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Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hot List - October 1

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (9) Lady Claypoole (C) dropped from 7-2 to 5-2 then weakened in the stretch of a longer race. Finds a winning spot here. (2) Best Performer has blinkers off and can complete the exacta. (12) Lady Emily Kathryn fits in nicely but drew a rough post. (10) Excellent Question may like turf. Betting strategy: 9 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-9-10-12.

4th race – (6) Catching Freedom debuts for Cox and seems ready for a solid effort. (7) Tis Charming is another firster who deserves attention. (1) Raguel may respond to a turf-to-dirt move. (8) Burgandy Royale showed improvement in his second start and should be watched here. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-6-7-8.

6th race – (8) Hurricane Debbie has been away since January but is training smartly for her return. (9) Rum Runner Ready moves into the Maker barn and is a threat to reel off another win. (3) Magniloquent could be tough to catch here. (7) Hideki should be a stretch threat. Betting strategy: 8 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-7-8-9. Doubles: 3-7-8-9 with 1-2-5-11.

7th race – (1) Searcy was fifth in a troubled debut and can work out a better trip from the rail. (5) Stronghold was a game second in his debut and looks like the one to fear. (2) Mo’ Spresso is worth a look in his debut. (11) Blown Cover could turn out to be a good one. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place.  Exacta box: 1-2-5-11.

9th race – (1) Shooters Shoot was claimed by Diodoro and should benefit from a ground-saving trip. (4) Greener Pastures should perk up on dirt. (2) Heartbreaker has speed and looks dangerous here. (5) Wind of Change will find the going easier here after running in a stakes. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-4-5.

No.Letter/Last raceToday’s race  Comment     
(9)Lady ClaypooleC, 9/71 CDGets a favorable distance here