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Keeneland Select

Belmont Park Tip Sheet - Jun 10

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 65% of the time at this track

 RACE #1    $90,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
 6 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 11:20 AM ET
 
BEST BET:  #9 LOVE TO SHOP
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN5-29Love to ShopT Gaffalione
PLACE8-14Oolong Hai [IRE]J Ortiz
SHOW7-25Accept the Outcome [IRE]I Ortiz Jr.
WILD CARD8-12Get RespectD Davis
 
ALTERNATE 112-13Roman GoddessF Prat
ALTERNATE 210-112Advance AttackM Franco
    
* EXACTA: 9-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/5/9 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX
    
 
 RACE #2    $80,000 ALLOWANCE
 7 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 11:54 AM ET
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN5-11ImhavingamomentJ R Velazquez
PLACE3-14Weekend RagsI Ortiz Jr.
SHOW8-16Lisas VisionF Prat
WILD CARD8-15U Should B DancingJ L Ortiz
 
ALTERNATE 14-12SolibM Franco
ALTERNATE 212-17Royal DancerK Carmouche
    
* EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/6 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX
    
 
 RACE #3    $250,000 STAKES
 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:29 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $250,000 TRUE NORTH STAKES GRADE II
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN4-54Elite PowerI Ortiz Jr.
PLACE12-12SynthesisJ Castellano
SHOW2-15StrobeF Geroux
WILD CARD5-11Todays FlavorM Franco
 
ALTERNATE 110-13AnarchistJ Rosario
ALTERNATE 215-16FearlessL Saez
    
* EXACTA: 2,4/2,3,4,5
* TRIFECTA: 2,4/2,3,4,5/1,2,3,4,5
 
COMMENTS: ELITE POWER has been crushing the competition lately and his workouts say he will be ready for another stellar effort. SYNTHESIS tied for the highest last race speed figure with a win and second in two at the distance. STROBE will look for a fast track where he has four wins and second in five races. TODAYS FLAVOR should be on the gas from go to photo and try to take them wire to wire.
 
    
 
 RACE #4    $95,000 ALLOWANCE
 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:06 PM ET
 
BEST BET:  #7 LIFE CHANGER
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN7-27Life ChangerJ Rosario
PLACE4-11American LawK Carmouche
SHOW6-19Twelth ManJ Castellano
WILD CARD12-13Romantic GambleT McCarthy
 
ALTERNATE 115-12ShipsationalM Franco
ALTERNATE 25-15AllaboutthemoneyI Ortiz Jr.
    
* EXACTA: 7-1 BOX, 1-9 BOX, 9-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/7/9 BOX, 1/3/9 BOX
    
 
 RACE #5    $200,000 STAKES
 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:44 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $200,000 POKER STAKES GRADE III
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN1-11Chez PierreF Prat
PLACE6-12Emaraaty [GB]J Ortiz
SHOW9-26EmmanuelI Ortiz Jr.
WILD CARD4-17Filo Di Arianna [BRZ]L Saez
 
ALTERNATE 18-15AnacondaT Gaffalione
ALTERNATE 28-58Bourbon CallingRider TBA
    
* EXACTA: 1,2/1,2.6.7
* TRIFECTA: 1,2,6/1.2,6/1,2,5,6,7
 
COMMENTS: CHEZ PIERRE showed late race improvement in his last and is usually out of the gates fast too. EMARAATY has strong turf pedigree and can run swift fractions and still win. EMMANUEL will try to get forward and take the field gate to wire and is hard to pass if he has the lead into the stretch. FILO DI ARIANNA is making his second start after a layoff. His track record says to expect a more robust effort today.
 
    
 
 RACE #6    $250,000 STAKES
 1 1/2 M ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:22 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $250,000 BROOKLYN STAKES GRADE II
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN4-14Bright FutureI Ortiz Jr.
PLACE3-15NextL Machado
SHOW5-27WarrantF Prat
WILD CARD6-18Lone RockJ Castellano
 
ALTERNATE 16-12Red RunT Gaffalione
ALTERNATE 220-16ForewarnedD Haddock
    
* EXACTA: 4,5,7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4,5,7/4,5,7/2,4,5,6,7,8
 
COMMENTS: BRIGHT FUTURE has alternated between first and third place finishes. He finished third last out but has a tough trip, A better path today and the pattern could continue. NEXT has a bullet workout getting ready. When he wins it is usually by big margins. WARRANT really likes a fast track finishing in the money 14 of 15 races. LONE ROCK is normally a high end performer but fell off a lot in his last. A rebound is in order following some swift training sessions.
 
    
 
 RACE #7    $500,000 STAKES
 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:02 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $500,000 OGDEN PHIPPS STAKES GRADE I
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN6-56ClairiereJ Rosario
PLACE4-12Search ResultsF Prat
SHOW8-11Pass the ChampagneF Lynch
WILD CARD2-14Secret OathT Gaffalione
 
ALTERNATE 16-15Played HardJ R Velazquez
ALTERNATE 250-13GamestonksJ C Alvelo
    
* EXACTA: 1,2,4,6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1,2,6/1,2,4,6/1,2,4,5,6
 
COMMENTS: CLAIRIERE never ran out of the money in 11 at the distance with six wins with four seconds and a third. SEARCH RESULTS runs her best when she is close to the lead and that is where she should be with this bunch. PASS THE CHAMPAGNE ran by far her best race in her first try at Belmont Park and might be better in her third start after a layoff. SECRET OATH is more than capable of winning here but the pace could work against her.
 
    
 
 RACE #8    $400,000 STAKES
 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:42 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $400,000 WOODY STEPHENS STAKES GRADE I
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN8-113Drews GoldJ A Gomez
PLACE7-24General JimL Saez
SHOW4-13Arabian LionJ Velazquez
WILD CARD8-17Federal JudgeF Prat
 
ALTERNATE 112-11New York ThunderR Santana Jr.
ALTERNATE 212-16HarrodsburgM Franco
    
* EXACTA: 3,4,7,13 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3,4,13/3,4,13/1,3,4.6,7,13
 
COMMENTS: DREWS GOLD is not lead dependent and can sit right of the pace and storm by at the end. GENERAL JIM is a closer and will have plenty of speed to chase here. ARABIAN LION needs the lead to win and will likely go out with NEW YORK THUNDER as inside speed. FEDERAL JUDGE ran faster times despite going a half furlong longer. That is usually a good sign for the next race too.
 
    
 
 RACE #9    $400,000 STAKES
 6 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:19 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $400,000 JAIPUR STAKES GRADE I
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN3-112CaravelT Gaffalione
PLACE6-18Arrest Me RedI Ortiz Jr.
SHOW6-110Big InvasionJ Rosario
WILD CARD9-211Casa CreedL Saez
 
ALTERNATE 18-19Nothing BetterM Franco
ALTERNATE 230-14Mid Day ImageK Carmouche
    
* EXACTA: 8,10,11,12 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 8,10,12/8,10,11,13/8,9,10,11,12
 
COMMENTS: This one is wide open for the taking. CARAVEL is a winning machine taking the tape in 11 of 18 on grass. ARREST ME RED has three wins with a second and third at the distance and should be in his comfort zone. BIG INVASION is making his second start after a layoff and upped his output in his pair of second up outings. CASA CREED usually gobbles up a lot of ground late. He might need close to a perfect trip in a deep field.
 
    
 
 RACE #10    $1,000,000 STAKES
 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:04 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $1M METROPOLITAN HANDICAP GRADE I
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN7-51Codys WishJ Alvarado
PLACE4-17Repo RocksR Silvera
SHOW5-16ZandonF Prat
WILD CARD6-15Charge ItJ R Velazquez
 
ALTERNATE 110-13Dr. SchivelI Ortiz Jr.
ALTERNATE 210-19White AbarrioT Gaffalione
    
* EXACTA: 1,5,6,7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1,7/1,5,6,7/1,3,5,6,7,9
 
COMMENTS: CODYS WISH won his last five and has three bullet works since his last race. REPO ROCKS ran better in race pace numbers from the start to finish in his last. ZANDON has never run a bad race in his 10 starts . He just struggles to win. CHARGE IT won his only Belmont race by 23 lengths. Wow.
 
    
 
 RACE #11    $750,000 STAKES
 1 1/4 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 5:54 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $750,000 MANHATTAN STAKES GRADE I
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN5-24Ottoman Fleet [GB]W Buick
PLACE5-13Warren PointR Mullen
SHOW8-58Up to the MarkI Ortiz Jr.
WILD CARD12-17RockemperorF Prat
 
ALTERNATE 112-15Soldier RisingJ L Ortiz
ALTERNATE 28-16Red KnightT Gaffalione
    
* EXACTA: 3,4,8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3,4,8/3,4,8/3,4,5,6,7,8
 
COMMENTS: OTTOMAN FLEET finished in the trifecta in 10 of his 11 races. He won his US debut and will likely be better in the second race over here. WARREN POINT missed as the three to five in his US debut but finished fifth. A couple of bullet works since say he will be better today. UP TO THE MARK has been consistent in his last four races. He will likely need to improve to beat the top two. ROCKEMPEROR usually ups his game in the second after a layoff.
 
    
 
 RACE #12    $1,500,000 STAKES
 1 1/2 M ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:02 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $1.5M BELMONT STAKES GRADE I
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN5-26ForteI Ortiz Jr.
PLACE7-28Angel of EmpireF Prat
SHOW8-13ArcangeloJ Castellano
WILD CARD3-12Tapit TriceL Saez
 
ALTERNATE 15-14National TreasureJ Velazquez
ALTERNATE 215-19Red Route OneJ Rosario
    
* EXACTA: 2,3,6,8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 6,8/2,3,6,8/2,3,4,6,8
 
COMMENTS: FORTE could be close to the front with this group and usually runs on by all of them at the end. ANGEL OF EMPIREs run in the Kentucky Derby was better than it looks with better fractions despite going longer. ARCANGELO ran an incredible late pace number in his last almost too good. TAPIT TRICE is another that should be closer to the front than usual here and has the late octane to get home first.
 
    
 
 RACE #13    $80,000 ALLOWANCE
 1 1/16 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 7:47 PM ET
 
BEST BET:  #1 SPIRIT OF ST LOUIS
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN5-21Spirit of St LouisI Ortiz Jr.
PLACE8-110ShpilkesJ Ortiz
SHOW5-13Clear ConscienceM Franco
WILD CARD8-15Sell SomethingJ Rosario
 
ALTERNATE 112-112ExcursionnisteF Prat
ALTERNATE 220-111King of ComedyL Saez
    
* EXACTA: 1-10 BOX, 10-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/10 BOX, 3/5/10 BOX