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Keeneland Select

Aqueduct Hotlist - December 31

By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt

Hot List Key:
 A:
A preferred horse to watch                                 B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worst
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

3rd race [OC 62K/N2X, 6 ½ F] – (3) Patty H (B) lost all chance when she had a very rough start. In her prior start at this level she set the pace and narrowly lost the at the wire. (8) Union Lake was third in the Prioress (G2) after having the lead which came after her first two wins. She was eased in the Raven Run (G2) in her most recent start but comes back after two months off. If she is right, she has a significant class edge over this field. (4) Snicket is projected to be on the lead in a race that should have a fast pace. (1) Rossa Veloce won her last two starts with her career best speed and has five wins at Aqueduct.

7th race [OC 62K/N2X, 1 mi] – (9) No Burn (D) got off to a slow start, rushed up wide to get the lead, and was rank under restraint after getting bet down from 6-1 to 3-1. (2) I Am the Law won her last two races in a starter allowance and then a first-level allowance. (7) Curlin’s Wisdom had four wins and a pair of seconds in his last six starts. He went through the NY-bred conditions, was second in the Empire Classic, and just won an open-company allowance. (5) Winit was fourth in the recent Discovery on a muddy track following an allowance victory.

8th race [Queens County, 1 1/8 mi] – (4) Bourbonic (B) needed a race after a year away from competition, got off to a slow start, and still ran well in a sprint. He is back at a preferred distance with a past graded stakes victory.  (5) Law Professor was fifth in the Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile (G1) and second in the Woodward (G1) behind Life Is Good. He has a Grade 2 victory in his past performances. (10) Unbridled Bomber moved through his allowance conditions with a pair of wins at Aqueduct in his last two starts. (2) Ridin With Biden has two stakes victories at Parx in his last three starts. Trainer Butch Reid has two important wins at this meeting while shipping up to the Big A.

9th race [Clm 25000, 1 mi] – (12) Caribbean (C) was bet down from 5-1 to 5-2, got caught in a speed duel, finished third, and was claimed. (11) Rough Sea was a starter allowance winner at the Big A last time with an improved speed figure going the two-turns. (10) Pit Boss drops into a claiming race after a series of allowance and starter allowances. (8) Optic Way was claimed from a front-end victory going the one-turn mile.

Best bets: Patty H (3rd); Bourbonic (8th). Best value: No Burn (7th); Caribbean (9th).

@NYHotList Saturday Pick 3 Special --
The Saturday Special $1 Pick 3 covers races 7-9  à 2, 5, 7, 9 with 4, 5 with 8, 10, 11, 12 = $32.

No.NameLetter
last race
Today's RaceComments
(3)Patty HB on 12/23She lost all chance when she was roughed up at the break.
(9)No BurnD on 12/117He had a slow start, rushed up wide, and was rank.
(4)BourbonicB on 12/38He needed a race but still ran well in a sprint.
(12)CaribbeanD on 12/49Finished third and was claimed.