Keeneland Select
Del Mar Breeders' Cup Saturday Tip Sheet - November 6
November 5, 2021
DEL MAR TIPS - SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 06, 2021
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Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 63% of the time at this track.
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RACE #1 $100,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:15 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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3-1
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1
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One Fast Bro
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J Bravo
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PLACE
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7/2
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6
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Dicey Mo Chara
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F Prat
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SHOW
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6-1
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5
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Appreciated
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A Cedillo
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WILD CARD
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5-1
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7
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Via Egnatia
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V Espinoza
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ALTERNATE 1
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8-1
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2
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Kazan
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JJ Hernandez
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ALTERNATE 2
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20-1
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8
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Jac Sprout
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J Valdivia Jr
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* EXACTA: 1-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 1/5/6 BOX, 5/6/7 BOX
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RACE #2 $250,000 STAKES 1 5/8 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:50 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $250K THOROUGHBRED AFTERCARE ALLIANCE STAKES G2 |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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8/5
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4
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Tizamagician
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F Prat
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PLACE
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6/5
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2
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Lone Rock
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RA Vazquez
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SHOW
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8-1
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5
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Zestful
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F Geroux
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WILD CARD
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6-1
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3
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Cupids Claws
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L Saez
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ALTERNATE 1
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6-1
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6
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Locally Owned
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T Gaffalione
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ALTERNATE 2
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30-1
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7
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Hapi Hapi
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TJ Pereira
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* EXACTA: 2,4,5 Box
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* TRIFECTA: 2,4,5/2,3,4,5/2,3,4,5,6
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COMMENTS: TIZAMAGICIAN and LONE ROCK could run 1-2 all the way around the track in either order. ZESTFUL should chase the leaders from start to finish. CUPIDS CLAW might have the strongest late run of the closers. |
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RACE #3 $300,000 STAKES 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:25 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $300K GOLDIKOVA STAKES G2 |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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8/5
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2
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Princess Grace
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KJ Dsormax
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PLACE
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9/5
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7
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Going Global
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F Prat
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SHOW
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12-1
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8
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Warrens Showtime
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JJ Hernandez
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WILD CARD
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6-1
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1
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Zofelle
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T Gaffalione
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ALTERNATE 1
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8-1
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3
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Abscond
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I Ortiz Jr
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ALTERNATE 2
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15-1
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9
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Constantia
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U Rispoli
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* EXACTA: 2,7/1,2,3,7,8
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* TRIFECTA: 2,7/1,2,3,7,8/1,2,3,7,8
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COMMENTS: There is not much light between PRINCESS GRACE and GOING GLOBAL, we will give the four-year-old PRINCESS GRACE the slight nod over the three-year-old. WARRENS SHOWTIME has 10 consecutive high-quality races, expecting number 11. ZOFELLE tends to run well after some rest. Shes been off since early June. |
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RACE #4 $1,000,000 STAKES 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:05 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $1M BREEDERS CUP FILLY AND MARE SPRINT G1 |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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5/2
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6
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Bella Sofia
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L Saez
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PLACE
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3/5
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5
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Gamine
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JR Velazquez
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SHOW
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12-1
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3
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Edgeway
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J Rosario
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WILD CARD
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4-1
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4
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Ce Ce
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V Espinoza
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ALTERNATE 1
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12-1
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2
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Estilo Talentoso
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JL Ortiz
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ALTERNATE 2
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20-1
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1
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Proud Emma
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F Prat
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* EXACTA: 5,6/3,4,5,6
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* TRIFECTA: 5,6/3,5,6/2,3,4,5,6
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COMMENTS: BELLA SOFIA has increased her speed number in four straight, including the top, last race figure by a sizeable margin. GAMINE is the one to beat, something thats only happened once in 10 races. EDGEWAYs metrics says she fits in this group and could pull off the upset. CE CE hit triple digits on the speed gun in her last three starts. BELLA SOFIA is the only other to do the same. |
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RACE #5 $1,000,000 STAKES 5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:40 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $1M BREEDERS CUP TURF SPRINT G1 |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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5-1
