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Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hotlist - June 19

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (3) Sixwillberich was third last time and takes a class drop here. (2) Right On Target tries dirt and may give a better effort here. (4) Coal Boss is 0-for-17 but can hit the board. (6) American Raider fits with this group. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-4-6. Doubles: 2-3-4-6 with 3-5-6.

2nd race – (3) Silver Rose was a game second last time and should take a step forward here. (5) La La Rose is the one to fear. (6) Marmalade Skye was third in her last two start and can figure in the trifecta once again. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-5-6.

4th race – (6) Patty Van Twinkle (A) was second after a long layoff and can advance to the winner’s circle here. (1) End of Innocence has speed from the rail and will be dangerous. (4) Spicey Valentine looks like an interesting firster. (3) Bold Appeal should be a factor in this field. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place.  Exacta box: 1-3-4-6.

6th race – (9) Sherbet Fountain was second against cheaper and could work out a win here. (8) Virasana takes a suspicious drop but will be hard to beat on his best try. (7) Motown Mika has speed and could last for a share. (11) Lite It Up Louie comes off a nice maiden win. Betting strategy: 9 to win, place.  Exacta box: 7-8-9-11. Doubles: 7-8-9-11 with 1-2-4-7.

7th race – (1) Discreet Mischief was second last time and makes amends here. (2) Risk It will prefer a dry track. (7) Pure Force was a sharp maiden winner and will be a main factor. (4) Edified could wake up here. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place.  Exacta box: 1-2-4-7.

No.Letter/Last raceToday’s race  Comment     
  (6)Patty Van TwinkleA, 5/314 CDWas second after a layoff