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Keeneland Select

Kentucky Downs Hotlist September 7

September 5, 2020

Today’s Kentucky Downs Hot List races to watch
Monday, Sept. 7, 2020

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:     

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (5) Accessible missed by a neck at Arlington Park. Now he switches to Maker’s barn and looks good in this spot. (2) Lemon Kick was third behind the top pick and should be a main rival. (1) Civil Servant missed by a nose and will be in the picture once again. (6) Paintsville should be closing fast at the end. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-5-6.

5th race - (1) Royal Prince was a game second in his career debut and should work out a great trip from the rail. (5) Bourre’ Trick was an improved third in his second start and will be a threat in this spot. (12) Catman showed little in his debut but might awaken today. (6) Mechanicville is worth a look in his debut. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-5-6-12. Doubles: 1-5-6-12 with 4-7-9-10. Pick 3: 1-5-6-12 with 4-7-9-10 with 1-2-3-4.

6th race – (4) Moral Reasoning (B) lacked room when seventh last time out. Should be more formidable here. (9) Battleofwinterfell took a step forward while finishing fourth and merits attention. (7) Madame Overserved returns to turf and could be a contender. (10) Secure Connection will enjoy a return to turf. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 4-7-9-10. Doubles: 4-7-9-10 with 1-2-3-4.

7th race – (1) More Than Usual missed by a half-length in her second start and seems to be on an upswing. Should earn her maiden win here. (2) Too Sexy comes off a runner-up finish and cannot be ignored. (4) Aunt Dorothy was second last time and belongs in the exotics. (3) Flatoya has sharp early speed and could be tough to catch. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-3-4.

10th race – (7) Dreamer’s Disease was an impressive front-running winner in his debut and can handle winners with a similar try. (4) Shawdyshawdyshawdy was a promising debut winner at Saratoga and merits attention. (8) Outadore won at first asking and will be dangerous here. (9) Pivotal Mission is a maiden but will be a threat in this field. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 4-7-8-9.

No.

 

Letter/Last race

Today’s race

Comment

 

 

 

 

 

(4)

Moral Reasoning

B, 7/9

         6 KD

Had a troubled trip last time