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Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hotlist - May 11

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

3rd race – (1) Kathynmarissa ships in off a maiden win at Santa Anita and gets the nod here. (2) Last Call will be helped by a ground-saving trip. (3) Boss Lady Bailey should be closing nicely at the end. (4) Johanny was victorious in her last turf race. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-3-4.

5th race – (6) Veracruzin drops to what should be a winning level. (11) Macaw is an interesting first-time starter. (10) Coach Campbell can rebound in this spot. (3) Penrod can wake up off the class drop. Betting strategy: 6  to win, place. Exacta box: 3-6-10-11.

7th race – (4) Tifareeh was hurt by a wide trip last time and works out a better one here. (8) Zverev will welcome a return to turf. (1) Army Officer will be dangerous if he likes turf. (2) Funnyflame missed by a head and cannot be ignored.  Betting strategy: 4 to win, place.  Exacta box: 1-2-4-8.

9th race – (2) Hit Show was a graded stakes winner last year and is working nicely for his 2024 debut. (3) Warrior Johny should improve around two turns. (5) Gasoline could motor in a claimer. (1) Alexander Helios has speed and may be tough to catch from the rail. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place.  Exacta box: 1-2-3-5. Doubles: 1-2-3-5 with 1-5-6-13.

10th race – (5) Cloudwalker (C) dropped from 8-5 to 6-5 had finished a troubled third. Makes amends here. (13) Rhapsody has enough speed to offset an outside post. (1) Let Them Watch may like turf. (6) Tipsy Runner should pose a threat in the final furlong. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-5-6-13.

No.Letter/Last raceToday’s race  Comment     
  (5)CloudwalkerC, 2/2410 CDFinished a trouble third