Skip to main content

Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hotlist - May 12

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (1) Stuck On You is a firster from Ward who looks best here. (4) Liam’s Message might prefer a dry track. (2) Afterneath could be a factor in this field. (6) Boomin’ Belle put in a fast gate work for her debut. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4. Exactas: 1-4 over 2-6 and 2-6 over 1-4.

3rd race – (3) Loved (C) dropped from even money to 1-2 and won by a pole. Can make it two in a row here. (5) Let’s Duet will be a threat in the final stages. (2) She’s Keen looks like the one to catch. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-5.

6th race – (10) Tuskegee Cat was second in his last three starts and is overdue for a win. (5) Motown Missile takes a big class drop and should be a factor here. (3) Batukhan makes his first start for Asmussen and is worth a look. (2) Wicca Wisdom may respond to more distance. Betting strategy: 10 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-5-10. Doubles: 2-3-5-10 with 2-3-4-7. Pick 3: 2-3-5-10 with 2-3-4-7 with 1-3-4-7.

7th race – (4) Golden Bell has not raced since August but is training sharply for her comeback. (2) Altered Shot has a strong late kick and will be charging late. (3) Ready for Change fits in nicely here. (7) Fire On Time has sharp early speed and may not look back. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-4 Exactas: 2-4 over 3-7 and 3-7 over 2-4. Doubles: 2-3-4-7 with 1-3-4-7.

8th race – (3) Root Cause (C) was bet down from 1-2 to 1-5 and won nicely. Can make it two in row here. (4) Strikingly Spun was hurt by a wide trip and should get a better trip here. (1) Bolivie will be helped by a rail trip. (7) Clever Joke should be competitive in her first try against winners. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-4-7.

No.Letter/Last raceToday’s race  Comment     
(3)LovedC, 4/213 CDWon easily last time     
(3)Root CauseC, 3/198 CDWon at an odds-on price