Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hotlist - May 9

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (6) Alamo could turn in a memorable performance here. (2) Windy Bay may perk up in this company. (3) Lady Mercedes should be a factor in the stretch. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-6.

3rd race – (1) Austin Cruise is a firster from Asmussen who seems ready for a big effort. (7) Tab Walker is another interesting firster. (4) Sackett may benefit from his debut. (12) Sweet Fantasy could also make noise in his debut. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-7-12. Doubles: 1-4-7-12 with 1-4-6-8.

4th race – (6) Capo Donna (B)had some trouble in her debut and should take a step forward here. (1) Pin Up Betty has been second in her last four starts and could do it one more time. (4) Hidden Presence belongs in the exotics. (8) Restless Dreamer is worth a look in her turf debut. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place.  Exacta box: 1-4-6-8.

6th race – (8) Lips Say Bliss was a game winner last time and can make it two in a row here. (9) Winston Wolf deserves a close look off the Amoss claim. (1) Harold’s Cloud has speed and will benefit from a rail trip. (2) Tagliatelle fits in nicely here. Betting strategy: 8 to win, place.  Exacta box: 1-2-8-9. Doubles: 1-2-8-9 with 2-4-5-7.

7th race – (2) Fort Washington was no factor in a stakes but can rebound here. (7) Bay Street Money should be closing quickly at the end. (5) Evan Harlan won his last and should not be ignored. (4) Johny’s Fireball gets some class relief here. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-4-5-7.

No.Letter/Last raceToday’s race  Comment     
  (6)Capo DonnaB, 4/54 CDHad trouble in her debut