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Keeneland Select

Belmont Park at Aqueduct Hotlist - July 4

By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt

Hot List Key:
 A:
A preferred horse to watch                                 B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worst
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

2nd race [OC 50k/N1X, 1 1/8 mi] – (6) Sedona won her debut at Gulfstream Park as the favorite in March and came back to finish second against winners in May at Churchill Downs while stretching out to two turns. (3) Miz Sense won her first start as a juvenile by more then four lengths as the favorite at Saratoga. In the Spinaway (G1) she lost her rider after she did not get a fair start following a gate problem. Her 2024 debut came in the Belmont at Saratoga meeting and she ran third in an allowance behind a stellar winner. (1) Toned Up will race for the optional claiming price with her extensive record in races with tougher conditions. (2) Sweet Mystery won through the NY-bred allowance conditions.

4th race [Md Sp Wt, 1 mi] – (5) Patty Brown Eyes (B) finished second in her debut for Tom Morley well clear of the rest of the field. (4) Silvology (A) got far behind in her first start and rallied for third for Shug McGaughey three weeks ago. (3) Greatest Gift (B) made her first start at the end of December and ran greenly while climbing due to kickback. She comes back with blinkers on and first-time Lasix. (6) Headline Numbers is a promising son of Gun Runner from Chad Brown and Klaravich Stables.

7th race [Alw 100000 N1X, 1 3/8 mi TURF] – (6) Catch a Wave (B) had his back heels clipped early in the race and still ran the best speed figure of his career. (5) Hold the Salsa has a pair of quality second-place finishes in his two races this year. (1) Going Concern won his first start for Chad Brown at Tampa in February and then had a rough race and had to check in April. Blinkers go on after being a heavy favorite in both starts. (2) Be Like Clint was third in his last two races.

8th race [Victory Ride (G3), 6 ½ F] – (3) Emery won 3 out of 4 career starts for Brad Cox including the recent Leslie’s Lady at Churchill Downs last month by more than three lengths. (1) Mystic Lake has four career victories with the Miss Preakness (G3) in her most recent start. (4) Halina’s Forte was a debut winner as a 2-year-old and a stakes winner to start off this year at Aqueduct. Last time she won an allowance at Churchill.  (2) Golden Degree won her last two starts since getting claimed by Linda Rice.

Best bets: Sedona (2nd); Emery (8th). Best value: Patty Brown Eyes (4th); Catch a Wave (7th).

No.NameLetter
last race
Today's RaceComments
(3)Greatest GiftB on 12/304Raced greenly in debut and makes changes now.
(4)SilvologyA on 6/64She got far behind in her debut and got third.
(5)Patty Brown EyesA on 5/174Ran second in her first race, clear of the rest.
(6)Catch a WaveB on 5/277His back heels were clipped early in the race.