Keeneland Select
Kentucky Downs Tip Sheet - September 11
September 10, 2021
KENTUCKY DOWNS TIPS - SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 11, 2021
|
||||
Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 51% of the time at this track.
|
||||
RACE #1 $45,400 STARTER ALLOWANCE
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 12:00 AM ET |
||||
PICK ORDER
|
M/L
|
P#
|
HORSE NAME
|
JOCKEY
|
WIN
|
3-1
|
10
|
Hey Kitten
|
C Landeros
|
PLACE
|
12-1
|
7
|
Kasserine Pass
|
F Arrieta
|
SHOW
|
6-1
|
11
|
Heaven Escape
|
J Rosario
|
WILD CARD
|
5-1
|
2
|
Classical Magic
|
U Rispoli
|
ALTERNATE 1
|
8-1
|
4
|
Foreign Exchange
|
D Cannon
|
ALTERNATE 2
|
20-1
|
9
|
Tia Flor
|
E Morales
|
* EXACTA: 10-7 BOX, 7-11 BOX, 11-2 BOX
|
||||
* TRIFECTA: 7/10/11 BOX, 2/7/11 BOX
|
||||
RACE #2 $135,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 12:00 AM ET |
||||
BEST BET: #9 SURREALIST
|
||||
PICK ORDER
|
M/L
|
P#
|
HORSE NAME
|
JOCKEY
|
WIN
|
4-1
|
9
|
Surrealist
|
B J Hernandez Jr.
|
PLACE
|
10-1
|
4
|
Pentagon
|
C J Lanerie
|
SHOW
|
8-1
|
14
|
Bluewater Lady
|
A Beschizza
|
WILD CARD
|
10-1
|
2
|
Breaker of Chains
|
T Gaffalione
|
ALTERNATE 1
|
6-1
|
12
|
Fast as Flight
|
C Landeros
|
ALTERNATE 2
|
30-1
|
13
|
Mairsils First
|
J A Monserrate Jr.
|
* EXACTA: 9-4 BOX, 4-14 BOX, 14-2 BOX
|
||||
* TRIFECTA: 4/9/14 BOX, 2/4/14 BOX
|
||||
RACE #3 $156,600 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 5/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 12:00 AM ET |
||||
BEST BET: #1A MALTHAEL |
||||
PICK ORDER
|
M/L
|
P#
|
HORSE NAME
|
JOCKEY
|
WIN
|
4-1
|
1A
|
Malthael
|
J L Ortiz
|
PLACE
|
7-2
|
6
|
Cibolian
|
C Landeros
|
SHOW
|
6-1
|
8
|
Hes No Lemon
|
J R Leparoux
|
WILD CARD
|
6-1
|
2
|
Fortuity
|
L Saez
|
ALTERNATE 1
|
4-1
|
1
|
Conviction Trade
|
T Gaffalione
|
ALTERNATE 2
|
12-1
|
5
|
The Stiff
|
J Rosario
|
* EXACTA: 1-6 BOX, 6-8 BOX, 8-2 BOX
|
||||
* TRIFECTA: 1/6/8 BOX, 2/6/8 BOX
|
||||
RACE #4 $135,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 12:00 AM ET |
||||
BEST BET: #6 GROUP HUG
|
||||
PICK ORDER
|
M/L
|
P#
|
HORSE NAME
|
JOCKEY
|
WIN
|
6-1
|
6
|
Group Hug
|
T Gaffalione
|
PLACE
|
6-1
|
13
|
Azzurro
|
J L Ortiz
|
SHOW
|
3-1
|
10
|
Mount Kenya
|
R Bejarano
|
WILD CARD
|
15-1
|
5
|
Vancouver Moon
|
L Saez
|
ALTERNATE 1
|
20-1
|
4
|
Invisible War
|
J Rosario
|
ALTERNATE 2
|
30-1
|
2
|
Van Dusen
|
R Santana Jr.
|
* EXACTA: 6-13 BOX, 13-10 BOX, 10-5 BOX
|
||||
* TRIFECTA: 6/10/13 BOX, 5/10/13 BOX
|
||||
RACE #5 $135,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 12:00 AM ET |
||||
PICK ORDER
|
M/L
|
P#
|
HORSE NAME
|
JOCKEY
|
WIN
|
7-2
|
3
|
Jazz Time Girl
|
I Ortiz Jr.
