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Keeneland Select

Kentucky Downs Hotlist - September 14

September 13, 2022

Today’s Kentucky Downs Hot List races to watch
Wednesday, Sept. 14, 2022

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

2nd race – (2) Decanted (A) missed by a nose in his career debut and moves from the outside post to the rail. Should make amends here on closing day. (3) Mendelssohn Joy gets a nice rider switch to Gaffalione and may wake up here. (8) Sherlock’s Jewel was a competitive fourth in his debut and should take a step forward. (7) Ten Days Later should be well-suited by turf. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-7-8. Doubles: 2-3-7-8 with 5-6-9-12.

3rd race – (6) Lashara will welcome a return to turf and should prove best. (12) Champagne Ivy should respond to the turnback to a sprint. (5) Rogue Too might perk up back on turf. (9) Lady Arsinoe comes off a nose win and should be a main factor here. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 5-6-9-12.

5th race – (8) Duke of Hazzard had some early trouble and never flashed his typical speed. Should be dangerous with a smooth trip. (3) Kentucky Ghost gets some class relief here and may wake up. (9) Field Pass was fourth against tougher company and merits attention here. The (1) entry of King Cause and Starting Over should not be overlooked. Betting strategy: 8 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-8-9.

7th race – (12) Point Well Taken (C) was bet down from 7-2 to 5-2 and just missed with a nice rally. Atones for that setback here. (4) Rosalita also just missed and should be a main threat. (3) Awesome Ally Vee may benefit from a dirt to turf switch. (8) Fiddle should handle the longer distance just fine. Betting strategy: 12 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-4-8-12.

9th race – (2) Really Good was an impressive debut winner and looks best here. (5) Castleknock ships in from Del Mar after a strong turf debut. Looks like the main competition. (6) Bourbon Therapy can make his presence felt here. (1) Mayfield Strong should benefit from a rail trip. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-5-6.

No.

 

Letter/Last race

Today’s race

 

Comment

 

 

 

 

 

(2)

Decanted

A, 9/1

2 KD

Missed by a nose last time

 

 

 

 

 

(12)

Point Well Taken

C, 9/5

7 KD

Was a strong second