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2
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Emaraaty Ana
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A Atzeni
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PLACE
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7/2
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3
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Golden Pal
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I Ortiz Jr
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SHOW
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6-1
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4
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Lieutenant Dan
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G Franco
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WILD CARD
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6-1
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9
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Kimari
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J Rosario
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ALTERNATE 1
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8-1
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6
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A Case of You
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R Whelan
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ALTERNATE 2
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6-1
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1
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Glass Slippers
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T Eaves
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* EXACTA: 2,3,4,9 Box
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* TRIFECTA: 2,3,4/2,3,4,9/2,3,4,6,9
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COMMENTS: EMARAATY ANA has been in top form against solid competition. GOLDEN PAL will be on/near the lead from gate to wire. LIEUTENANT DAN has some of the fastest early fractions for this group and loves short sprints. KIMARI could get an ideal trip right behind a swift early pace and go on by late. |
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RACE #6 $1,000,000 STAKES 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:19 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $1M BIG ASS FANS BREEDERS CUP DIRT MILE G1 |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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4/5
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5
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Life Is Good
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I Ortiz Jr
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PLACE
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7/2
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1
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Silver State
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R Santana Jr
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SHOW
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12-1
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2
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Pingxiang
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Y Kawada
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WILD CARD
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4-1
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3
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Ginobili
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D Van Dyke
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ALTERNATE 1
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10-1
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8
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Eight Rings
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JJ Hernandez
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ALTERNATE 2
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12-1
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7
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Snapper Sinclair
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J Rosario
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* EXACTA: 1,2,3,5 Box
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* TRIFECTA: 1,5/1,2,3,5/1,2,3,5,8
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COMMENTS: LIFE IS GOOD could control the race from wire to wire. SILVER STATE has the best closing numbers and should not be too far behind the leaders. PINGXIANG tends to win or finish way behind. His recent bullet workout says he should like the track. GINOBILI has some of the swiftest early fractions for this group and could ride shotgun all the way around the track. |
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RACE #7 $2,000,000 STAKES 1 3/8 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:59 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $2M BREEDERS CUP FILLY AND MARE TURF G1 |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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4-1
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6
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Love
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RL Moor
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PLACE
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7/2
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7
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War Like Goddess
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JR Leparoux
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SHOW
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5-1
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12
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Audarya
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WT Buick
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WILD CARD
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12-1
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1
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Going to Vegas
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U Rispoli
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ALTERNATE 1
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4-1
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8
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Loves Only You
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Y Kawada
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ALTERNATE 2
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6-1
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4
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Rougir
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MH Guyon
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* EXACTA: 1,6,7,12 Box
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* TRIFECTA: 6,7,12/1,6,7,12/1,6,7,8,12
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COMMENTS: LOVE has been against tougher company and appears to be back in form. WAR LIKE GODDESS has improved her final speed number in five straight. AUDAYRA seems to run her best on fast/firm surfaces. She should get that at Del Mar. GOING TO VEGAS will try to steal this one on the lead. |
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RACE #8 $2,000,000 STAKES 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:38 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $2M BREEDERS CUP SPRINT G1 |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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4-1
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9
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Dr Schivel
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F Prat
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PLACE
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6/5
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2
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Jackies Warrior
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J Rosario
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SHOW
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6-1
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8
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Special Reserve
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I Ortiz Jr
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WILD CARD
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6-1
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1
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Following Sea
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JR Velazquez
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ALTERNATE 1
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12-1
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3
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CZ Rocket
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F Geroux
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ALTERNATE 2
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8-1
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5
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Aloha West
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JL Ortiz
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* EXACTA: 2,9/1,2,3,8,9
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* TRIFECTA: 2,9/2,9/1,3,5,8
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COMMENTS: DR. SCHIVEL won his last with ease despite the right reign breaking early. JACKIES WARRIOR has won seven of eight on a fast track, something he should get as it never rains in Southern California. SPECIAL RESERVE has finished in the money 11 of 13 at the distance. FOLLOWING SEA improved his speed figure in the last thee, another step forward could be enough. |
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RACE #9 $2,000,000 STAKES 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:20 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $2M BREEDERS CUP MILE G1 |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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3-1
