Keeneland Tip Sheet - October 8

 

 RACE #1    $49,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:00 PM ET

 
BEST BET:  #5 PINE VALLEY

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WIN

4-1

5

Pine Valley

R Santana Jr.

PLACE

5-2

4

Bourbon On Fire

J R Leparoux

SHOW

7-2

2

Crows Nest

I Ortiz Jr.

WILD CARD

8-1

8

Roan for the Rose

L Saez

 

ALTERNATE 1

6-1

3

Beyblader

R Bejarano

ALTERNATE 2

10-1

1

Celluloid Hero

F Arrieta

 

 

 

 

* EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX

* TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 2/4/8 BOX

 

 

 

 

 

 
 RACE #2    $100,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:31 PM ET

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WIN

5-2

12

Humbling

T Gaffalione

PLACE

4-1

11

Affirmative Lady

J R Velazquez

SHOW

9-2

5

Stay Fabulous

R Santana Jr.

WILD CARD

6-1

4

Inventing Anna

L Saez

 

ALTERNATE 1

8-1

3

Magical Lute

B J Hernandez Jr.

ALTERNATE 2

12-1

6

Jersey Pearl

G Franco

 

 

 

 

* EXACTA: 12-11 BOX, 11-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX

* TRIFECTA: 5/11/12 BOX, 4/5/11 BOX

 

 

 

 

 

 
 RACE #3    $47,000 CLAIMING
 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:02 PM ET

 
BEST BET:  #6 BAYSHORE FOXES

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WIN

7-2

6

Bayshore Foxes

E Morales

PLACE

4-1

8

Feeling Happy

J Graham

SHOW

5-1

5

Mrs. Nushi

G Corrales

WILD CARD

10-1

1

Social Mandate

A Beschizza

 

ALTERNATE 1

3-1

7

Big Java

G Franco

ALTERNATE 2

12-1

2

Jumakan Bourbon

R Bejarano

 

 

 

 

* EXACTA: 6-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX

* TRIFECTA: 5/6/8 BOX, 1/5/8 BOX

 

 

 

 

 

 
 RACE #4    $110,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:34 PM ET

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WIN

4-5

4

Tap in Formation

F Geroux

PLACE

3-1

3

Hurricane J

J Talamo

SHOW

10-1

6

Gold Luck

E Morales

WILD CARD

9-2

1

Prove Right

R Santana Jr.

 

ALTERNATE 1

15-1

5

Jeremys Jet

J Gilligan

ALTERNATE 2

20-1

7

Western Ghent

F Prat

 

 

 

 

* EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX

* TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX

 

 

 

 

 

 
 RACE #5    $110,000 ALLOWANCE
 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:06 PM ET

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WIN

7-2

12

Osbourne

T Gaffalione

PLACE

4-1

4

Gulfstream Way

C Landeros

SHOW

8-1

7

Button Boy

V Cheminaud

WILD CARD

20-1

10

Malibu Mike

J Graham

 

ALTERNATE 1

12-1

8

Seal Beach

I Ortiz Jr.

ALTERNATE 2

15-1

3

Caramelito

E Morales

 

 

 

 

* EXACTA: 12-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX, 7-10 BOX

* TRIFECTA: 4/7/12 BOX, 4/7/10 BOX

 

 

 

 

 

 
 RACE #6    $350,000 STAKES
 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:38 PM ET

 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $350,000 WOODFORD STAKES GRADE II

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WIN

4-5

4

Golden Pal

I Ortiz Jr.

PLACE

9-2

7

Artemus Citylimits

T Gaffalione

SHOW

6-1

6

Oceanic

J R Leparoux

WILD CARD

15-1

2

Bad Beat Brian

C A Emigh

 

ALTERNATE 1

8-1

5

Gear Jockey

L Saez

ALTERNATE 2

15-1

8

Charcoal

R Bejarano

 

 

 

 

* EXACTA: 4-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX

* TRIFECTA: 4/6/7 BOX, 2/6/7 BOX

 

 
COMMENTS: GOLDEN PAL is undefeated in three at Keeneland and won seven of 10 at the distance. ARTEMUS CITYLIMITS is really not that far from winning 10 in a row which includes the top last race speed figure. OCEANIC ran better numbers from start to finish in his last with a greater emphasis towards the end. BAD BEAT BRIAN ran some better fractions in her last in an easy Kentucky Downs win.

