Keeneland Select
Del Mar Breeders' Cup Friday Tip Sheet - November 5
November 4, 2021
DEL MAR TIPS - FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 05, 2021
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Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 63% of the time at this track.
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RACE #1 $100,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:55 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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8-1
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6
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Notre Dame
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A Cedillo
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PLACE
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5-2
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4
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Triple Tap
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F Prat
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SHOW
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6-1
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3
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Silver Moon Road
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T Gaffalione
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WILD CARD
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4-1
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1
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Fratelli
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U Rispoli
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ALTERNATE 1
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30-1
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10
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Red Valor
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V Espinoza
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ALTERNATE 2
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20-1
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8
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El Diablo Rojo
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J J Hernandez
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* EXACTA: 6-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX
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RACE #2 $150,000 STAKES 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:25 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $150K GOLDEN MILE STAKES |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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4-1
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3
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Degree of Risk
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F Prat
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PLACE
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5-2
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8
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Ready to Purrform
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J Rosario
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SHOW
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20-1
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9
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Boise
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J L Ortiz
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WILD CARD
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5-1
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4
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Optimising
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J R Velazquez
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ALTERNATE 1
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12-1
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7
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Birth of Cool
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L Dettori
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ALTERNATE 2
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8-1
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6
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Nobals
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E T Baird
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* EXACTA: 3,4,8,9 Box
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* TRIFECTA: 3,8,9/3,4,8,9/3,4,7,8,9
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COMMENTS: DEGREE OF RISK should sit right behind the early leaders and try to run by them late. READY TO PURRFORM ran much quicker fractions in her second start. She will be hard to beat if she moves forward again. BOISE ran the highest, debut and last race speed figure for this crew by a wide margin. OPTIMISING should take a step forward in her second US race. A little more late stamina and she gets the job done. |
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RACE #3 $175,000 STAKES 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:55 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $175K GOLDEN STATE JUVENILE FILLIES STAKES |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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4-1
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5
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At the Spa
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T Baze
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PLACE
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3-1
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3
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Big Novel
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J Bravo
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SHOW
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8-1
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6
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Big Switch
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I Ortiz Jr.
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WILD CARD
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10-1
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8
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Rose Maddox
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U Rispoli
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ALTERNATE 1
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5-1
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4
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Its Simple
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M Gutierrez
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ALTERNATE 2
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6-1
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2
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Bold Choice
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V Espinoza
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* EXACTA: 3,5,6,8 Box
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* TRIFECTA: 3,5,6/3,5,6,8/3,4,5,6,8
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COMMENTS: AT THE SPA is three for three with Tyler Baze who returns today. Joe Bravo stays on BIG NOVEL instead of BIG SWITCH, tells you which he likes better, both should be contenders. ROSE MADDOXs last workout on dirt was fast enough to suggest she will like the surface. |
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RACE #4 $200,000 STAKES 5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:30 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $200K SENATOR KEN MADDY STAKES |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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3-1
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8
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Superstition
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F Prat
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PLACE
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4-1
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1
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Hear My Prayer
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J J Hernandez
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SHOW
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6-1
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3
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Angelcents
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J Valdivia Jr.
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WILD CARD
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5-1
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2
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A G Indy
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U Rispoli
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ALTERNATE 1
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6-1
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5
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Time Limit
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I Ortiz Jr.
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ALTERNATE 2
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8-1
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4
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Aqua Seaform Shame
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T Gaffalione
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* EXACTA: 1,2,3,8 Box
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* TRIFECTA: 1,3,8/1,2,3,8/1,2,3,5,8
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COMMENTS: SUPERSTITION is undefeated in three at Del Mar is likely to get an ideal trip. HEAR MY PRAYER, A G INDY and ANGELCENTS have dominate inside three draws and should be the three on the lead. They could run 1-2-3 in any order all the way around the track. |
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RACE #5 $175,000 STAKES 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:05 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $175K GOLDEN STATE JUVENILE STAKES |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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5-1
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11
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Slow Down Andy
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M Gutierrez
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PLACE
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8-1
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3
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I Know Cash Flow
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F Prat
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SHOW
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7-2
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1
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Joker Boy
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J R Velazquez
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WILD CARD
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4-1
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12
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Finneus
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J Rosario
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ALTERNATE 1
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8-1
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4
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Billys Bet
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G Franco
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ALTERNATE 2
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8-1
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5
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Fast Draw Munnings
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D Van Dyke
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* EXACTA: 1,3,11,12 Box
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* TRIFECTA: 1,3,11/1,3,11,12/1,3,4,11,12
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COMMENTS: SLOW DOWN ANDY ran the top debut number in this field and should take a step forward here. I KNOW CASH FLOW has major pace improvements in his last race. JOKER BOY is undefeated in two a Del Mar. FINNEUS finished second behind PINEHURST at the track/distance/surface. PINHURST is considered one of the best two-year-olds. |
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RACE #6 $1,000,000 STAKES 5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:50 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $1M BREEDERS CUP JUVENILE TURF SPRINT G2 |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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5-2
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8
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Averly Jane
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T Gaffalione
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PLACE
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6-1
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7
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Armor
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R L Moore
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SHOW
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4-1
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9
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One Timer
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E T Baird
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WILD CARD
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4-1
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6
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Twilight Gleaming
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I Ortiz Jr.
