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Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hot List - October 29

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (10) Run Jalen Run (B) missed by a neck in his debut and will make amends here. (6) Bourbon Boss showed speed on dirt and fell just short. Will be dangerous despite the longer distance. (4) Bibi Boss is worth a look in his debut. (11) Spin the Boulevard was second in a claimer and could be a threat. Betting strategy: 10 to win, place. Exacta box: 4-6-10-11. Doubles: 4-6-10-11 with 1-2-4-11.

2nd race – (4) Orange Diablo was disqualified from an easy win and should prevail here. (1) Linzer was second in all three tries and can do it again. (11) Good Lord is working fast for his debut. (2) Bowstreet looks like a promising runner. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-4-11.

5th race – (11) Top Gun Rocket (A) was a solid second in his debut and deserves top billing here. (1) Tennessee has put in quick works for his debut and should be a main threat. (2) Track Phantom was third last time and will be a factor here. (8) Resilience can bounce back with another strong effort. Betting strategy: 11 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-8-11.

7th race – (4) Numero Siete was a troubled sixth in his debut and should relish the added ground. (6) Snead should be a big threat in the final furlong.  (10) Phenomenal Dream could be closer if he breaks from the gate better. (8) Honky Tonk Highway may take to turf. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place.  Exacta box: 4-6-8-10.

10th race – (1) Generous Tipper was third in a Grade 1 stakes and looks like the one to beat here. (4) Moonlight won big at Aqueduct and gets tested for class here. (3) Northern Flame has been improving and cannot be ignored. (8) Liberal Arts seems on edge for a solid effort. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-4-8.

No.Letter/Last raceToday’s race  Comment     
  (10)Run Jalen RunB, 9/291 CDMissed by a neck in his debut     
  (11)Top Gun RocketA, 9/225 CDWas a good second first time out