 

 

 

 

 
 RACE #7    $350,000 STAKES
 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:10 PM ET

 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $350,000 THOROUGHBRED CLUB STAKES GRADE II

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WIN

5-1

4

Carribean Caper

J L Ortiz

PLACE

6-1

9

Happy Soul

J R Velazquez

SHOW

3-1

7

Slammed

F Geroux

WILD CARD

9-2

3

Club Car

I Ortiz Jr.

 

ALTERNATE 1

8-1

5

Sconsin

T Gaffalione

ALTERNATE 2

4-1

2

Palm Cottage

F Prat

 

 

 

 

* EXACTA: 4-9 BOX, 9-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX

* TRIFECTA: 4/7/9 BOX, 3/7/9 BOX

 

 
COMMENTS: CARRIBEAN CAPER won five of six races missing as the favorite last out. Trainer Albert Stall Jr rebounds at 40 percent next out. HAPPY SOUL was much better across the board in her first run on grass cond could be better in her second effort. SLAMMED won eight of 11 career outings and is two for two at the distance. CLUB CAR ran in the money is six of seven at Keeneland and tends to finish second.

 

 

 

 

 
 RACE #8    $750,000 STAKES
 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:42 PM ET

 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $750,000 FIRST LADY STAKES GRADE I

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WIN

6-5

5

Regal Glory

J L Ortiz

PLACE

5-2

3

Technical Analysis

F Prat

SHOW

6-1

2

Princess Grace

F Geroux

WILD CARD

3-1

4

In Italian

J Rosario

 

ALTERNATE 1

20-1

6

Market Rumor

C Landeros

ALTERNATE 2

12-1

1

Vigilantes Way

P Lopez

 

 

 

 

* EXACTA: 5-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX

* TRIFECTA: 2/3/5 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX

 

 
COMMENTS: REGAL GLORY finished first or second in nine of her last 10 races. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS hit the board in 10 of 11 turf races with six wins. PRINCESS GRACE never finished out of the money in six at the distance. IN ITALIAN has plenty of early speed and usually wins if she holds the lead into the stretch.

 

 

 

 

 
 RACE #9    $600,000 STAKES
 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:14 PM ET

 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $600,000 BREDDERS FUTURITY GRADE I

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WIN

4-1

2

Loggins

F Geroux

PLACE

3-1

7

Forte

I Ortiz Jr.

SHOW

5-1

5

Instant Coffee

L Saez

WILD CARD

6-1

10

Lost Ark

F Prat

 

ALTERNATE 1

5-1

15

Carmel Road

L Saez

ALTERNATE 2

20-1

8

Newgate

J R Velazquez

 

 

 

 

* EXACTA: 2-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX, 5-10 BOX

* TRIFECTA: 2/5/7 BOX, 5/7/10 BOX

 

 
COMMENTS: LOGGINS won his debut with ease as the less than even money favorite. FORTE ran the highest last race speed figure winning the Grade I Hopeful Stakes at Saratoga. INSTANT COFFEE won his debut with a strong advance from start to finish. LOST ARK is undefeated in two and both were blowouts.

 

 

 

 

 
 RACE #10    $1,000,000 STAKES
 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:45 PM ET

 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $1M COOLMORE TURF MILES STAKES GRADE I

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WIN

7-2

7

Santin

T Gaffalione

PLACE

6-1

6

Ivar

J Talamo

SHOW

12-1

5

Masen

F Prat

WILD CARD

9-2

2

Smooth Like Strait

J R Velazquez

 

ALTERNATE 1

5-1

9

Casa Creed

L Saez

ALTERNATE 2

12-1

11

Emaraaty

F Geroux

 

 

 

 

* EXACTA: 7-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX

* TRIFECTA: 5/6/7 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX

 

 
COMMENTS: SANTIN is undefeated in a pair at the distance and won his only Keeneland race. IVAR ran the highest last race speed number can close with a blast. MASEN is not that far from winning all four US start after coming from Ireland. SMOOTH LIKE STRAIT has four wins with six seconds and a third in 12 at the distance.

 

 

 

 

 
 RACE #11    $100,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:18 PM ET

 
BEST BET:  #10 CAPE TRAFALGAR

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WIN

3-1

10

Cape Trafalgar

J L Ortiz

PLACE

4-1

4

Rewire

F Geroux

SHOW

7-2

2

Old Point

I Ortiz Jr.

WILD CARD

5-1

6

Nashobas Joy

J Talamo

 

ALTERNATE 1

8-1

3

Andy Cant

J R Velazquez

ALTERNATE 2

6-1

8

Call Me Fast

F Arrieta

 

 

 

 

* EXACTA: 10-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX

* TRIFECTA: 2/4/10 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX