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Keeneland Select

Aqueduct Hotlist - March 1

By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt

Hot List Key:
 A:
A preferred horse to watch                                 B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worst
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

2nd race [Clm 10000, 6F] – (5) Poppy’s Pride (D) was bet down from 12-1 to 7-1 while racing six-wide in a starter allowance on an inside favoring track. (1A) Striking Speed was claimed from a third-place performance last time for $12,500 with a win for $10,000 before that. (4) Honorary Degree has been running in higher priced claimers at Parx Racing. He was a winner the last time that he ran for $10,000. (6) Heir Port has early speed and will drop down.

4th race [Alw 50000s, 6F] – (5) Natural Harbor (B) came to his last race in excellent form but broke through the gate in what was a prolonged and chaotic pre-race situation. He broke last, lost all chance, and did no running at all. (6) Borletti has two wins in his last three starts and was claimed from a victory in a $25,000 race by Rick Dutrow. [(1) Kant Beat the Rock/(1A) Uncle George] make a Jacobson entry where both of the horses are win contenders. (2) Blue Plate Special was claimed two races back for $16,000 and came back to win a $25,000 N2L race by almost five lengths with a career best speed figure.

6th race [OC 45k/N1X, 1 3/16 mi] – (1) Reddington won his last three starts moving up through the restricted claiming conditions and then a starter allowance. The two most recent were in his only races at Aqueduct. He is projected to get loose on the lead. (4) Centavo will make his third start in a month with wins in his last two including a starter allowance while racing from off the pace. (3) Macallan has never run worse than fourth in his seven career starts for Todd Pletcher. (2) Midnight Trouble will run for the claiming option after finishing second, just a neck behind, for a $50,000 tag.

8th race [OC 62k/N2X, 1 1/8 mi] – (2) No Burn was second between two very strong horses including the winner that came back to win again. He has 10 career victories with five of them at Aqueduct. (1) Leading Contender had the lead in a similar spot last time and finished second following a win in a first-level allowance. (5) Rocco Strong won an allowance by almost five lengths with his best speed figure. (7) Dee Jay is projected to be on the lead as he ships from Fair Hills to make his first start at Aqueduct.

Best bets: Poppy’s Pride (2nd); Reddington (6th). Best value: Natural Harbor (4th); No Burn (8th).

No.NameLetter
last race
Today's RaceComments
(5)Poppy’s PrideD on 2/42Raced wide on a speed favoring track and drops down.
(5)Natural HarborB on 2/44Lost all chance after chaotic pre-race problems at the gate.