T Gaffalione

 

 

 

 

* EXACTA: 6-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX

* TRIFECTA: 4/5/6 BOX, 4/5/7 BOX

 

 
COMMENTS:  ISOLATE runs for Reeves Racing. There are not nicer people in horse racing. Their horse increased his speed figure three in a row and should improve in his second off the sidelines. NECKER ISLAND is a consistent high end performer and always puts in a professional race. MILES AHEAD has seven wins in 11 races at the distance and 10 of 20 on a fast track. TOP GUNNER tends to run well fresh like today and has some decent works prepping for this spot.

 

 

 

 

 
 RACE #11    $300,000 STAKES
 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:58 PM ET

 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $300,000 POCAHONTAS STAKES GRADE III

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WIN

9-2

5

Grand Love

J Rosario

PLACE

6-1

10

Fun and Feisty

J R Leparoux

SHOW

4-1

11

Justa Warrior

R Gutierrez

WILD CARD

15-1

4

Shoplifter

R Bejarano

 

ALTERNATE 1

5-1

3

Naughty Gal

R Santana Jr.

ALTERNATE 2

5-1

7

Southlawn

T Gaffalione

 

 

 

 

* EXACTA: 5-10 BOX, 10-11 BOX, 11-4 BOX

* TRIFECTA: 5/10/11 BOX, 4/10/11 BOX

 

 
COMMENTS: And the first Kentucky Oaks points race. GRAND LOVE won her debut with the highest last race speed number. FUN AND FEISTY ran better fractions last out with a major upgrade in her performance. JUSTA WARRIOR is undefeated in two including a non graded stakes race. SHOPLIFTER is a neck from being undefeated in a pair at Churchill.