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Keeneland Select

Kentucky Downs Tip Sheet - September 13

September 12, 2022

Today’s Kentucky Downs Hot List races to watch
Tuesday, Sept. 13, 2022

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 min butes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race –  (1) Alwayz Late staged a strong rally to just miss at Saratoga. Makes amends here. (3) Arrobatic shapes up as the main rival in this field. (10) Shes Bout a Mover won nicely last time and will be a major factor. (9) Signify drops out of a claimer and can make her presence felt. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-9-10. Doubles 1-3-9-10 with 3-4-5-8. Pick 3: 1-3-9-10 with 3-4-5-8 with 1-2-11-12.

2nd race – (5) Jezebel’s Kitten had some early trouble while finishing third. Can take this with a smooth trip. (3) Lady Frosted gets some class relief here and could be a factor. (4) Champagne Lady will welcome the added distance here. (8) Sugar Fix might have found a sweet spot here. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-4-5-8. Doubles: 3-4-5-8 with 1-2-11-12.

3rd race – (2) American Starlet has a nice turn of speed and may not look back here. (11) Al Qahira could press the top choice and be the main rival. (12) Decree of Love has been away since October but is working nicely for her comeback. (1) Kant Believe It is worth a look in her turf debut. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-11-12.

6th race – (1) Half a Chance has enough speed from the rail to rate a strong chance of winning. (2) Danse Macabre was a good second in a Saratoga stakes and should be the main threat.  (5) Tiki Bar exits a solid maiden win and is worth a look. (8) Alluring Angel will be a factor in the final furlong . Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-5-8. Doubles: 1-2-5-8 with 2-3-4-8.

7th race – (3) Poppy Flower looked good winning a Saratoga stakes and can make it two in a row here. (4) Koala Princess was a troubled third in a graded stakes and should be the one to fear. (2) Sister Lou Ann has enough speed to be a prime threat. (8) Bubble Rock will appreciate a return to turf here. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-4-8.