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Keeneland Select

Aqueduct Hotlist - March 12

By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt

Hot List Key:
 A:
A preferred horse to watch                         B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

3rd race [NY, Biogio’s Rose, 1 mi] – (5) Captainsdaughter (B) got far behind in the early going and while racing nine-wide made a late rally to finish fourth. (2) Know It All Audrey is stakes placed against NY-breds and is projected to set the pace. All five of her career victories were at Aqueduct. (3) Timeless Journey won two of her last three starts in allowances against open company. (1) Mia Bea Star has top three finishes in her last eight races against open company and state-breds.

6th race [Md 20000, 1 mi] – (8) Stormandy (A) twice battled for the lead, got in front, and was beaten by only a head. (3) Steady Progress (C) was bet down from 8-1 to 5-1, finished third behind the top choice, and now the blinkers come off. (5) There Be Dragons made three starts in maiden special weights with a second and a third. He drops into a claimer for the first time for Todd Pletcher, which is a winning move for the barn. (6) Old Point rallied from tenth to second in his second start following a layoff with a big jump in speed figures.

8th race [OC50k/SAL50k, 1 mi] – (8) Pebble Lane (B) got bumped six wide and finished second earning her career best speed figure in her first start for a new trainer. (6) Frigid Lady broke her maiden for a $150,000 tag at Keeneland in October and since then has competed consistently at this $50,000 level. She ships up from Kentucky for Mike Maker. (4) Hypnocurrency broke her maiden for $40,000 last start with a pace pressing trip. (1) Maggie T was claimed for $50,000 last month by Linda Rice and she wins with 26% of the horses making their first start off the claim.

9th race [NY, Md 40000, 6F] – (10) Pauciloquent (D) was bet down from 8-1 to 5-1 for her debut in which she finished fourth. (5) Laochi set the pace and finished third in a maiden special weight in her first start after a claim by Linda Rice and now drops back into the claiming ranks. (1) Queens Over Threes exits a maiden special weight to move back to the $40,000 tag where two races back she set the pace and missed the win by a neck. (9) Forever Amy gets a rider change to Trevor McCarthy, moves up a notch after a second-place finish, and gets Lasix for the first time.

Best bets:  Captainsdaughter (3rd); Pebble Lane (8th). Best value:  Stormandy (6th); Pauciloquent (9th).

No.NameLetter/
last race
Today's RaceComments
(5)CaptainsdaughterB on 2/253Got far behind, raced nine-wide, and rallied late to fourth.
(3)Steady ProgressC on 2/176Took some late money and finished third.
(8)StormandyA on 2/176Twice battled for the lead and got beat by a head.
(8)Pebble LaneB on 2/28Got bumped six wide and was clear for second.
(10)PauciloquentD on 1/129Bet down in debut and rallied wide to get fourth.