|
PLACE
|
8-1
|
2
|
Royal County
|
J L Ortiz
|
SHOW
|
9-2
|
10
|
Texas Tiara
|
J R Velazquez
|
WILD CARD
|
6-1
|
5
|
Vialetto
|
J R Leparoux
|
ALTERNATE 1
|
8-1
|
4
|
Kelseys Shot
|
J Rocco Jr.
|
ALTERNATE 2
|
15-1
|
13
|
Sweet Dani Girl
|
R Bejarano
|
* EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-10 BOX, 10-5 BOX
|
||||
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/10 BOX, 2/5/10 BOX
|
||||
RACE #6 $600,000 STAKES
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 12:00 AM ET |
||||
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $600K MINT LADIES SPRINT STAKES G3
|
||||
PICK ORDER
|
M/L
|
P#
|
HORSE NAME
|
JOCKEY
|
WIN
|
3-1
|
10
|
Venetian Harbor
|
F Geroux
|
PLACE
|
4-1
|
6
|
Superstition
|
F Prat
|
SHOW
|
30-1
|
1
|
Gogo Shoes
|
J L Ortiz
|
WILD CARD
|
5-1
|
12
|
Constantia
|
U Rispoli
|
ALTERNATE 1
|
12-1
|
4
|
Yes Its Ginger
|
T Gaffalione
|
ALTERNATE 2
|
12-1
|
5
|
Jakarta
|
R Santana Jr.
|
* EXACTA: 1,6,10,12 Box
|
||||
* TRIFECTA: 1,6,10/1,6,10,12/1,5,6,10,12
|
||||
COMMENTS: VENETIAN HARBOR has increased her speed figures in three consecutive starts. Another move up would make her tough to beat. SUPERSTITION has a strong pedigree for the distance/surface and is capable of running swift fractions. GOGO SHOES is the lone runner with a last race speed figure above par for this level. CONSTANTIA has never missed the board at the distance with two wins, a second and third in four.
|
||||
RACE #7 $750,000 STAKES
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 12:00 AM ET |
||||
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $750K KENTUCKY DOWNS LADIES TURF STAKES G3
|
||||
PICK ORDER
|
M/L
|
P#
|
HORSE NAME
|
JOCKEY
|
WIN
|
2-1
|
2
|
Princess Grace
|
F Geroux
|
PLACE
|
12-1
|
8
|
Summer in Saratoga
|
L Saez
|
SHOW
|
9-2
|
9
|
Dalika
|
J Rosario
|
WILD CARD
|
8-1
|
5
|
Shesonthewarpath
|
A Beschizza
|
ALTERNATE 1
|
6-1
|
6
|
Shifty She
|
I Ortiz Jr.
|
ALTERNATE 2
|
4-1
|
3
|
Abscond
|
F Prat
|
* EXACTA: 2,5,8,9 Box
|
||||
* TRIFECTA: 2,8,9/2,5,8,9/2,5,6,8,9
|
||||
COMMENTS: PRINCESS GRACE is a half length from being unbeaten in six races. SUMMER IN SARATOGA has a win and a third in two at Kentucky Downs. DALIKAs path to the winners circle is on/near the lead all the way around the track. SHESONTHEWARPATH has three wins, a second and third in six at the distance.
|
||||
RACE #8 $1,000,000 STAKES
6 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 12:00 AM ET |
||||
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $1M FANDUEL TURF SPRINT STAKES G3
|
||||
PICK ORDER
|
M/L
|
P#
|
HORSE NAME
|
JOCKEY
|
WIN
|
10-1
|
2
|
Fast Boat
|
J Rosario
|
PLACE
|
9-2
|
9
|
Got Stormy
|
T Gaffalione
|
SHOW
|
15-1
|
5
|
Born Great
|
A Beschizza
|
WILD CARD
|
6-1
|
12
|
Imprimis
|
I Ortiz Jr.
