Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hotlist - November 3

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (7) Up the Creek drops in class and looks best here. (4) Daring Hope is an interesting firster from Cox. (1) Flight to Paris will benefit from a rail trip. (2) Wowsers may pose a late threat. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box1-2-4-7.

3rd race – (10) Tango Zulu takes a big class drop and should handle this field. (3) Three Polks has speed and could be tough to catch.  (9) Miss Escapade exits a nice maiden win. (6) Perceptive can be a factor on his best try. Betting strategy: 10 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-6-9-10.

5th race – (1) Bourbon Serengeti has speed and the rail and may not look back here. (7) Sister Kisses should be the main competition. (3) Little Blaze fits in with this group. (4) Nursekringledances can improve off her last try. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-4-7.

7th race – (4) Billal rallied for a nice win at Churchill and can make it two in a row here. (6) Valentine Candy will welcome the shorter distance. (1) Ship Cadet will be a factor if there’s no rust after a long layoff. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-6.

9th race - (7) Dr. Saikali was a useful fourth in his debut and can reach the winner’s circle here. (4) Volt should be the one to fear. (11) Whiskey Shot was an improved third last time and merits attention. (10) Burning Glory may prefer a dry track. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 4-7-10-11.