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Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hotlist - June 30

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (1)  Flashy Lass was second the last two times at Oaklawn and should get a win here. (4) Musical Mischief looks like the one to fear. (5) Lexa will be happy to be back on dirt. (2) Catmint won her last and will be a main factor here. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-4-5.

3rd race – (3) Decanted was hurt by a wide trip last time. Should get a better one here. (9) Idratherbeblessed may perk up on turf. (1) Demolition Duke stretches out and will benefit from a rail trip. (8) Double Clutch fits nicely with this group. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-8-9. Doubles: 1-3-8-9 with 1-2-4-6.

4th race – (4) So There She Was closed fast when second in her Santa Anita debut. Will enjoy the added distance. (6) Vodka With a Twist won impressive last time and looms the main threat. (2) Daisy Duke will be helped by the added ground. (1) Glee can generate some smiles with a big effort. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place.  Exacta box: 1-2-4-6.

7th race – (7) Cornishman (B) was a distant second to Belmont Stakes runner-up Mindframe. Should handle this group. (2) Gun Party exits a solid maiden win and figures to be a top threat. (6) Who’s the King was rank last time. Deserves a second chance. (10) Lat Long can be a factor on his best try. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-6-7-10.

10th race – (6) Extra Anejo had a strong prep for this and should grab his first stakes win. (3) Zozos will be well-suited by the distance. (1) Tumbarumba comes off two narrow losses and can’t be ignored. (7) Charge It could wake up and produce a big effort. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-6-7.

No.Letter/Last raceToday’s race  Comment     
  (7)CornishmanB, 5/47 CDFinished a distant second