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3
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Space Blues
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WT Buick
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PLACE
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5-1
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6
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Mo Forza
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F Prat
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SHOW
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8-1
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10
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Blowout
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J Rosario
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WILD CARD
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12-1
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12
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Pearls Galore
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B Lee
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ALTERNATE 1
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10-1
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2
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Smooth Like Strait
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U Rispoli
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ALTERNATE 2
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15-1
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8
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Hit the Road
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JR Velazquez
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* EXACTA: 3,6,10,12 Box
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* TRIFECTA: 3,6,10/3,6,10,12/2,3,6,10,12
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COMMENTS: SPACE BLUES has several Group 1 wins in Europe. The distance it the only question. MO FORZA ran the top last race speed figure and stands to be better in her third race off the bench. BLOWOUT will try to take them from wire to wire. PEARLS GALORE might be overlooked, but he should really like the course fast and firm. |
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RACE #10 $2,000,000 STAKES 1 1/8 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:00 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $2M BREEDERS CUP DISTAFF G1 |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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8-1
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1
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Private Mission
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F Prat
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PLACE
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8/5
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6
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Letruska
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I Ortiz Jr
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SHOW
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4-1
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3
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Malathaat
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JR Velazquez
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WILD CARD
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4-1
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8
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Shedaresthedevil
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F Geroux
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ALTERNATE 1
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8-1
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2
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Royal Flag
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J Rosario
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ALTERNATE 2
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12-1
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5
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Clairiere
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R Santana Jr
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* EXACTA: 1,3,6,8 Box
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* TRIFECTA: 1,3,6/1,3,6,8/1,2,3,6,8
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COMMENTS: Wow, what an amazing race. The top half of this race is loaded with quality. PRIVATE MISSION is getting better and better. She has the top, California jockey in Flavien Prat who will make sure she gets the right trip. LETRUSKA has been unreal and could take it up another notch in her third start off the bench. MALATHAAT is one of three to run a last race speed figure above par for this level. SHEDARESTHEDEVIL runs well after a little time off, like today, winning her last five first starts after a layoff. |
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RACE #11 $4,000,000 STAKES 1 1/2 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 7:40 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $4M BREEDERS CUP TURF G1 |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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4-1
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3
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Domestic Spending
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F Prat
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PLACE
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8-1
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7
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Walton street
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J Doyle
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SHOW
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6-1
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12
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Teona
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D Egan
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WILD CARD
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9/5
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13
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Tarnawa
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C Keane
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ALTERNATE 1
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20-1
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5
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Tribhuban
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JL Ortiz
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ALTERNATE 2
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8-1
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11
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Gufo
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J Rosario
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* EXACTA: 3,5,8,10 Box
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* TRIFECTA: 5,8,10/3,5,8,10/2,3,5,8,10
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COMMENTS: DOMESTIC SPENDING should rate nicely and packs some serious late punch. WALTON STREET has two wins, a second and third in four at the distance. TEONA looks to be in peak form and getting better. TARNAWA has four wins in five races at the distance, winning more than $2.2 million. |
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RACE #12 $6,000,000 STAKES 1 1/4 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 8:40 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $6M BREEDERS CUP CLASSIC G1 |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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3-1
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4
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Essential Quality
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L Saez
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PLACE
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5/2
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5
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Knicks Go
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J Rosario
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SHOW
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4-1
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8
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Medina Spirit
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JR Velazquez
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WILD CARD
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4-1
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3
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Hot Rod Charlie
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F Prat
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ALTERNATE 1
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8-1
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6
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Art Collector
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ME Smith
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ALTERNATE 2
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15-1
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1
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Tripoli
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I Ortiz Jr
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* EXACTA: 4,5,8/3,4,5,8
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* TRIFECTA: 4,5,8/3,4,5,8/3,4,5,6,8
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COMMENTS: ESSENTIAL QUALITY has the highest pedigree score for the distance and surface. KNICKS GO has been all or nothing in the last two years, seven wins in nine races and nothing else. MEDINA SPIRIT ran some of the fastest opening fractions for this group in his last run. HOT ROD CHARLIES last race speed figure was above par, even for this level. |
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