|
ALTERNATE 1
|
12-1
|
10
|
Chewing Gum
|
J L Ortiz
|
ALTERNATE 2
|
7-2
|
7
|
Casa Creed
|
J Alvarado
|
* EXACTA: 2,5,9,12 Box
|
||||
* TRIFECTA: 2,5,9/2,5,9,12/2,5,9,10,12
|
||||
COMMENTS: FAST BOAT is a high percentage winning, scoring in 10 of 25 on grass. GOT STORMY has stepped up the performance ladder in three straight races. BORN GREAT has finished in the money in eight of nine races and gained ground are in seven. IMPRIMIS is making his second start after a layoff and is a neck away from winning both of his last pair of second starts.
|
||||
RACE #9 $1,000,000 STAKES
1 1/2 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 12:00 AM ET |
||||
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $1M CALUMET TURF CUP STAKES G2
|
||||
PICK ORDER
|
M/L
|
P#
|
HORSE NAME
|
JOCKEY
|
WIN
|
9-2
|
3
|
Channel Cat
|
J R Velazquez
|
PLACE
|
3-1
|
5
|
Arklow
|
F Geroux
|
SHOW
|
6-1
|
4
|
Tide of the Sea
|
L Saez
|
WILD CARD
|
15-1
|
9
|
Glynn County
|
T Gaffalione
|
ALTERNATE 1
|
6-1
|
11
|
Zulu Alpha
|
R Santana Jr.
|
ALTERNATE 2
|
20-1
|
6
|
Bluegrass Parkway
|
J R Leparoux
|
* EXACTA: 3,4,5,9 Box
|
||||
* TRIFECTA: 3,4,5/3,4,5,9/3,4,5,9,11
|
||||
COMMENTS: CHANNEL CAT ran a last race speed figure above par for this level. ARKLOWs trainer/jockey combo of Cox and Geroux has four wins, a second and a third in their last seven together. TIDE OF THE SEA has increased his speed figure in three consecutive starts, another uptick could get the job done. GLYNN COUNTRY ran the top last pace number in two consecutive races.
|
||||
RACE #10 $600,000 STAKES
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 12:00 AM ET |
||||
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $600K FRANKLIN-SIMPSON STAKES G2
|
||||
PICK ORDER
|
M/L
|
P#
|
HORSE NAME
|
JOCKEY
|
WIN
|
5-1
|
6
|
Next
|
J R Velazquez
|
PLACE
|
7-2
|
10
|
Point Me By
|
L Saez
|
SHOW
|
12-1
|
1
|
Into the Sunrise
|
I Ortiz Jr.
|
WILD CARD
|
8-1
|
3
|
County Final
|
J Rosario
|
ALTERNATE 1
|
15-1
|
5
|
Miss Amulet
|
J R Leparoux
|
ALTERNATE 2
|
15-1
|
4
|
Easy Time
|
A Beschizza
|
* EXACTA: 1,3,6,10 Box
|
||||
* TRIFECTA: 1,6,10/1,3,6,10/1,3,5,6,10
|
||||
COMMENTS: NEXT should benefit from cutting back 1 1/2 furlongs. POINT ME BY had issues in his last race and still ran by the pack by 2 3/4 lengths. INTO THE SUNRISE missed as the favorite in his last, trainer Wesley Ward rebounds at 33% the next time out. COUNTY FINAL is the most expensive horse in the field and is starting to live up to the price tag.
|
||||
RACE #11 $135,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 12:00 AM ET |
||||
PICK ORDER
|
M/L
|
P#
|
HORSE NAME
|
JOCKEY
|
WIN
|
9-2
|
10
|
Seal Beach
|
I Ortiz Jr.
|
PLACE
|
12-1
|
9
|
Garmento
|
J Rosario
|
SHOW
|
6-1
|
7
|
Tuskegee Cat
|
F Geroux
|
WILD CARD
|
8-1
|
2
|
Baj
|
T Gaffalione
|
ALTERNATE 1
|
15-1
|
15
|
Hashtag No Wonder
|
C J Lanerie
|
ALTERNATE 2
|
20-1
|
13
|
Unpredictable Bay
|
F Geroux
|
* EXACTA: 10-9 BOX, 9-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX
|
||||
* TRIFECTA: 7/9/10 BOX, 2/7/9 BOX
|
Get more picks for additional tracks at