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Keeneland Tip Sheet - October 16
October 15, 2021|
KEENELAND TIPS - SATURDAY, OCTOBER 16, 2021
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Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 62% of the time at this track.
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RACE #1 $30,000 WAIVER MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:00 PM ET |
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BEST BET: #3 DEVILS TOWER
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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5-2
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3
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Devils Tower
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J Graham
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PLACE
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3-1
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2
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Commodore Perry
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C J Lanerie
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SHOW
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3-1
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6
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Freer
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R Bejarano
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WILD CARD
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10-1
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4
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Gunduz
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C J Hernandez
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ALTERNATE 1
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10-1
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1
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Scat Shack
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S Doyle
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ALTERNATE 2
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7-2
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7
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Jovial
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J Talamo
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* EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX
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RACE #2 $50,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:32 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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12-1
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5
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Grand Again
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B J Hernandez Jr.
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PLACE
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7-2
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1
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Sherwood Avenue
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J R Velazquez
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SHOW
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6-1
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2
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Golden Luna
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T Gaffalione
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WILD CARD
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8-1
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3
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Aint That a Kick
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D Cohen
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ALTERNATE 1
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20-1
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4
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Flagstone
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F Arrieta
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ALTERNATE 2
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8-1
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11
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Ashwins Orb
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J Rocco Jr.
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* EXACTA: 5-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 1/2/5 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX
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RACE #3 $84,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:04 PM ET |
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BEST BET: #10 GRAND SONATA
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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3-1
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10
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Grand Sonata
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T Gaffalione
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PLACE
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7-2
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3
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Verbier
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F Geroux
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SHOW
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3-1
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15
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Bon Bueno
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T Gaffalione
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WILD CARD
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7-2
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12
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Spin Wheel
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J L Ortiz
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ALTERNATE 1
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6-1
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1
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Heston
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C J Lanerie
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ALTERNATE 2
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10-1
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13
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Prayforpeace
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M Murrill
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* EXACTA: 10-3 BOX, 3-15 BOX, 15-12 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 3/10/15 BOX, 3/12/15 BOX
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RACE #4 $20,000 CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:36 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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5-1
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5
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Lichita
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A Gomez
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PLACE
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2-1
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4
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Afleet Diva
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D R Flores
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SHOW
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5-1
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7
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Mama Lou
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R Gutierrez
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WILD CARD
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6-1
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6
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Yogurt
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G Romero
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ALTERNATE 1
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7-2
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3
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Kewpie Doll
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T Gaffalione
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ALTERNATE 2
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8-1
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2
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Fine Prospecture
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R Bejarano
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* EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 4/5/7 BOX, 4/6/7 BOX
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RACE #5 $50,000 CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:08 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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7-2
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4
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Pioneer Spirit
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F Geroux
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PLACE
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3-1
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6
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Fighting Seabee
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B J Hernandez Jr.
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SHOW
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8-1
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9
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Hes No Lemon
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J R Leparoux
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WILD CARD
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10-1
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8
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American Tattoo
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J Talamo
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ALTERNATE 1
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12-1
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2
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Palace Coup
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D Cohen
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ALTERNATE 2
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10-1
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3
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Hot Shot Kid
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F Arrieta
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* EXACTA: 4-6 BOX, 6-9 BOX, 9-8 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 4/6/9 BOX, 6/8/9 BOX
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RACE #6 $84,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:40 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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2-1
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4
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Curbstone
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R Santana Jr.
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PLACE
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8-1
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10
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Faith Runner
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C J Hernandez
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SHOW
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3-1
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11
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Wicked Genius
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B J Hernandez Jr.
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WILD CARD
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12-1
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1
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Hashtag No Wonder
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C J Lanerie
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ALTERNATE 1
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12-1
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3
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Tonkawa Springs
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J Graham
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ALTERNATE 2
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12-1
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9
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Camp David
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J L Ortiz
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* EXACTA: 4-10 BOX, 10-11 BOX, 11-1 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 4/10/11 BOX, 1/10/11 BOX
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RACE #7 $84,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:12 PM ET |
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BEST BET: #2 SOVEREIGN APPEAL
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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8-5
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2
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Sovereign Appeal
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A Beschizza
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PLACE
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2-1
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1
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Big City Momma
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T Gaffalione
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SHOW
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7-2
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5
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Street Missy
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S Doyle
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WILD CARD
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6-1
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7
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Berate
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F Geroux
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ALTERNATE 1
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15-1
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3
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South Georgia
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C J Lanerie
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ALTERNATE 2
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20-1
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4
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Rocket On Board
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T Canuto
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* EXACTA: 2-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 1/2/5 BOX, 1/5/7 BOX
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RACE #8 $500,000 STAKES
1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:44 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $500,000 QUEEN ELIZABETH II CHALLENGE CUP STAKES
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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3-1
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4
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Empress Josephine
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J R Velazquez
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PLACE
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7-2
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3
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Shantisara
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F Prat
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SHOW
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4-1
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2
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Technical Analysis
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J L Ortiz
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WILD CARD
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6-1
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1
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Burning Ambition
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F Geroux
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ALTERNATE 1
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8-1
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10
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Closing Remarks
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U Rispoli
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ALTERNATE 2
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10-1
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5
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Nicest
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J R Leparoux
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* EXACTA: 1,2,3,4 Box
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* TRIFECTA: 1,2,3,4 Box
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COMMENTS: EMPRESS JOSEPHINE should be better in her second US start, the last was good enough. SHANTISARA has won two in a row and might improve in her third start off the sidelines. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS has won four of six races, three of four in 2021. BURNING AMBITION is 3/4 a length from being undefeated in five.
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RACE #9 $86,000 ALLOWANCE
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:16 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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8-5
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5
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Ducale
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F Geroux
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PLACE
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7-2
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4
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Winter Pool
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J L Ortiz
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SHOW
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20-1
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3
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Hunt the Front
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R Bejarano
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WILD CARD
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5-1
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1
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Malibu Star
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J R Velazquez
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ALTERNATE 1
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8-1
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2
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Ottothelegend
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R Santana Jr.
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ALTERNATE 2
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5-1
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9
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Mr. Tip
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T Gaffalione
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* EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX
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RACE #10 $88,000 ALLOWANCE
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:48 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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8-1
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3
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Ghosting Kim
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J Graham
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PLACE
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3-1
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4
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Chili Petin
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J R Velazquez
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SHOW
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2-1
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15
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Song River
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B J Hernandez Jr.
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WILD CARD
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6-1
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13
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Reagans Edge
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B J Hernandez Jr.
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ALTERNATE 1
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4-1
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1
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Social Chatter
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R Bejarano
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ALTERNATE 2
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4-1
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1A
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Farsighted
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J L Ortiz
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* EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-15 BOX, 15-13 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 3/4/15 BOX, 4/13/15 BOX
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