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ALTERNATE 1
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12-1
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11
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Derrynane
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J Rosario
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ALTERNATE 2
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15-1
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3
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Go Bears Go
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J R Velazquez
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* EXACTA: 6,7,8,9 Box
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* TRIFECTA: 7,8,9/6,7,8,9/6,7,8,9,11
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COMMENTS: AVERLY JANE is yet to be challenged in four starts. ARMOR has run his best at the distance with two wins and a second in four tries. ONE TIMER is yet to run a clean race but is still undefeated in three starts. TWILIGHT GLEAMING has hit the board in three of three on turf and two of two at the distance. |
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RACE #7 $2,000,000 STAKES 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:30 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $2M NETJETS BREEDERS CUP JUVENILE FILLIES G1 |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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4-5
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6
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Echo Zulu
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J Rosario
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PLACE
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5-2
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5
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Jujus Map
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F Geroux
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SHOW
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5-2
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2
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Hidden Connection
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R Gutierrez
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WILD CARD
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20-1
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1
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Desert Dawn
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R Gonzalez
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ALTERNATE 1
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12-1
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4
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Tarabi
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J Castellano
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ALTERNATE 2
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15-1
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3
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Sequist
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J Alvarado
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* EXACTA: 6/1,2,5
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* TRIFECTA: 6/2,5/1,2,3,4,5
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COMMENTS: ECHO ZULU should be on/near the lead all the way around the track and difficult to beat. JUJUS MAP has is the logical choice to pull off the upset as she could get the jump on the field early. HIDDEN CONNECTION is used to having her way, lets see how she responds when challenged. DESERT DAWN looks as good as the rest with the highest, morning line odds. |
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RACE #8 $1,000,000 STAKES 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 7:10 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $1M BREEDERS CUP JUVENILE FILLIES TURF G1 |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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6-1
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9
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Koala Princess
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J Rosario
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PLACE
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5-1
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1
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Pizza Bianca
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J L Ortiz
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SHOW
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10-1
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6
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Hello You
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J R Velazquez
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WILD CARD
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6-1
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13
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Mise En Scene
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O Murphy
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ALTERNATE 1
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12-1
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2
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Cairo Memories
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K J Desormeaux
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ALTERNATE 2
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8-1
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12
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Malavath
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R L Moore
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* EXACTA: 1,6,9,13 Box
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* TRIFECTA: 1,6,9/1,6,9,13/1,2,6,9,13
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COMMENTS: This might be the most wide-open race of the weekend. KOALA PRINCESS ran the top, last race speed figure and could move forward following some rest. PIZZA BIANCA has the strongest late pace numbers in the field. HELLO YOU appears to rounding into peak form. MIS EN SCENE should find Del Mars firm footing to her liking. |
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RACE #9 $2,000,000 STAKES 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:50 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $2M BREEDERS CUP JUVENILE G1 |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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5-2
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12
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Corniche
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M E Smith
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PLACE
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8-1
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9
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Pinehurst
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J R Velazquez
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SHOW
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9-5
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1
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Jack Christopher
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J L Ortiz
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WILD CARD
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15-1
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2
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Jasper Great
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Y Fukunaga
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ALTERNATE 1
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5-1
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10
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Commandperformance
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I Ortiz Jr.
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ALTERNATE 2
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20-1
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3
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Oviatt Class
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K J Desormeaux
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* EXACTA: 1,2,9,12 Box
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* TRIFECTA: 1,9,12/1,2,9,12/1,2,9,10,12
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COMMENTS: CORNICHE is undefeated in two and has not been challenged, will need to overcome the outside draw. PINEHURST is two for two at Del Mar and has not been challenged either, distance and two turns are the question marks. JACK CHRISTOPHER also has to answer the two turns question but looks ready to try with a bullet work in his last. JASPER GREAT comes in from Japan after winning his debut big, major unknown but could be massively underbet. |
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RACE #10 $1,000,000 STAKES 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 8:30 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $1M BREEDERS CUP JUVENILE TURF G1 |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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5-1
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1
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Modern Games
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W T Buick
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PLACE
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8-1
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6
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Mackinnon
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J J Hernandez
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SHOW
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6-1
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2
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Albahr
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L Dettori
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WILD CARD
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4-1
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14
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Dubawi Legend
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J Doyle
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ALTERNATE 1
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8-1
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3
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Dakota Gold
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L Saez
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ALTERNATE 2
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6-1
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10
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Portfolio Company
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F Prat
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* EXACTA: 1,2,6,14 Box
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* TRIFECTA: 1,2,6/1,2,6,14/1,2,3,6,14
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COMMENTS: MODERN GAMES appears to be on the upswing and is just 3/4 a length from winning his last four. MACKINNON is undefeated since stretching out to a mile. ALBAHR has four wins and a third in five races, the debut was the lone miss. DUBAWI LEGEND has one of the top pedigree rankings for the distance and surface.
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