Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hotlist - November 27

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (1) Global Queen drops into a claimer for the first time and adds Saez. Gets the nod in this field. (4) Fun to Run was third last time and looks like a top contender. (2) Scarlet Red Sky may appreciate two turns. (5) Billie Cee may wake up on dirt. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-4-5.

3rd race – (4) Bebedouro drops a notch in class and can work out a winning trip. (1) Epic Battle deserves attention off the Maker claim. (5) Gamblers Tail will be helped by a dry track. (6) Protégé was second the last two times and moves up off a claim. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-5-6.

5th race – (3) Punchy Girl (B) missed by a neck in a sharp effort. Makes amends here. (7) Forever Home cannot be ignored in this field. (8) Sequin Lady lost by a neck and will be a top threat here. (6) Mercy Warren cuts back to a sprint and could be hard to catch. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-6-7-8.

7th race – (3) Barnes is a $3.2 million buy for Baffert who should win at first asking. (6) Innovator returns to the maiden ranks after running in a Grade 1 stakes. (7) Caribbean Dream is an interesting firster from Cox’s barn. (8) Great Moment may benefit from his debut. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-6-7-8.

9th race - (1) Ruthless Run seeks a third straight win and looks best here. (5) Steel Racer may benefit from a turnback in distance. (2) Miss Enchanted disappointed last time but can bounce back here. (4) Queen’s Martini should get a long look in this field. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-4-5.

No.Letter/Last raceToday’s race  Comment     
  (3)Punchy GirlB, 9/195 CDMissed by a neck last time