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Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hotlist - November 3

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (4) Devoted to You should benefit from a turf to dirt switch. (1) Randello should be more effective in a claimer. (2) My Bariley could wake up here. (6) Khozan’s Success should perk up with a class drop. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-4-6.

3rd race – (7) Wind of Change takes a big class drop and looks best here. (1) Senor Jobim gets some class relief in this field. (4) Soaring Bird was third in his last two starts and could be in the trifecta again. (6) Tiger Dad merits respect this time around. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-6-7.

5th race – (4) Leaflet was third in both starts and is due for a winning try. (1) Liffey was second in her Parx debut and cannot be overlooked. (5) Happy Charger missed by a head and should be a main threat. (6) Smashing may benefit from her debut. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-5-6.

7th race – (3) West Omaha  (A) closed fast in her debut and should work out a winning trip in this field. (2) Bang Bang Fury was a close third in her debut and is the one to fear. (8) Hey Olivia is working like she’s ready for a solid try. (6) Fun Loving may prefer dirt. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place.  Exacta box: 2-3-6-8.

9th race – (4) Lady Hideaway had some traffic issues last time and should be considered. (1) Howaboutdemapples looms the main rival from the rail. (8) Excelerina has been away for more than a year but has put in some good works. (9) Sweets Maker could be tough to catch.  Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-8-9.

No.Letter/Last raceToday’s race  Comment     
  (3)West OmahaA, 9/217 CDClosed fast in her debut