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Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hotlist - May 12

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

2nd race – (4)  Barnaby won his last start and should turn in another top effort off the Miller claim. (1) Liam the Brave drops a notch and will be a factor here. (3) My Romeo Lima looks like the one to catch in a small field. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-4. Doubles: 1-3-4 with 2-3-6.

3rd race – (3) Yono has a strong late kick and looks best here. (2) Doctor Nash will be a big threat back in claimers. (6) The Reds fits in with this group. Betting strategy: 3  to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-6.

5th race – (7) Shes a Secret returns off a layoff and drops to a level where she looks best. (5) Tamara’s Way is working nicely for her return to the races. (3) Markswoman is a threat off her best try. (6) R Queen Candy may enjoy dirt.  Betting strategy: 7 to win, place.  Exacta box: 3-5-6-7.

8th race – (4) Chance (B) was second last time and seems overdue for a winning effort. (1) Lundberg was second in his last two tries and seems the main threat. (2) Supremely should appreciate the added distance. (5) G T Five Hundred cannot be ignored in this field. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place.  Exacta box: 1-2-4-5.

10th race – (7) Capital Connection has been no worse than third in three career starts and looks best here. (2) Send Cash seems on edge for a strong showing in his debut. (9) Hold My Bourbon belongs in the exotics. (5) Mister Lincoln appears capable of a better try here.  Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-5-7-9.

No.Letter/Last raceToday’s race  Comment     
  (4)ChanceB, 4/268 CDSeems overdue for a win