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Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hotlist - November 17

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (3) Mahomebred tired in the slop and may not look back on a dry track. (6) Wiki Leo adds blinkers and drops in class. (1) Markswoman exits a sharp maiden win. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-6. Doubles: 1-3-6 with 1-4-6.

2nd race – (6) April Clover returns to the main track and merits top billing. (1) Fessy will be dangerous from the rail. (4) Too Fast for You may wake up at this level. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-6.

5th race – (6) Furious Anger (B) had a troubled trip around two turns and should welcome a return to a sprint. (4) Dazzlemesilver ships in from California and looks like the main threat. (5) Perfect Upstart will be well-suited by a sprint. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 4-5-6.

7th race – (2) Ghazaaly was second in his last two races in California and looks best here. (3) Cant Be Doin That didn’t fire off a nine-month layoff. Should be more competitive here.  (4) Dai Vernon merits attention in his first start for Mott. (5) Tejas should be closing quickly at the end. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place.  Exacta box: 2-3-4-5.

9th race – (4) Highland Falls closed nicely for third and can work out a winning trip here. (2) Redeemer looks like the main threat. (8) Just Battle belongs in the exotics. (9) Ten Days Later should respond to a return to dirt. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-4-8-9.

No.Letter/Last raceToday’s race  Comment     
  (6)Furious AngerB, 10/215 CDHad a troubled trip last time